Time Series Forecasting of Significant Wave Height using GRU, CNN-GRU, and LSTM

Predicting wave height is essential to reduce significant risks for shipping or activities carried out at sea. Waves inherit a stochastic nature, mainly generated by wind and propagated through the ocean, making them challenging to forecast. In this paper, we design time series wave forecasting usin...

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Main Authors: Cornelius Stephanus Alfredo, Didit Adytia Adytia
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Ikatan Ahli Informatika Indonesia 2022-10-01
Series:Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi)
Subjects:
Online Access:http://jurnal.iaii.or.id/index.php/RESTI/article/view/4160
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author Cornelius Stephanus Alfredo
Didit Adytia Adytia
author_facet Cornelius Stephanus Alfredo
Didit Adytia Adytia
author_sort Cornelius Stephanus Alfredo
collection DOAJ
description Predicting wave height is essential to reduce significant risks for shipping or activities carried out at sea. Waves inherit a stochastic nature, mainly generated by wind and propagated through the ocean, making them challenging to forecast. In this paper, we design time series wave forecasting using a deep learning model, which is a hybrid Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)-Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) or CNN-GRU. We use two time series of wave data sets, i.e., reanalysis data from ERA5 by ECMWF and GFS from NOAA. As a study area, we choose Pelabuhan Ratu, located in the south of West Java which is connected to the open Indian Ocean. Moreover, we also compare the results by using other deep learning models, i.e., the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and GRU. We evaluated these models to forecast 7, 14, and 30 days. Models' performance is assessed using RMSE, MAPE, and Correlation Coefficient (CC). For predicting 30 days, using the ERA5 data, the CNN-GRU model produces relatively accurate results with an RMSE value of 1.8844 and CC of 0.9938, whereas for the GFS data, results in RMSE value of 1.8852 and CC of 0.9915.
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spelling doaj.art-b2b8d362e8ee4e3aa518ea0bd80568e72024-02-02T06:34:38ZengIkatan Ahli Informatika IndonesiaJurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi)2580-07602022-10-016577678110.29207/resti.v6i5.41604160Time Series Forecasting of Significant Wave Height using GRU, CNN-GRU, and LSTMCornelius Stephanus Alfredo0Didit Adytia Adytia1Telkom UniversityTelkom UniversityPredicting wave height is essential to reduce significant risks for shipping or activities carried out at sea. Waves inherit a stochastic nature, mainly generated by wind and propagated through the ocean, making them challenging to forecast. In this paper, we design time series wave forecasting using a deep learning model, which is a hybrid Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)-Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) or CNN-GRU. We use two time series of wave data sets, i.e., reanalysis data from ERA5 by ECMWF and GFS from NOAA. As a study area, we choose Pelabuhan Ratu, located in the south of West Java which is connected to the open Indian Ocean. Moreover, we also compare the results by using other deep learning models, i.e., the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and GRU. We evaluated these models to forecast 7, 14, and 30 days. Models' performance is assessed using RMSE, MAPE, and Correlation Coefficient (CC). For predicting 30 days, using the ERA5 data, the CNN-GRU model produces relatively accurate results with an RMSE value of 1.8844 and CC of 0.9938, whereas for the GFS data, results in RMSE value of 1.8852 and CC of 0.9915.http://jurnal.iaii.or.id/index.php/RESTI/article/view/4160wave height, pelabuhan ratu, cnn-gru, long short-term memory, gated recurrent unit
spellingShingle Cornelius Stephanus Alfredo
Didit Adytia Adytia
Time Series Forecasting of Significant Wave Height using GRU, CNN-GRU, and LSTM
Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi)
wave height, pelabuhan ratu, cnn-gru, long short-term memory, gated recurrent unit
title Time Series Forecasting of Significant Wave Height using GRU, CNN-GRU, and LSTM
title_full Time Series Forecasting of Significant Wave Height using GRU, CNN-GRU, and LSTM
title_fullStr Time Series Forecasting of Significant Wave Height using GRU, CNN-GRU, and LSTM
title_full_unstemmed Time Series Forecasting of Significant Wave Height using GRU, CNN-GRU, and LSTM
title_short Time Series Forecasting of Significant Wave Height using GRU, CNN-GRU, and LSTM
title_sort time series forecasting of significant wave height using gru cnn gru and lstm
topic wave height, pelabuhan ratu, cnn-gru, long short-term memory, gated recurrent unit
url http://jurnal.iaii.or.id/index.php/RESTI/article/view/4160
work_keys_str_mv AT corneliusstephanusalfredo timeseriesforecastingofsignificantwaveheightusinggrucnngruandlstm
AT diditadytiaadytia timeseriesforecastingofsignificantwaveheightusinggrucnngruandlstm