The GeGaLo index: Geopolitical gains and losses after energy transition
This article presents the GeGaLo index of geopolitical gains and losses that 156 countries may experience after a full-scale transition to renewable energy. The following indicators are considered for inclusion in the index: fossil fuel production, fossil fuel reserves, renewable energy resources, g...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Elsevier
2019-11-01
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| Series: | Energy Strategy Reviews |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X19300999 |
| _version_ | 1818295506784223232 |
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| author | Indra Overland Morgan Bazilian Talgat Ilimbek Uulu Roman Vakulchuk Kirsten Westphal |
| author_facet | Indra Overland Morgan Bazilian Talgat Ilimbek Uulu Roman Vakulchuk Kirsten Westphal |
| author_sort | Indra Overland |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This article presents the GeGaLo index of geopolitical gains and losses that 156 countries may experience after a full-scale transition to renewable energy. The following indicators are considered for inclusion in the index: fossil fuel production, fossil fuel reserves, renewable energy resources, governance, and conflict. Some of these represent potential gains; some represent losses; and some the capacity of countries to handle changes in geopolitical strength. Five alternative versions of the index are developed to work out the optimal design. First, the energy resource indicators are combined with equal weights to create two simple versions of the index. Next, governance and conflict indicators are included to create three more complex versions of the index. The index provides useful pointers for strategic energy and foreign policy choices: geopolitical power will be more evenly distributed after an energy transition; Iceland will gain most; Russia may be one of the main holders of stranded geopolitical assets; China and the USA will lose more geopolitically than foreseen by other analyses. The index also indicates a lack of emphasis in parts of the literature on space for renewable energy infrastructure and on domestically sourced coal for the current strength of countries such as China and the United States. Keywords: Geopolitics, Energy resources, Energy transition, Fossil fuels, Renewable energy, Index design |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-13T03:48:44Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-b26d0542ef8548d1877dd900a880cf22 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2211-467X |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-13T03:48:44Z |
| publishDate | 2019-11-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Energy Strategy Reviews |
| spelling | doaj.art-b26d0542ef8548d1877dd900a880cf222022-12-22T00:00:45ZengElsevierEnergy Strategy Reviews2211-467X2019-11-0126The GeGaLo index: Geopolitical gains and losses after energy transitionIndra Overland0Morgan Bazilian1Talgat Ilimbek Uulu2Roman Vakulchuk3Kirsten Westphal4Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI), Norway; Corresponding author.Payne Institute, USANorwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI), NorwayNorwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI), NorwayStiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP), GermanyThis article presents the GeGaLo index of geopolitical gains and losses that 156 countries may experience after a full-scale transition to renewable energy. The following indicators are considered for inclusion in the index: fossil fuel production, fossil fuel reserves, renewable energy resources, governance, and conflict. Some of these represent potential gains; some represent losses; and some the capacity of countries to handle changes in geopolitical strength. Five alternative versions of the index are developed to work out the optimal design. First, the energy resource indicators are combined with equal weights to create two simple versions of the index. Next, governance and conflict indicators are included to create three more complex versions of the index. The index provides useful pointers for strategic energy and foreign policy choices: geopolitical power will be more evenly distributed after an energy transition; Iceland will gain most; Russia may be one of the main holders of stranded geopolitical assets; China and the USA will lose more geopolitically than foreseen by other analyses. The index also indicates a lack of emphasis in parts of the literature on space for renewable energy infrastructure and on domestically sourced coal for the current strength of countries such as China and the United States. Keywords: Geopolitics, Energy resources, Energy transition, Fossil fuels, Renewable energy, Index designhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X19300999 |
| spellingShingle | Indra Overland Morgan Bazilian Talgat Ilimbek Uulu Roman Vakulchuk Kirsten Westphal The GeGaLo index: Geopolitical gains and losses after energy transition Energy Strategy Reviews |
| title | The GeGaLo index: Geopolitical gains and losses after energy transition |
| title_full | The GeGaLo index: Geopolitical gains and losses after energy transition |
| title_fullStr | The GeGaLo index: Geopolitical gains and losses after energy transition |
| title_full_unstemmed | The GeGaLo index: Geopolitical gains and losses after energy transition |
| title_short | The GeGaLo index: Geopolitical gains and losses after energy transition |
| title_sort | gegalo index geopolitical gains and losses after energy transition |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X19300999 |
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