Does Scientific Uncertainty in News Articles Affect Readers’ Trust and Decision-Making?

Even though a main goal of science is to reduce the uncertainty in scientific results by applying ever-improving research methods, epistemic uncertainty is an integral part of science. As such, while uncertainty might be communicated in news articles about climate science, climate skeptics have also...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Friederike Hendriks, Regina Jucks
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cogitatio 2020-06-01
Series:Media and Communication
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cogitatiopress.com/mediaandcommunication/article/view/2824
_version_ 1818507026343395328
author Friederike Hendriks
Regina Jucks
author_facet Friederike Hendriks
Regina Jucks
author_sort Friederike Hendriks
collection DOAJ
description Even though a main goal of science is to reduce the uncertainty in scientific results by applying ever-improving research methods, epistemic uncertainty is an integral part of science. As such, while uncertainty might be communicated in news articles about climate science, climate skeptics have also exploited this uncertainty to cast doubt on science itself. We performed two studies to assess whether scientific uncertainty affects laypeople’s assessments of issue uncertainty, the credibility of the information, their trust in scientists and climate science, and impacts their decision-making. In addition, we addressed how these effects are influenced by further information on relevant scientific processes, because knowing that uncertainty goes along with scientific research could ease laypeople’s interpretations of uncertainty around evidence and may even protect against negative impacts of such uncertainty on trust. Unexpectedly, in study 1, after participants read both a text about research methods and a news article that included scientific uncertainty, they had lower trust in the scientists’ assertions than when they read the uncertain news article alone (but this did not impact trust in climate science or decision-making). In study 2, we tested whether these results occurred due to participants overestimating the scientific uncertainty at hand. Hence, we varied the framing of uncertainty in the text on scientific processes. We found that exaggerating the scientific uncertainty produced by scientific processes (vs. framing the uncertainty as something to be expected) did not negatively affect participants’ trust ratings. However, the degree to which participants preferred effortful reasoning on problems (intellective epistemic style) correlated with ratings of trust in scientists and climate science and with their decision-making. In sum, there was only little evidence that the introduction of uncertainty in news articles would affect participants’ ratings of trust and their decision-making, but their preferred style of reasoning did.
first_indexed 2024-12-10T22:12:53Z
format Article
id doaj.art-b344f6fa7b3a4dab9b986cd2b6ba3170
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2183-2439
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-10T22:12:53Z
publishDate 2020-06-01
publisher Cogitatio
record_format Article
series Media and Communication
spelling doaj.art-b344f6fa7b3a4dab9b986cd2b6ba31702022-12-22T01:31:33ZengCogitatioMedia and Communication2183-24392020-06-018240141210.17645/mac.v8i2.28241491Does Scientific Uncertainty in News Articles Affect Readers’ Trust and Decision-Making?Friederike Hendriks0Regina Jucks1Department of Psychology and Sport Studies, University of Münster, GermanyDepartment of Psychology and Sport Studies, University of Münster, GermanyEven though a main goal of science is to reduce the uncertainty in scientific results by applying ever-improving research methods, epistemic uncertainty is an integral part of science. As such, while uncertainty might be communicated in news articles about climate science, climate skeptics have also exploited this uncertainty to cast doubt on science itself. We performed two studies to assess whether scientific uncertainty affects laypeople’s assessments of issue uncertainty, the credibility of the information, their trust in scientists and climate science, and impacts their decision-making. In addition, we addressed how these effects are influenced by further information on relevant scientific processes, because knowing that uncertainty goes along with scientific research could ease laypeople’s interpretations of uncertainty around evidence and may even protect against negative impacts of such uncertainty on trust. Unexpectedly, in study 1, after participants read both a text about research methods and a news article that included scientific uncertainty, they had lower trust in the scientists’ assertions than when they read the uncertain news article alone (but this did not impact trust in climate science or decision-making). In study 2, we tested whether these results occurred due to participants overestimating the scientific uncertainty at hand. Hence, we varied the framing of uncertainty in the text on scientific processes. We found that exaggerating the scientific uncertainty produced by scientific processes (vs. framing the uncertainty as something to be expected) did not negatively affect participants’ trust ratings. However, the degree to which participants preferred effortful reasoning on problems (intellective epistemic style) correlated with ratings of trust in scientists and climate science and with their decision-making. In sum, there was only little evidence that the introduction of uncertainty in news articles would affect participants’ ratings of trust and their decision-making, but their preferred style of reasoning did.https://www.cogitatiopress.com/mediaandcommunication/article/view/2824fake newsprocedural knowledgereadershipscience communicationscientific literacyscientific uncertaintytrust
spellingShingle Friederike Hendriks
Regina Jucks
Does Scientific Uncertainty in News Articles Affect Readers’ Trust and Decision-Making?
Media and Communication
fake news
procedural knowledge
readership
science communication
scientific literacy
scientific uncertainty
trust
title Does Scientific Uncertainty in News Articles Affect Readers’ Trust and Decision-Making?
title_full Does Scientific Uncertainty in News Articles Affect Readers’ Trust and Decision-Making?
title_fullStr Does Scientific Uncertainty in News Articles Affect Readers’ Trust and Decision-Making?
title_full_unstemmed Does Scientific Uncertainty in News Articles Affect Readers’ Trust and Decision-Making?
title_short Does Scientific Uncertainty in News Articles Affect Readers’ Trust and Decision-Making?
title_sort does scientific uncertainty in news articles affect readers trust and decision making
topic fake news
procedural knowledge
readership
science communication
scientific literacy
scientific uncertainty
trust
url https://www.cogitatiopress.com/mediaandcommunication/article/view/2824
work_keys_str_mv AT friederikehendriks doesscientificuncertaintyinnewsarticlesaffectreaderstrustanddecisionmaking
AT reginajucks doesscientificuncertaintyinnewsarticlesaffectreaderstrustanddecisionmaking