| Summary: | The purpose was to comprehensively compare the prediction accuracy of different nitrogen nutrition indexes (<i>NNI<sub>LAI</sub></i> and <i>NNI<sub>DM</sub></i>) derived from critical nitrogen concentration (<i>N<sub>c</sub></i>) models established by the leaf area index (LAI) and dry matter (DM) in estimating the grain yield of indica hybrid rice grown from machine-transplanted bowl seedlings. Therefore, field experiments were conducted with two high-yielding indica hybrid rice varieties and five nitrogen application rates in 2018 and 2019. The results show that <i>NNI<sub>DM</sub></i> peaked in the stem elongation stage, while <i>NNI<sub>LAI</sub></i> had its maximal value in the mid-tillering stage during the growth stages. The <i>NNI<sub>LAI</sub></i> had the highest correlation with the relative effective panicle number in the tillering stage when compared with the <i>NNI<sub>DM</sub></i>, and the threshold points of the NNI were 0.971 (active tillering stage) and 1.106 (mid-tillering stage). Moreover, the <i>NNI<sub>LAI</sub></i> had the highest correlation with the relative seed setting rate in the stem elongation–panicle initiation stage compared with the <i>NNI<sub>DM</sub></i>, and its threshold points were 1.116 (stem elongation stage) and 1.053 (panicle initiation stage). In contrast, the <i>NNI<sub>DM</sub></i> had the highest correlation with the relative seed setting rate in the heading stage compared with the <i>NNI<sub>LAI</sub></i>, and its threshold point was 1.050 (heading stage). Therefore, the <i>NNI<sub>LAI</sub></i> in the tillering–panicle initiation stage and <i>NNI<sub>DM</sub></i> in the heading stage should be merged to effectively improve the nitrogen nutrition status and its evaluation in addition to the prediction accuracy of the yield of indica hybrid rice grown from machine-transplanted bowl seedlings. This study provides a theoretical basis for improved understanding of the nitrogen status and yield prediction of indica hybrid rice grown from machine-transplanted bowl seedlings.
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