Application of Long-Short-Term-Memory Recurrent Neural Networks to Forecast Wind Speed

Forecasting wind speed is one of the most important and challenging problems in the wind power prediction for electricity generation. Long short-term memory was used as a solution to short-term memory to address the problem of the disappearance or explosion of gradient information during the trainin...

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Main Authors: Meftah Elsaraiti, Adel Merabet
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-03-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/5/2387
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author Meftah Elsaraiti
Adel Merabet
author_facet Meftah Elsaraiti
Adel Merabet
author_sort Meftah Elsaraiti
collection DOAJ
description Forecasting wind speed is one of the most important and challenging problems in the wind power prediction for electricity generation. Long short-term memory was used as a solution to short-term memory to address the problem of the disappearance or explosion of gradient information during the training process experienced by the recurrent neural network (RNN) when used to study time series. In this study, this problem is addressed by proposing a prediction model based on long short-term memory and a deep neural network developed to forecast the wind speed values of multiple time steps in the future. The weather database in Halifax, Canada was used as a source for two series of wind speeds per hour. Two different seasons spring (March 2015) and summer (July 2015) were used for training and testing the forecasting model. The results showed that the use of the proposed model can effectively improve the accuracy of wind speed prediction.
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spelling doaj.art-b28dec4efcf740708651c347a4d67dc32023-12-03T12:58:12ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172021-03-01115238710.3390/app11052387Application of Long-Short-Term-Memory Recurrent Neural Networks to Forecast Wind SpeedMeftah Elsaraiti0Adel Merabet1Division of Engineering, Saint Mary’s University, Halifax, NS B3H 3C3, CanadaDivision of Engineering, Saint Mary’s University, Halifax, NS B3H 3C3, CanadaForecasting wind speed is one of the most important and challenging problems in the wind power prediction for electricity generation. Long short-term memory was used as a solution to short-term memory to address the problem of the disappearance or explosion of gradient information during the training process experienced by the recurrent neural network (RNN) when used to study time series. In this study, this problem is addressed by proposing a prediction model based on long short-term memory and a deep neural network developed to forecast the wind speed values of multiple time steps in the future. The weather database in Halifax, Canada was used as a source for two series of wind speeds per hour. Two different seasons spring (March 2015) and summer (July 2015) were used for training and testing the forecasting model. The results showed that the use of the proposed model can effectively improve the accuracy of wind speed prediction.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/5/2387forecastinglong-short-term memorymultiple time seriesRNNwind speed
spellingShingle Meftah Elsaraiti
Adel Merabet
Application of Long-Short-Term-Memory Recurrent Neural Networks to Forecast Wind Speed
Applied Sciences
forecasting
long-short-term memory
multiple time series
RNN
wind speed
title Application of Long-Short-Term-Memory Recurrent Neural Networks to Forecast Wind Speed
title_full Application of Long-Short-Term-Memory Recurrent Neural Networks to Forecast Wind Speed
title_fullStr Application of Long-Short-Term-Memory Recurrent Neural Networks to Forecast Wind Speed
title_full_unstemmed Application of Long-Short-Term-Memory Recurrent Neural Networks to Forecast Wind Speed
title_short Application of Long-Short-Term-Memory Recurrent Neural Networks to Forecast Wind Speed
title_sort application of long short term memory recurrent neural networks to forecast wind speed
topic forecasting
long-short-term memory
multiple time series
RNN
wind speed
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/5/2387
work_keys_str_mv AT meftahelsaraiti applicationoflongshorttermmemoryrecurrentneuralnetworkstoforecastwindspeed
AT adelmerabet applicationoflongshorttermmemoryrecurrentneuralnetworkstoforecastwindspeed