Discrete Survival Model Analysis of <i>Plasmodium falciparum</i> Response to Artemisinin-Based Combination Therapies among Children in Regions of Varying Malaria Transmission in Cameroon

The need to monitor changes in parasite clearance following treatment with artemisinin-based combination therapies (ACTs) is important in the containment of drug resistance. This study aimed to model <i>Plasmodium falciparum</i> response to ACTs among children in two different transmissi...

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Main Authors: Akindeh M. Nji, Innocent M. Ali, Peter Thelma Ngwa Niba, Evehe Marie-Solange, Christian Heumann, Guenter Froeschl, Wilfred F. Mbacham
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-08-01
Series:Pathogens
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0817/10/9/1106
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author Akindeh M. Nji
Innocent M. Ali
Peter Thelma Ngwa Niba
Evehe Marie-Solange
Christian Heumann
Guenter Froeschl
Wilfred F. Mbacham
author_facet Akindeh M. Nji
Innocent M. Ali
Peter Thelma Ngwa Niba
Evehe Marie-Solange
Christian Heumann
Guenter Froeschl
Wilfred F. Mbacham
author_sort Akindeh M. Nji
collection DOAJ
description The need to monitor changes in parasite clearance following treatment with artemisinin-based combination therapies (ACTs) is important in the containment of drug resistance. This study aimed to model <i>Plasmodium falciparum</i> response to ACTs among children in two different transmission settings (Mutengene and Garoua) in Cameroon. Using the step function, a discrete-time survival model was fitted with all the covariates included that might play a role in parasite clearance. The probability of clearing parasites within 24 h following treatment was 21.6% and 70.3% for younger children aged 6 to 59 months and 29.3% and 59.8% for older children aged 60 to 120 months in Mutengene and Garoua, respectively. After two days of treatment, the conditional probability of clearing parasites given that they were not cleared on day 1 was 76.7% and 96.6% for children aged 6–59 months and 83.1% and 93.5% for children aged 60–120 months in Mutengene and Garoua, respectively. The model demonstrated that the ecological setting, age group and pretreatment serum levels of creatinine and alanine aminotransferase were the main factors that significantly influenced parasite clearance in vivo after administration of ACTs (<i>p</i> < 0.05). The findings highlight the need for further investigations on host differential response to ACTs in current practice.
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spelling doaj.art-b29366f4538c48329be3a77b9850b9452023-11-22T14:41:49ZengMDPI AGPathogens2076-08172021-08-01109110610.3390/pathogens10091106Discrete Survival Model Analysis of <i>Plasmodium falciparum</i> Response to Artemisinin-Based Combination Therapies among Children in Regions of Varying Malaria Transmission in CameroonAkindeh M. Nji0Innocent M. Ali1Peter Thelma Ngwa Niba2Evehe Marie-Solange3Christian Heumann4Guenter Froeschl5Wilfred F. Mbacham6The Biotechnology Center, University of Yaoundé I, Yaoundé BP 8094, CameroonThe Biotechnology Center, University of Yaoundé I, Yaoundé BP 8094, CameroonThe Biotechnology Center, University of Yaoundé I, Yaoundé BP 8094, CameroonThe Biotechnology Center, University of Yaoundé I, Yaoundé BP 8094, CameroonDepartment of Statistics, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, 80802 Munich, GermanyCenter for International Health, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, 80802 Munich, GermanyThe Biotechnology Center, University of Yaoundé I, Yaoundé BP 8094, CameroonThe need to monitor changes in parasite clearance following treatment with artemisinin-based combination therapies (ACTs) is important in the containment of drug resistance. This study aimed to model <i>Plasmodium falciparum</i> response to ACTs among children in two different transmission settings (Mutengene and Garoua) in Cameroon. Using the step function, a discrete-time survival model was fitted with all the covariates included that might play a role in parasite clearance. The probability of clearing parasites within 24 h following treatment was 21.6% and 70.3% for younger children aged 6 to 59 months and 29.3% and 59.8% for older children aged 60 to 120 months in Mutengene and Garoua, respectively. After two days of treatment, the conditional probability of clearing parasites given that they were not cleared on day 1 was 76.7% and 96.6% for children aged 6–59 months and 83.1% and 93.5% for children aged 60–120 months in Mutengene and Garoua, respectively. The model demonstrated that the ecological setting, age group and pretreatment serum levels of creatinine and alanine aminotransferase were the main factors that significantly influenced parasite clearance in vivo after administration of ACTs (<i>p</i> < 0.05). The findings highlight the need for further investigations on host differential response to ACTs in current practice.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0817/10/9/1106<i>Plasmodium</i> <i>falciparum</i>parasite clearancechildrenACTdiscrete timesurvival model
spellingShingle Akindeh M. Nji
Innocent M. Ali
Peter Thelma Ngwa Niba
Evehe Marie-Solange
Christian Heumann
Guenter Froeschl
Wilfred F. Mbacham
Discrete Survival Model Analysis of <i>Plasmodium falciparum</i> Response to Artemisinin-Based Combination Therapies among Children in Regions of Varying Malaria Transmission in Cameroon
Pathogens
<i>Plasmodium</i> <i>falciparum</i>
parasite clearance
children
ACT
discrete time
survival model
title Discrete Survival Model Analysis of <i>Plasmodium falciparum</i> Response to Artemisinin-Based Combination Therapies among Children in Regions of Varying Malaria Transmission in Cameroon
title_full Discrete Survival Model Analysis of <i>Plasmodium falciparum</i> Response to Artemisinin-Based Combination Therapies among Children in Regions of Varying Malaria Transmission in Cameroon
title_fullStr Discrete Survival Model Analysis of <i>Plasmodium falciparum</i> Response to Artemisinin-Based Combination Therapies among Children in Regions of Varying Malaria Transmission in Cameroon
title_full_unstemmed Discrete Survival Model Analysis of <i>Plasmodium falciparum</i> Response to Artemisinin-Based Combination Therapies among Children in Regions of Varying Malaria Transmission in Cameroon
title_short Discrete Survival Model Analysis of <i>Plasmodium falciparum</i> Response to Artemisinin-Based Combination Therapies among Children in Regions of Varying Malaria Transmission in Cameroon
title_sort discrete survival model analysis of i plasmodium falciparum i response to artemisinin based combination therapies among children in regions of varying malaria transmission in cameroon
topic <i>Plasmodium</i> <i>falciparum</i>
parasite clearance
children
ACT
discrete time
survival model
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0817/10/9/1106
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