Evaluation and Prediction Analysis of 3- and 5-Year Relative Survival Rates of Patients with Cervical Cancer: A Model-Based Period Analysis
Background Cervical cancer remains a threat to female health due to high mortality. Clarification of the long-term trend of survival rate over time and the associated risk factors would be greatly informative to improve the prognosis of cervical cancer patients. Methods This retrospective study was...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
SAGE Publishing
2024-02-01
|
| Series: | Cancer Control |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1177/10732748241232324 |
| _version_ | 1797293882013122560 |
|---|---|
| author | Xiaodong Fan MD Wei He MD Qing Zhang MD Binjie Zhang MD Li Dong PhD Li Li MD Xiaochun Liu PhD |
| author_facet | Xiaodong Fan MD Wei He MD Qing Zhang MD Binjie Zhang MD Li Dong PhD Li Li MD Xiaochun Liu PhD |
| author_sort | Xiaodong Fan MD |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Background Cervical cancer remains a threat to female health due to high mortality. Clarification of the long-term trend of survival rate over time and the associated risk factors would be greatly informative to improve the prognosis of cervical cancer patients. Methods This retrospective study was based on data extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database of the United States. The 3-year and 5-year overall survival rates of patients with cervical cancer during 2002–2006, 2007–2011, and 2012–2016 were analyzed. Period analysis was used to assess the variation in survival rate stratified by age, race, and socioeconomic status during the 15-year study period and then predicted the relative survival rate in the following period from 2017 to 2021. Results During 2002–2016, the 3-year relative survival rate of cervical cancer patients increased from 73.1% to 73.5% with a high jump between 2007 and 2011. This upward trend is expected to continue to 74.3% between 2017 and 2021. Patients older than 60 years, black ethnicity, or medium and high poverty status were likely to have a lower relative survival rate. Conclusion This study confirmed the increased relative survival rate of cervical cancer patients over years and identified relevant risk factors. Targeted initiatives for elderly and socially underprivileged individuals may be able to mitigate inequality. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-07T21:21:12Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-b4286e39a3914ca8a9c7b101df12dda8 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1526-2359 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-07T21:21:12Z |
| publishDate | 2024-02-01 |
| publisher | SAGE Publishing |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Cancer Control |
| spelling | doaj.art-b4286e39a3914ca8a9c7b101df12dda82024-02-27T11:03:49ZengSAGE PublishingCancer Control1526-23592024-02-013110.1177/10732748241232324Evaluation and Prediction Analysis of 3- and 5-Year Relative Survival Rates of Patients with Cervical Cancer: A Model-Based Period AnalysisXiaodong Fan MDWei He MDQing Zhang MDBinjie Zhang MDLi Dong PhDLi Li MDXiaochun Liu PhDBackground Cervical cancer remains a threat to female health due to high mortality. Clarification of the long-term trend of survival rate over time and the associated risk factors would be greatly informative to improve the prognosis of cervical cancer patients. Methods This retrospective study was based on data extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database of the United States. The 3-year and 5-year overall survival rates of patients with cervical cancer during 2002–2006, 2007–2011, and 2012–2016 were analyzed. Period analysis was used to assess the variation in survival rate stratified by age, race, and socioeconomic status during the 15-year study period and then predicted the relative survival rate in the following period from 2017 to 2021. Results During 2002–2016, the 3-year relative survival rate of cervical cancer patients increased from 73.1% to 73.5% with a high jump between 2007 and 2011. This upward trend is expected to continue to 74.3% between 2017 and 2021. Patients older than 60 years, black ethnicity, or medium and high poverty status were likely to have a lower relative survival rate. Conclusion This study confirmed the increased relative survival rate of cervical cancer patients over years and identified relevant risk factors. Targeted initiatives for elderly and socially underprivileged individuals may be able to mitigate inequality.https://doi.org/10.1177/10732748241232324 |
| spellingShingle | Xiaodong Fan MD Wei He MD Qing Zhang MD Binjie Zhang MD Li Dong PhD Li Li MD Xiaochun Liu PhD Evaluation and Prediction Analysis of 3- and 5-Year Relative Survival Rates of Patients with Cervical Cancer: A Model-Based Period Analysis Cancer Control |
| title | Evaluation and Prediction Analysis of 3- and 5-Year Relative Survival Rates of Patients with Cervical Cancer: A Model-Based Period Analysis |
| title_full | Evaluation and Prediction Analysis of 3- and 5-Year Relative Survival Rates of Patients with Cervical Cancer: A Model-Based Period Analysis |
| title_fullStr | Evaluation and Prediction Analysis of 3- and 5-Year Relative Survival Rates of Patients with Cervical Cancer: A Model-Based Period Analysis |
| title_full_unstemmed | Evaluation and Prediction Analysis of 3- and 5-Year Relative Survival Rates of Patients with Cervical Cancer: A Model-Based Period Analysis |
| title_short | Evaluation and Prediction Analysis of 3- and 5-Year Relative Survival Rates of Patients with Cervical Cancer: A Model-Based Period Analysis |
| title_sort | evaluation and prediction analysis of 3 and 5 year relative survival rates of patients with cervical cancer a model based period analysis |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1177/10732748241232324 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT xiaodongfanmd evaluationandpredictionanalysisof3and5yearrelativesurvivalratesofpatientswithcervicalcanceramodelbasedperiodanalysis AT weihemd evaluationandpredictionanalysisof3and5yearrelativesurvivalratesofpatientswithcervicalcanceramodelbasedperiodanalysis AT qingzhangmd evaluationandpredictionanalysisof3and5yearrelativesurvivalratesofpatientswithcervicalcanceramodelbasedperiodanalysis AT binjiezhangmd evaluationandpredictionanalysisof3and5yearrelativesurvivalratesofpatientswithcervicalcanceramodelbasedperiodanalysis AT lidongphd evaluationandpredictionanalysisof3and5yearrelativesurvivalratesofpatientswithcervicalcanceramodelbasedperiodanalysis AT lilimd evaluationandpredictionanalysisof3and5yearrelativesurvivalratesofpatientswithcervicalcanceramodelbasedperiodanalysis AT xiaochunliuphd evaluationandpredictionanalysisof3and5yearrelativesurvivalratesofpatientswithcervicalcanceramodelbasedperiodanalysis |