Assessment of existing structures under climate change

Assessment of the influence of human activities on recent, current, and future global and regional climate conditions and extremes has advanced sufficiently to provide a reasonable measure of its impact across the globe. The lack of concurrent adaptation of the design base for load bearing structure...

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Main Author: Johan V. Retief
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: CTU Central Library 2022-08-01
Series:Acta Polytechnica CTU Proceedings
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ojs.cvut.cz/ojs/index.php/APP/article/view/8412
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author Johan V. Retief
author_facet Johan V. Retief
author_sort Johan V. Retief
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description Assessment of the influence of human activities on recent, current, and future global and regional climate conditions and extremes has advanced sufficiently to provide a reasonable measure of its impact across the globe. The lack of concurrent adaptation of the design base for load bearing structures results mainly from the absence of a clear signal that climate change will have a significant effect on the climate actions that are accounted for in the structural design basis. The recent IPCC assessment of the physical science basis of climate change reports significant advances in observing and projecting changes in weather and climate extremes due to human influences. This provides an opportunity to reassess projections of future climate action conditions. Whilst the IPCC assessment confirms previous indications that, for example extreme wind will respond moderately globally, improvements in understanding and projecting changes show that trends will be overshadowed by uncertainties. The implication is that the design base will need to account for increasing uncertainties as climate actions are projected into the future, over the service life of existing structures, as well as those designed to current standards. The design base consequently in advance need to reflect continuous changes of existing structures.
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spelling doaj.art-b2bd329bda03403db455bffd2b1165f42022-12-22T03:16:36ZengCTU Central LibraryActa Polytechnica CTU Proceedings2336-53822022-08-013661410.14311/APP.2022.36.00065652Assessment of existing structures under climate changeJohan V. Retief0Stellenbosch University, Department of Civil Engineering, Private Bag X1, Stellenbosch, 7600, South AfricaAssessment of the influence of human activities on recent, current, and future global and regional climate conditions and extremes has advanced sufficiently to provide a reasonable measure of its impact across the globe. The lack of concurrent adaptation of the design base for load bearing structures results mainly from the absence of a clear signal that climate change will have a significant effect on the climate actions that are accounted for in the structural design basis. The recent IPCC assessment of the physical science basis of climate change reports significant advances in observing and projecting changes in weather and climate extremes due to human influences. This provides an opportunity to reassess projections of future climate action conditions. Whilst the IPCC assessment confirms previous indications that, for example extreme wind will respond moderately globally, improvements in understanding and projecting changes show that trends will be overshadowed by uncertainties. The implication is that the design base will need to account for increasing uncertainties as climate actions are projected into the future, over the service life of existing structures, as well as those designed to current standards. The design base consequently in advance need to reflect continuous changes of existing structures.https://ojs.cvut.cz/ojs/index.php/APP/article/view/8412climate actionsclimate changedesign baseexisting structuresprojection skillsstructuresuncertainties
spellingShingle Johan V. Retief
Assessment of existing structures under climate change
Acta Polytechnica CTU Proceedings
climate actions
climate change
design base
existing structures
projection skills
structures
uncertainties
title Assessment of existing structures under climate change
title_full Assessment of existing structures under climate change
title_fullStr Assessment of existing structures under climate change
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of existing structures under climate change
title_short Assessment of existing structures under climate change
title_sort assessment of existing structures under climate change
topic climate actions
climate change
design base
existing structures
projection skills
structures
uncertainties
url https://ojs.cvut.cz/ojs/index.php/APP/article/view/8412
work_keys_str_mv AT johanvretief assessmentofexistingstructuresunderclimatechange