Long-term trends in daily extreme air temperature indices in Ireland from 1885 to 2018
Long-term instrumental series are crucial to analyse extreme air temperature indices and to examine modern climate warming within a historical context. This research provides the first assessment in Ireland of the frequency, duration, intensity and geographical distribution of the daily extreme air...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2022-06-01
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| Series: | Weather and Climate Extremes |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094722000469 |
| _version_ | 1811254816738902016 |
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| author | Carla Mateus Aaron Potito |
| author_facet | Carla Mateus Aaron Potito |
| author_sort | Carla Mateus |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Long-term instrumental series are crucial to analyse extreme air temperature indices and to examine modern climate warming within a historical context. This research provides the first assessment in Ireland of the frequency, duration, intensity and geographical distribution of the daily extreme air temperature indices recommended by the ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices) and based on long-term rescued, quality-controlled and homogenised data. Prior analysis of air temperature indices in Ireland had focused on the period since the second half of the 20th century, where digital data were readily available. Earlier estimations of long-term air temperature trends in Ireland focused on non-homogenised data from a small network of stations. For this research, 11 long-term (1885–2018) maximum and minimum air temperature series were analysed to assess seasonal and annual trends and construct extreme air temperature indices in Ireland. The non-parametric Mann-Kendall test was employed to test the statistical significance of the maximum and minimum air temperatures and indices trends (p < 0.05). Significant increasing trends were assessed in the seasonal and annual maximum and minimum air temperature series in Ireland, with greater increases in the spring and autumn seasons. Significant increasing trends were determined in the warm days (+6.8 days), warm nights (+7.5 nights), warm spell duration index (+3.9 days), growing season length (+22 days), coldest night (+2.7 °C) and coldest day (+1.5 °C) in the period 1885–2018 in Ireland. In the same period, significant decreasing trends were identified in the cold days (−9.3 days), cold nights (−7 nights), frost days (−13.7 days), cold spell duration index (−6.9 days) and diurnal air temperature range (−0.1 °C) in Ireland. The results follow global patterns presented in the Six Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The findings of this research will be crucial to assist stakeholders and policymakers in defining climate action, adaptation and mitigation plans in response to shifting trends in air temperature extremes. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-12T17:13:19Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-b3d79282ca5b4abd90e5bbb86186c892 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2212-0947 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-12T17:13:19Z |
| publishDate | 2022-06-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Weather and Climate Extremes |
| spelling | doaj.art-b3d79282ca5b4abd90e5bbb86186c8922022-12-22T03:23:44ZengElsevierWeather and Climate Extremes2212-09472022-06-0136100464Long-term trends in daily extreme air temperature indices in Ireland from 1885 to 2018Carla Mateus0Aaron Potito1Corresponding author.; School of Geography, Archaeology and Irish Studies and Ryan Institute, National University of Ireland Galway, H91 TK33, IrelandSchool of Geography, Archaeology and Irish Studies and Ryan Institute, National University of Ireland Galway, H91 TK33, IrelandLong-term instrumental series are crucial to analyse extreme air temperature indices and to examine modern climate warming within a historical context. This research provides the first assessment in Ireland of the frequency, duration, intensity and geographical distribution of the daily extreme air temperature indices recommended by the ETCCDI (Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices) and based on long-term rescued, quality-controlled and homogenised data. Prior analysis of air temperature indices in Ireland had focused on the period since the second half of the 20th century, where digital data were readily available. Earlier estimations of long-term air temperature trends in Ireland focused on non-homogenised data from a small network of stations. For this research, 11 long-term (1885–2018) maximum and minimum air temperature series were analysed to assess seasonal and annual trends and construct extreme air temperature indices in Ireland. The non-parametric Mann-Kendall test was employed to test the statistical significance of the maximum and minimum air temperatures and indices trends (p < 0.05). Significant increasing trends were assessed in the seasonal and annual maximum and minimum air temperature series in Ireland, with greater increases in the spring and autumn seasons. Significant increasing trends were determined in the warm days (+6.8 days), warm nights (+7.5 nights), warm spell duration index (+3.9 days), growing season length (+22 days), coldest night (+2.7 °C) and coldest day (+1.5 °C) in the period 1885–2018 in Ireland. In the same period, significant decreasing trends were identified in the cold days (−9.3 days), cold nights (−7 nights), frost days (−13.7 days), cold spell duration index (−6.9 days) and diurnal air temperature range (−0.1 °C) in Ireland. The results follow global patterns presented in the Six Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The findings of this research will be crucial to assist stakeholders and policymakers in defining climate action, adaptation and mitigation plans in response to shifting trends in air temperature extremes.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094722000469Air temperature trendsExtreme air temperature indicesHistorical weather extremesClimate changeIreland |
| spellingShingle | Carla Mateus Aaron Potito Long-term trends in daily extreme air temperature indices in Ireland from 1885 to 2018 Weather and Climate Extremes Air temperature trends Extreme air temperature indices Historical weather extremes Climate change Ireland |
| title | Long-term trends in daily extreme air temperature indices in Ireland from 1885 to 2018 |
| title_full | Long-term trends in daily extreme air temperature indices in Ireland from 1885 to 2018 |
| title_fullStr | Long-term trends in daily extreme air temperature indices in Ireland from 1885 to 2018 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Long-term trends in daily extreme air temperature indices in Ireland from 1885 to 2018 |
| title_short | Long-term trends in daily extreme air temperature indices in Ireland from 1885 to 2018 |
| title_sort | long term trends in daily extreme air temperature indices in ireland from 1885 to 2018 |
| topic | Air temperature trends Extreme air temperature indices Historical weather extremes Climate change Ireland |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094722000469 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT carlamateus longtermtrendsindailyextremeairtemperatureindicesinirelandfrom1885to2018 AT aaronpotito longtermtrendsindailyextremeairtemperatureindicesinirelandfrom1885to2018 |