Does crime impede economic growth? An evidence from India

Crime imposes significant direct and indirect costs on society. While a great wealth of literature focuses on crime as a result of prevailing economic conditions, one cannot exclude the possibility that the relationship between crime and economic growth may go the other way around. This study employ...

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Main Authors: Pranav Raj, Siva Reddy Kalluru
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2023-12-01
Series:Cogent Social Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23311886.2023.2196814
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author Pranav Raj
Siva Reddy Kalluru
author_facet Pranav Raj
Siva Reddy Kalluru
author_sort Pranav Raj
collection DOAJ
description Crime imposes significant direct and indirect costs on society. While a great wealth of literature focuses on crime as a result of prevailing economic conditions, one cannot exclude the possibility that the relationship between crime and economic growth may go the other way around. This study employs an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to empirically examine the extent to which homicides affect economic growth. The case study was conducted in India, and longitudinal annual data from 1990 to 2019 were employed. The bounds cointegration test reveals that crime rate, proxied by homicide rate, along with investment, FDI, exports, and enrolment Granger cause real per capita GDP in the long run. The homicide rate will have a significantly negative impact on economic growth in the short run. A one percentage increase in homicide rates leads to 0.25% decrease in economic growth. The findings point to urgent attention to the reduction of crime rates by increasing the opportunity cost of criminal activities and reducing the damaging effects of homicides on economic growth.
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spelling doaj.art-b3a51beebbf342d6ac92ea5a0db929812024-07-03T09:55:03ZengTaylor & Francis GroupCogent Social Sciences2331-18862023-12-019110.1080/23311886.2023.2196814Does crime impede economic growth? An evidence from IndiaPranav Raj0Siva Reddy Kalluru1Department of Economics, MIE-SPPU IoHE, Doha, QatarDepartment of Economics, Gokhale Institute of Politics and Economics, Pune, IndiaCrime imposes significant direct and indirect costs on society. While a great wealth of literature focuses on crime as a result of prevailing economic conditions, one cannot exclude the possibility that the relationship between crime and economic growth may go the other way around. This study employs an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to empirically examine the extent to which homicides affect economic growth. The case study was conducted in India, and longitudinal annual data from 1990 to 2019 were employed. The bounds cointegration test reveals that crime rate, proxied by homicide rate, along with investment, FDI, exports, and enrolment Granger cause real per capita GDP in the long run. The homicide rate will have a significantly negative impact on economic growth in the short run. A one percentage increase in homicide rates leads to 0.25% decrease in economic growth. The findings point to urgent attention to the reduction of crime rates by increasing the opportunity cost of criminal activities and reducing the damaging effects of homicides on economic growth.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23311886.2023.2196814CrimeEconomic GrowthBounds Test of CointegrationARDLIndiaK40
spellingShingle Pranav Raj
Siva Reddy Kalluru
Does crime impede economic growth? An evidence from India
Cogent Social Sciences
Crime
Economic Growth
Bounds Test of Cointegration
ARDL
India
K40
title Does crime impede economic growth? An evidence from India
title_full Does crime impede economic growth? An evidence from India
title_fullStr Does crime impede economic growth? An evidence from India
title_full_unstemmed Does crime impede economic growth? An evidence from India
title_short Does crime impede economic growth? An evidence from India
title_sort does crime impede economic growth an evidence from india
topic Crime
Economic Growth
Bounds Test of Cointegration
ARDL
India
K40
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23311886.2023.2196814
work_keys_str_mv AT pranavraj doescrimeimpedeeconomicgrowthanevidencefromindia
AT sivareddykalluru doescrimeimpedeeconomicgrowthanevidencefromindia