Relationship of Rainfall and Flood Return Periods through Hydrologic and Hydraulic Modeling

In order to examine the relationship between rainfall return periods and flood return periods, the design storm approach is compared to the rainfall–runoff continuous simulation and flood frequency analysis approach. The former was based on rainfall frequency analysis and event-based hydrological si...

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Main Authors: Harris Vangelis, Ioanna Zotou, Ioannis M. Kourtis, Vasilis Bellos, Vassilios A. Tsihrintzis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-11-01
Series:Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/14/22/3618
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author Harris Vangelis
Ioanna Zotou
Ioannis M. Kourtis
Vasilis Bellos
Vassilios A. Tsihrintzis
author_facet Harris Vangelis
Ioanna Zotou
Ioannis M. Kourtis
Vasilis Bellos
Vassilios A. Tsihrintzis
author_sort Harris Vangelis
collection DOAJ
description In order to examine the relationship between rainfall return periods and flood return periods, the design storm approach is compared to the rainfall–runoff continuous simulation and flood frequency analysis approach. The former was based on rainfall frequency analysis and event-based hydrological simulations, while the latter was based on continuous hydrological simulations and flood frequency analysis. All hydrological simulations were undertaken employing the HEC-HMS software. For the rainfall frequency analysis, the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) probability distribution was used. For the flood frequency analysis, both the Extreme Value Type I (Gumbel) and GEV theoretical distributions were used and compared to each other. Flood hazard (inundation depth, flow velocities and flood extent) was estimated based on hydrodynamic simulations employing the HEC-RAS software. The study area was the Pineios catchment, upstream of Larissa city, Greece. The results revealed that the assumption of equivalent return periods of rainfall and discharge is not valid for the study area. For instance, a 50-year return period flood corresponds to a rainfall return period of about 110 years. Even if flow measurements are not available, continuous simulation based on re-analysis datasets and flood frequency analysis may be alternatively used.
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spelling doaj.art-b3c66273e33d4fd7a91b741068dff5f52023-11-24T10:20:10ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412022-11-011422361810.3390/w14223618Relationship of Rainfall and Flood Return Periods through Hydrologic and Hydraulic ModelingHarris Vangelis0Ioanna Zotou1Ioannis M. Kourtis2Vasilis Bellos3Vassilios A. Tsihrintzis4Centre for the Assessment of Natural Hazards and Proactive Planning & Laboratory of Reclamation Works and Water Resources Management, School of Rural, Surveying and Geoinformatics Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 9 Heroon Polytechniou St., Zographou, 15780 Athens, GreeceCentre for the Assessment of Natural Hazards and Proactive Planning & Laboratory of Reclamation Works and Water Resources Management, School of Rural, Surveying and Geoinformatics Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 9 Heroon Polytechniou St., Zographou, 15780 Athens, GreeceCentre for the Assessment of Natural Hazards and Proactive Planning & Laboratory of Reclamation Works and Water Resources Management, School of Rural, Surveying and Geoinformatics Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 9 Heroon Polytechniou St., Zographou, 15780 Athens, GreeceLaboratory of Ecological Engineering and Technology, Department of Environmental Engineering, Democritus University of Thrace, 67100 Xanthi, GreeceCentre for the Assessment of Natural Hazards and Proactive Planning & Laboratory of Reclamation Works and Water Resources Management, School of Rural, Surveying and Geoinformatics Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 9 Heroon Polytechniou St., Zographou, 15780 Athens, GreeceIn order to examine the relationship between rainfall return periods and flood return periods, the design storm approach is compared to the rainfall–runoff continuous simulation and flood frequency analysis approach. The former was based on rainfall frequency analysis and event-based hydrological simulations, while the latter was based on continuous hydrological simulations and flood frequency analysis. All hydrological simulations were undertaken employing the HEC-HMS software. For the rainfall frequency analysis, the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) probability distribution was used. For the flood frequency analysis, both the Extreme Value Type I (Gumbel) and GEV theoretical distributions were used and compared to each other. Flood hazard (inundation depth, flow velocities and flood extent) was estimated based on hydrodynamic simulations employing the HEC-RAS software. The study area was the Pineios catchment, upstream of Larissa city, Greece. The results revealed that the assumption of equivalent return periods of rainfall and discharge is not valid for the study area. For instance, a 50-year return period flood corresponds to a rainfall return period of about 110 years. Even if flow measurements are not available, continuous simulation based on re-analysis datasets and flood frequency analysis may be alternatively used.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/14/22/3618design storm approachintensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curvesevent-based hydrologic simulationcontinuous simulationflood frequency analysisflood hazard
spellingShingle Harris Vangelis
Ioanna Zotou
Ioannis M. Kourtis
Vasilis Bellos
Vassilios A. Tsihrintzis
Relationship of Rainfall and Flood Return Periods through Hydrologic and Hydraulic Modeling
Water
design storm approach
intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves
event-based hydrologic simulation
continuous simulation
flood frequency analysis
flood hazard
title Relationship of Rainfall and Flood Return Periods through Hydrologic and Hydraulic Modeling
title_full Relationship of Rainfall and Flood Return Periods through Hydrologic and Hydraulic Modeling
title_fullStr Relationship of Rainfall and Flood Return Periods through Hydrologic and Hydraulic Modeling
title_full_unstemmed Relationship of Rainfall and Flood Return Periods through Hydrologic and Hydraulic Modeling
title_short Relationship of Rainfall and Flood Return Periods through Hydrologic and Hydraulic Modeling
title_sort relationship of rainfall and flood return periods through hydrologic and hydraulic modeling
topic design storm approach
intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves
event-based hydrologic simulation
continuous simulation
flood frequency analysis
flood hazard
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/14/22/3618
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