Default Spread dan Term Spread sebagai Variabel Proxy Siklus Bisnis pada Model Fama-French

This research aims to apply the Fama-French models and test the effect of alternative variable of bond yield spread, default spread (RBBB – RAAA and RAAA – RF), and the term spread (RSUN10-RSUN1), as proxy variables of the business cycle, in IDX stock data during 2005-2010. Four types of asset prici...

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Main Authors: Edwin Hendra, Kim Sung Suk
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Bina Nusantara University 2015-08-01
Series:Binus Business Review
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journal.binus.ac.id/index.php/BBR/article/view/977
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author Edwin Hendra
Kim Sung Suk
author_facet Edwin Hendra
Kim Sung Suk
author_sort Edwin Hendra
collection DOAJ
description This research aims to apply the Fama-French models and test the effect of alternative variable of bond yield spread, default spread (RBBB – RAAA and RAAA – RF), and the term spread (RSUN10-RSUN1), as proxy variables of the business cycle, in IDX stock data during 2005-2010. Four types of asset pricing models tested are Sharpe-Lintner CAPM, Fama-French models, Hwang et al.model, and hybrid model. The results showed that the size effect and value effect has an impact on excess stock returns. Slopes of market beta, SMB, and HML are more sensitive to stock big size and high B / M. Default spreads and term spreads in Hwang et al. model can explain the value effect, and weakly explain the size effect, meanwhile the power of explanation disappeared on Hybrid models. Based on the assessment adjusted R2 and the frequency of rejection of non-zero alpha, is found that the hybrid model is the most suitable model.
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spelling doaj.art-b34d13194b59417e843ce1370bdf448c2023-08-02T01:08:39ZengBina Nusantara UniversityBinus Business Review2087-12282476-90532015-08-016228329710.21512/bbr.v6i2.977848Default Spread dan Term Spread sebagai Variabel Proxy Siklus Bisnis pada Model Fama-FrenchEdwin Hendra0Kim Sung Suk1Bina Nusantara UniversityUniversitas Pelita HarapanThis research aims to apply the Fama-French models and test the effect of alternative variable of bond yield spread, default spread (RBBB – RAAA and RAAA – RF), and the term spread (RSUN10-RSUN1), as proxy variables of the business cycle, in IDX stock data during 2005-2010. Four types of asset pricing models tested are Sharpe-Lintner CAPM, Fama-French models, Hwang et al.model, and hybrid model. The results showed that the size effect and value effect has an impact on excess stock returns. Slopes of market beta, SMB, and HML are more sensitive to stock big size and high B / M. Default spreads and term spreads in Hwang et al. model can explain the value effect, and weakly explain the size effect, meanwhile the power of explanation disappeared on Hybrid models. Based on the assessment adjusted R2 and the frequency of rejection of non-zero alpha, is found that the hybrid model is the most suitable model.https://journal.binus.ac.id/index.php/BBR/article/view/977CAPM, model Fama-French, term spread, default spread
spellingShingle Edwin Hendra
Kim Sung Suk
Default Spread dan Term Spread sebagai Variabel Proxy Siklus Bisnis pada Model Fama-French
Binus Business Review
CAPM, model Fama-French, term spread, default spread
title Default Spread dan Term Spread sebagai Variabel Proxy Siklus Bisnis pada Model Fama-French
title_full Default Spread dan Term Spread sebagai Variabel Proxy Siklus Bisnis pada Model Fama-French
title_fullStr Default Spread dan Term Spread sebagai Variabel Proxy Siklus Bisnis pada Model Fama-French
title_full_unstemmed Default Spread dan Term Spread sebagai Variabel Proxy Siklus Bisnis pada Model Fama-French
title_short Default Spread dan Term Spread sebagai Variabel Proxy Siklus Bisnis pada Model Fama-French
title_sort default spread dan term spread sebagai variabel proxy siklus bisnis pada model fama french
topic CAPM, model Fama-French, term spread, default spread
url https://journal.binus.ac.id/index.php/BBR/article/view/977
work_keys_str_mv AT edwinhendra defaultspreaddantermspreadsebagaivariabelproxysiklusbisnispadamodelfamafrench
AT kimsungsuk defaultspreaddantermspreadsebagaivariabelproxysiklusbisnispadamodelfamafrench