Asymmetric Relatedness from Partial Correlation

Relatedness is a key concept in economic complexity, since the assessment of the similarity between industrial sectors enables policymakers to design optimal development strategies. However, among the different ways to quantify relatedness, a measure that takes explicitly into account the time corre...

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Main Authors: Carlos Saenz de Pipaon Perez, Andrea Zaccaria, Tiziana Di Matteo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-03-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/24/3/365
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author Carlos Saenz de Pipaon Perez
Andrea Zaccaria
Tiziana Di Matteo
author_facet Carlos Saenz de Pipaon Perez
Andrea Zaccaria
Tiziana Di Matteo
author_sort Carlos Saenz de Pipaon Perez
collection DOAJ
description Relatedness is a key concept in economic complexity, since the assessment of the similarity between industrial sectors enables policymakers to design optimal development strategies. However, among the different ways to quantify relatedness, a measure that takes explicitly into account the time correlation structure of exports is still lacking. In this paper, we introduce an asymmetric definition of relatedness by using statistically significant partial correlations between the exports of economic sectors and we apply it to a recently introduced database that integrates the export of physical goods with the export of services. Our asymmetric relatedness is obtained by generalising a recently introduced correlation-filtering algorithm, the partial correlation planar graph, in order to allow its application on multi-sample and multi-variate datasets, and in particular, bipartite temporal networks. The result is a network of economic activities whose links represent the respective influence in terms of temporal correlations; we also compute the statistical confidence of the edges in the network via an adapted bootstrapping procedure. We find that the underlying influence structure of the system leads to the formation of intuitively-related clusters of economic sectors in the network, and to a relatively strong assortative mixing of sectors according to their complexity. Moreover, hub nodes tend to form more robust connections than those in the periphery.
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spelling doaj.art-b3fdbdd0815141148ae07b06881174e22023-11-24T01:07:21ZengMDPI AGEntropy1099-43002022-03-0124336510.3390/e24030365Asymmetric Relatedness from Partial CorrelationCarlos Saenz de Pipaon Perez0Andrea Zaccaria1Tiziana Di Matteo2Department of Mathematics, King’s College London, The Strand, London WC2R 2LS, UKIstituto dei Sistemi Complessi (ISC)—CNR, UoS Sapienza, P.le A. Moro, 2, 00185 Rome, ItalyDepartment of Mathematics, King’s College London, The Strand, London WC2R 2LS, UKRelatedness is a key concept in economic complexity, since the assessment of the similarity between industrial sectors enables policymakers to design optimal development strategies. However, among the different ways to quantify relatedness, a measure that takes explicitly into account the time correlation structure of exports is still lacking. In this paper, we introduce an asymmetric definition of relatedness by using statistically significant partial correlations between the exports of economic sectors and we apply it to a recently introduced database that integrates the export of physical goods with the export of services. Our asymmetric relatedness is obtained by generalising a recently introduced correlation-filtering algorithm, the partial correlation planar graph, in order to allow its application on multi-sample and multi-variate datasets, and in particular, bipartite temporal networks. The result is a network of economic activities whose links represent the respective influence in terms of temporal correlations; we also compute the statistical confidence of the edges in the network via an adapted bootstrapping procedure. We find that the underlying influence structure of the system leads to the formation of intuitively-related clusters of economic sectors in the network, and to a relatively strong assortative mixing of sectors according to their complexity. Moreover, hub nodes tend to form more robust connections than those in the periphery.https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/24/3/365complex systemseconomic complexityrelatednessproducts and servicesplanar graphpartial correlation
spellingShingle Carlos Saenz de Pipaon Perez
Andrea Zaccaria
Tiziana Di Matteo
Asymmetric Relatedness from Partial Correlation
Entropy
complex systems
economic complexity
relatedness
products and services
planar graph
partial correlation
title Asymmetric Relatedness from Partial Correlation
title_full Asymmetric Relatedness from Partial Correlation
title_fullStr Asymmetric Relatedness from Partial Correlation
title_full_unstemmed Asymmetric Relatedness from Partial Correlation
title_short Asymmetric Relatedness from Partial Correlation
title_sort asymmetric relatedness from partial correlation
topic complex systems
economic complexity
relatedness
products and services
planar graph
partial correlation
url https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/24/3/365
work_keys_str_mv AT carlossaenzdepipaonperez asymmetricrelatednessfrompartialcorrelation
AT andreazaccaria asymmetricrelatednessfrompartialcorrelation
AT tizianadimatteo asymmetricrelatednessfrompartialcorrelation