Infectiousness of places – Impact of multiscale human activity places in the transmission of COVID-19

Abstract COVID-19 raises attention to epidemic transmission in various places. This study analyzes the transmission risks associated with human activity places at multiple scales, including different types of settlements and eleven types of specific establishments (restaurants, bars, etc.), using CO...

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Main Authors: Lun Liu, Hui Wang, Zhu Zhang, Weiyi Zhang, Shengsheng Zhuang, Shenhao Wang, Elisabete A. Silva, Tingmiao Lv, Chi On Chio, Yifan Wang, Rina Dao, Chuchang Tang, On Ieng Ao-Ieong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2022-11-01
Series:npj Urban Sustainability
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s42949-022-00074-w
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author Lun Liu
Hui Wang
Zhu Zhang
Weiyi Zhang
Shengsheng Zhuang
Shenhao Wang
Elisabete A. Silva
Tingmiao Lv
Chi On Chio
Yifan Wang
Rina Dao
Chuchang Tang
On Ieng Ao-Ieong
author_facet Lun Liu
Hui Wang
Zhu Zhang
Weiyi Zhang
Shengsheng Zhuang
Shenhao Wang
Elisabete A. Silva
Tingmiao Lv
Chi On Chio
Yifan Wang
Rina Dao
Chuchang Tang
On Ieng Ao-Ieong
author_sort Lun Liu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract COVID-19 raises attention to epidemic transmission in various places. This study analyzes the transmission risks associated with human activity places at multiple scales, including different types of settlements and eleven types of specific establishments (restaurants, bars, etc.), using COVID-19 data in 906 urban areas across four continents. Through a difference-in-difference approach, we identify the causal effects of activities at various places on epidemic transmission. We find that at the micro-scale, though the transmission risks at different establishments differ across countries, sports, entertainment, and catering establishments are generally more infectious. At the macro-scale, contradicting common beliefs, it is consistent across countries that transmission does not increase with settlement size and density. It is also consistent that specific establishments play a lesser role in transmission in larger settlements, suggesting more transmission happening elsewhere. These findings contribute to building a system of knowledge on the linkage between places, human activities, and disease transmission.
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spelling doaj.art-b3683b90578441bb8c372336a31417d02022-12-22T03:35:15ZengNature Portfolionpj Urban Sustainability2661-80012022-11-01211810.1038/s42949-022-00074-wInfectiousness of places – Impact of multiscale human activity places in the transmission of COVID-19Lun Liu0Hui Wang1Zhu Zhang2Weiyi Zhang3Shengsheng Zhuang4Shenhao Wang5Elisabete A. Silva6Tingmiao Lv7Chi On Chio8Yifan Wang9Rina Dao10Chuchang Tang11On Ieng Ao-Ieong12School of Government, Peking UniversitySchool of Architecture, Tsinghua UniversitySchool of Government, Peking UniversitySchool of Government, Peking UniversityPeking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Urban and Regional Planning, University of FloridaDepartment of Land Economy, University of CambridgeSchool of Government, Peking UniversitySchool of Government, Peking UniversitySchool of Government, Peking UniversitySchool of Government, Peking UniversitySchool of Government, Peking UniversitySchool of Government, Peking UniversityAbstract COVID-19 raises attention to epidemic transmission in various places. This study analyzes the transmission risks associated with human activity places at multiple scales, including different types of settlements and eleven types of specific establishments (restaurants, bars, etc.), using COVID-19 data in 906 urban areas across four continents. Through a difference-in-difference approach, we identify the causal effects of activities at various places on epidemic transmission. We find that at the micro-scale, though the transmission risks at different establishments differ across countries, sports, entertainment, and catering establishments are generally more infectious. At the macro-scale, contradicting common beliefs, it is consistent across countries that transmission does not increase with settlement size and density. It is also consistent that specific establishments play a lesser role in transmission in larger settlements, suggesting more transmission happening elsewhere. These findings contribute to building a system of knowledge on the linkage between places, human activities, and disease transmission.https://doi.org/10.1038/s42949-022-00074-w
spellingShingle Lun Liu
Hui Wang
Zhu Zhang
Weiyi Zhang
Shengsheng Zhuang
Shenhao Wang
Elisabete A. Silva
Tingmiao Lv
Chi On Chio
Yifan Wang
Rina Dao
Chuchang Tang
On Ieng Ao-Ieong
Infectiousness of places – Impact of multiscale human activity places in the transmission of COVID-19
npj Urban Sustainability
title Infectiousness of places – Impact of multiscale human activity places in the transmission of COVID-19
title_full Infectiousness of places – Impact of multiscale human activity places in the transmission of COVID-19
title_fullStr Infectiousness of places – Impact of multiscale human activity places in the transmission of COVID-19
title_full_unstemmed Infectiousness of places – Impact of multiscale human activity places in the transmission of COVID-19
title_short Infectiousness of places – Impact of multiscale human activity places in the transmission of COVID-19
title_sort infectiousness of places impact of multiscale human activity places in the transmission of covid 19
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s42949-022-00074-w
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