Hybrid Model for Forecasting Indoor CO<sub>2</sub> Concentration

Indoor CO<sub>2</sub> concentration is considered a metric of indoor air quality that affects the health of occupants. In this study, a hybrid model was developed for forecasting the varying indoor CO<sub>2</sub> concentration levels in a residential apartment unit in the pre...

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Main Authors: Ki Uhn Ahn, Deuk-Woo Kim, Kyungjoo Cho, Dongwoo Cho, Hyun Mi Cho, Chang-U Chae
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-09-01
Series:Buildings
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-5309/12/10/1540
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author Ki Uhn Ahn
Deuk-Woo Kim
Kyungjoo Cho
Dongwoo Cho
Hyun Mi Cho
Chang-U Chae
author_facet Ki Uhn Ahn
Deuk-Woo Kim
Kyungjoo Cho
Dongwoo Cho
Hyun Mi Cho
Chang-U Chae
author_sort Ki Uhn Ahn
collection DOAJ
description Indoor CO<sub>2</sub> concentration is considered a metric of indoor air quality that affects the health of occupants. In this study, a hybrid model was developed for forecasting the varying indoor CO<sub>2</sub> concentration levels in a residential apartment unit in the presence of occupants by controlling the ventilation rates of a heat recovery ventilator. In this model, the mass balance equation for a single zone as a white-box model was combined with a Bayesian neural network (BNN) as a black box model. During the learning process of the hybrid model, the BNN estimated an aggregated unknown ventilation rate and transferred the estimation to the mass-balance equation. A parametric study was conducted by changing the prediction horizons of the hybrid model from 5 to 15 min, and the forecasting performance of the hybrid model was compared with the stand-alone mass balance equation. The hybrid model showed better forecasting performance than that of the mass balance equation on the experimental dataset for a living room and bedroom. The average MBE and CVRMSE of the hybrid model for the prediction horizon of 15 min were 0.65% and 5.23%, respectively, whereas those of the mass balance equation were 0.99% and 9.30%, respectively.
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spelling doaj.art-b529d35800334d608ab1a84860bf47eb2023-11-23T23:15:59ZengMDPI AGBuildings2075-53092022-09-011210154010.3390/buildings12101540Hybrid Model for Forecasting Indoor CO<sub>2</sub> ConcentrationKi Uhn Ahn0Deuk-Woo Kim1Kyungjoo Cho2Dongwoo Cho3Hyun Mi Cho4Chang-U Chae5Department of Building Research, Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology, 283 Goyangdae-ro, Ilsanseo-gu, Goyang-si 10223, Gyeonggi-do, KoreaDepartment of Building Energy Research, Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology, 283 Goyangdae-ro, Ilsanseo-gu, Goyang-si 10223, Gyeonggi-do, KoreaDepartment of Building Energy Research, Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology, 283 Goyangdae-ro, Ilsanseo-gu, Goyang-si 10223, Gyeonggi-do, KoreaDepartment of Building Energy Research, Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology, 283 Goyangdae-ro, Ilsanseo-gu, Goyang-si 10223, Gyeonggi-do, KoreaDepartment of Building Research, Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology, 283 Goyangdae-ro, Ilsanseo-gu, Goyang-si 10223, Gyeonggi-do, KoreaResearch Strategic Planning Department, Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology, 283 Goyangdae-ro, Ilsanseo-gu, Goyang-si 10223, Gyeonggi-do, KoreaIndoor CO<sub>2</sub> concentration is considered a metric of indoor air quality that affects the health of occupants. In this study, a hybrid model was developed for forecasting the varying indoor CO<sub>2</sub> concentration levels in a residential apartment unit in the presence of occupants by controlling the ventilation rates of a heat recovery ventilator. In this model, the mass balance equation for a single zone as a white-box model was combined with a Bayesian neural network (BNN) as a black box model. During the learning process of the hybrid model, the BNN estimated an aggregated unknown ventilation rate and transferred the estimation to the mass-balance equation. A parametric study was conducted by changing the prediction horizons of the hybrid model from 5 to 15 min, and the forecasting performance of the hybrid model was compared with the stand-alone mass balance equation. The hybrid model showed better forecasting performance than that of the mass balance equation on the experimental dataset for a living room and bedroom. The average MBE and CVRMSE of the hybrid model for the prediction horizon of 15 min were 0.65% and 5.23%, respectively, whereas those of the mass balance equation were 0.99% and 9.30%, respectively.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-5309/12/10/1540machine learningbayesian neural networkhybrid modelCO<sub>2</sub> concentrationventilation system
spellingShingle Ki Uhn Ahn
Deuk-Woo Kim
Kyungjoo Cho
Dongwoo Cho
Hyun Mi Cho
Chang-U Chae
Hybrid Model for Forecasting Indoor CO<sub>2</sub> Concentration
Buildings
machine learning
bayesian neural network
hybrid model
CO<sub>2</sub> concentration
ventilation system
title Hybrid Model for Forecasting Indoor CO<sub>2</sub> Concentration
title_full Hybrid Model for Forecasting Indoor CO<sub>2</sub> Concentration
title_fullStr Hybrid Model for Forecasting Indoor CO<sub>2</sub> Concentration
title_full_unstemmed Hybrid Model for Forecasting Indoor CO<sub>2</sub> Concentration
title_short Hybrid Model for Forecasting Indoor CO<sub>2</sub> Concentration
title_sort hybrid model for forecasting indoor co sub 2 sub concentration
topic machine learning
bayesian neural network
hybrid model
CO<sub>2</sub> concentration
ventilation system
url https://www.mdpi.com/2075-5309/12/10/1540
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AT dongwoocho hybridmodelforforecastingindoorcosub2subconcentration
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