Weight cycling and risk of clinical adverse events in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a post-hoc analysis of TOPCAT

BackgroundPrevious studies hardly evaluated the association of variability of body mass index (BMI) or waist circumference with clinical adverse events and investigated whether weight cycling had an effect on the prognosis of patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).Metho...

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Main Authors: Yi Tan, Hang Guo, Ning Zhang, Keyang Zheng, Guifang Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-05-01
Series:Frontiers in Endocrinology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2023.1159826/full
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author Yi Tan
Hang Guo
Ning Zhang
Keyang Zheng
Guifang Liu
author_facet Yi Tan
Hang Guo
Ning Zhang
Keyang Zheng
Guifang Liu
author_sort Yi Tan
collection DOAJ
description BackgroundPrevious studies hardly evaluated the association of variability of body mass index (BMI) or waist circumference with clinical adverse events and investigated whether weight cycling had an effect on the prognosis of patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).MethodsThis study was a post-hoc analysis of TOPCAT. Three outcomes were evaluated: the primary endpoint, cardiovascular disease (CVD) death, and heart failure hospitalization. Among them, CVD death and hospitalization were outcomes of heart failure. Kaplan–Meier curves were used to describe the cumulative risk of outcome and were tested using the log-rank test. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95%CIs for outcomes. We also performed a subgroup analysis, and several subgroups were compared.ResultsA total of 3,146 patients were included. In the Kaplan–Meier curves, the coefficients of variation of both BMI and waist circumference were grouped according to quartiles, with the Q4 group having the highest cumulative risk (log-rank P < 0.001). In the coefficient of BMI variation and the outcomes, the HRs for group Q4 of coefficient of variation of BMI were 2.35 (95%CI: 1.82, 3.03) for the primary endpoint, 2.40 (95%CI: 1.69, 3.40) for death, and 2.33 (95%CI: 1.68, 3.22) for HF hospitalization in model 3 (fully adjusted model) compared with group Q1. In the coefficient of waist circumference variation and the outcomes, group Q4 had increased hazard of the primary endpoint [HR: 2.39 (95%CI: 1.84, 3.12)], CVD death [HR: 3.29 (95%CI: 2.28, 4.77)], and HF hospitalization [HR: 1.98 (95%CI 1.43, 2.75)] in model 3 (fully adjusted model) compared with group Q1. In the subgroup analysis, there was a significant interaction in the diabetes mellitus subgroup (P for interaction = 0.0234).ConclusionWeight cycling had a negative effect on the prognosis of patients with HFpEF. The presence of comorbid diabetes weakened the relationship between waist circumference variability and clinical adverse events.
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spelling doaj.art-b5018bba93ac4c519bd4a76399decd9b2023-05-10T05:16:59ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Endocrinology1664-23922023-05-011410.3389/fendo.2023.11598261159826Weight cycling and risk of clinical adverse events in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a post-hoc analysis of TOPCATYi Tan0Hang Guo1Ning Zhang2Keyang Zheng3Guifang Liu4Department of Education, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Education, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Education, Beijing Stomatological Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Education, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, Qingdao Central Hospital, Qingdao, Shandong, ChinaBackgroundPrevious studies hardly evaluated the association of variability of body mass index (BMI) or waist circumference with clinical adverse events and investigated whether weight cycling had an effect on the prognosis of patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).MethodsThis study was a post-hoc analysis of TOPCAT. Three outcomes were evaluated: the primary endpoint, cardiovascular disease (CVD) death, and heart failure hospitalization. Among them, CVD death and hospitalization were outcomes of heart failure. Kaplan–Meier curves were used to describe the cumulative risk of outcome and were tested using the log-rank test. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95%CIs for outcomes. We also performed a subgroup analysis, and several subgroups were compared.ResultsA total of 3,146 patients were included. In the Kaplan–Meier curves, the coefficients of variation of both BMI and waist circumference were grouped according to quartiles, with the Q4 group having the highest cumulative risk (log-rank P < 0.001). In the coefficient of BMI variation and the outcomes, the HRs for group Q4 of coefficient of variation of BMI were 2.35 (95%CI: 1.82, 3.03) for the primary endpoint, 2.40 (95%CI: 1.69, 3.40) for death, and 2.33 (95%CI: 1.68, 3.22) for HF hospitalization in model 3 (fully adjusted model) compared with group Q1. In the coefficient of waist circumference variation and the outcomes, group Q4 had increased hazard of the primary endpoint [HR: 2.39 (95%CI: 1.84, 3.12)], CVD death [HR: 3.29 (95%CI: 2.28, 4.77)], and HF hospitalization [HR: 1.98 (95%CI 1.43, 2.75)] in model 3 (fully adjusted model) compared with group Q1. In the subgroup analysis, there was a significant interaction in the diabetes mellitus subgroup (P for interaction = 0.0234).ConclusionWeight cycling had a negative effect on the prognosis of patients with HFpEF. The presence of comorbid diabetes weakened the relationship between waist circumference variability and clinical adverse events.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2023.1159826/fullbody mass indexwaist circumferenceheart failure with preserved ejection fractionweight cyclingdiabetes mellitus
spellingShingle Yi Tan
Hang Guo
Ning Zhang
Keyang Zheng
Guifang Liu
Weight cycling and risk of clinical adverse events in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a post-hoc analysis of TOPCAT
Frontiers in Endocrinology
body mass index
waist circumference
heart failure with preserved ejection fraction
weight cycling
diabetes mellitus
title Weight cycling and risk of clinical adverse events in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a post-hoc analysis of TOPCAT
title_full Weight cycling and risk of clinical adverse events in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a post-hoc analysis of TOPCAT
title_fullStr Weight cycling and risk of clinical adverse events in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a post-hoc analysis of TOPCAT
title_full_unstemmed Weight cycling and risk of clinical adverse events in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a post-hoc analysis of TOPCAT
title_short Weight cycling and risk of clinical adverse events in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a post-hoc analysis of TOPCAT
title_sort weight cycling and risk of clinical adverse events in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction a post hoc analysis of topcat
topic body mass index
waist circumference
heart failure with preserved ejection fraction
weight cycling
diabetes mellitus
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2023.1159826/full
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