Best proxy to determine firm performance using financial ratios: A CHAID approach

The main purpose of this study is to investigate the best predictor of firm performance among different proxies. A sample of 287 Czech firms was taken from automobile, construction, and manufacturing sectors. Panel data of the firms was acquired from the Albertina database for the time period from 2...

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Main Authors: Yousaf Muhammad, Dey Sandeep Kumar
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2022-09-01
Series:Review of Economic Perspectives
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.2478/revecp-2022-0010
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author Yousaf Muhammad
Dey Sandeep Kumar
author_facet Yousaf Muhammad
Dey Sandeep Kumar
author_sort Yousaf Muhammad
collection DOAJ
description The main purpose of this study is to investigate the best predictor of firm performance among different proxies. A sample of 287 Czech firms was taken from automobile, construction, and manufacturing sectors. Panel data of the firms was acquired from the Albertina database for the time period from 2016 to 2020. Three different proxies of firm performance, return of assets (RoA), return of equity (RoE), and return of capital employed (RoCE) were used as dependent variables. Including three proxies of firm’s performance, 16 financial ratios were measured based on the previous literature. A machine learning-based decision tree algorithm, Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detector (CHAID), was deployed to gauge each proxy’s efficacy and examine the best proxy of the firm performance. A partitioning rule of 70:30 was maintained, which implied that 70% of the dataset was used for training and the remaining 30% for testing. The results revealed that return on assets (RoA) was detected to be a robust proxy to predict financial performance among the targeted indicators. The results and the methodology will be useful for policy-makers, stakeholders, academics and managers to take strategic business decisions and forecast financial performance.
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spelling doaj.art-b28e8658bc3a4b22a4cc265add1032c82022-12-22T04:28:58ZengSciendoReview of Economic Perspectives1804-16632022-09-0122321923910.2478/revecp-2022-0010Best proxy to determine firm performance using financial ratios: A CHAID approachYousaf Muhammad0Dey Sandeep Kumar1Faculty of Management and Economics, Tomas Bata University in Zlin, Mostni 5139, Zlin76001, Czech RepublicFaculty of Management and Economics, Tomas Bata University in Zlin, Mostni 5139, Zlin76001, Czech Republic, and Czech Mathematical Society, Prague, Czech RepublicThe main purpose of this study is to investigate the best predictor of firm performance among different proxies. A sample of 287 Czech firms was taken from automobile, construction, and manufacturing sectors. Panel data of the firms was acquired from the Albertina database for the time period from 2016 to 2020. Three different proxies of firm performance, return of assets (RoA), return of equity (RoE), and return of capital employed (RoCE) were used as dependent variables. Including three proxies of firm’s performance, 16 financial ratios were measured based on the previous literature. A machine learning-based decision tree algorithm, Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detector (CHAID), was deployed to gauge each proxy’s efficacy and examine the best proxy of the firm performance. A partitioning rule of 70:30 was maintained, which implied that 70% of the dataset was used for training and the remaining 30% for testing. The results revealed that return on assets (RoA) was detected to be a robust proxy to predict financial performance among the targeted indicators. The results and the methodology will be useful for policy-makers, stakeholders, academics and managers to take strategic business decisions and forecast financial performance.https://doi.org/10.2478/revecp-2022-0010czech firmsdecision treefinancial ratiosfirm performancereturn on assetsg00l25
spellingShingle Yousaf Muhammad
Dey Sandeep Kumar
Best proxy to determine firm performance using financial ratios: A CHAID approach
Review of Economic Perspectives
czech firms
decision tree
financial ratios
firm performance
return on assets
g00
l25
title Best proxy to determine firm performance using financial ratios: A CHAID approach
title_full Best proxy to determine firm performance using financial ratios: A CHAID approach
title_fullStr Best proxy to determine firm performance using financial ratios: A CHAID approach
title_full_unstemmed Best proxy to determine firm performance using financial ratios: A CHAID approach
title_short Best proxy to determine firm performance using financial ratios: A CHAID approach
title_sort best proxy to determine firm performance using financial ratios a chaid approach
topic czech firms
decision tree
financial ratios
firm performance
return on assets
g00
l25
url https://doi.org/10.2478/revecp-2022-0010
work_keys_str_mv AT yousafmuhammad bestproxytodeterminefirmperformanceusingfinancialratiosachaidapproach
AT deysandeepkumar bestproxytodeterminefirmperformanceusingfinancialratiosachaidapproach