Study on Dynamic Prediction of Mining Subsidence with Segmented Weibull Time Function

The maximum subsidence speed moment τ of the surface point was set as cut-off point to divide the dynamic subsidence process into two phases of approximate symmetry. By combining it with deviation correction and growth function model to eliminate the oretical error, a segmented Weibull function was...

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Main Authors: Yongsheng ZHANG, Haifeng HU, Yinfei CAI, Fushuai HE
格式: 文件
语言:English
出版: Editorial Office of Journal of Taiyuan University of Technology 2021-05-01
丛编:Taiyuan Ligong Daxue xuebao
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在线阅读:https://tyutjournal.tyut.edu.cn/englishpaper/show-131.html
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author Yongsheng ZHANG
Haifeng HU
Yinfei CAI
Fushuai HE
author_facet Yongsheng ZHANG
Haifeng HU
Yinfei CAI
Fushuai HE
author_sort Yongsheng ZHANG
collection DOAJ
description The maximum subsidence speed moment τ of the surface point was set as cut-off point to divide the dynamic subsidence process into two phases of approximate symmetry. By combining it with deviation correction and growth function model to eliminate the oretical error, a segmented Weibull function was proposed, the regression equation of τ and the distance x between the surface point and the open hole was established, and the determination method of lithologic parameters c and k was discussed, which effectively improved the deficiency of Weibull time function in dynamic prediction. On the basis of the measured data of 3214 working face in a mine in Shanxi Province, the subsidence values of single point and main section were predicted and verified, and compared with those obtained by Weibull, Knothe and optimized segmented Knothe functions. From the analysis it was found that the prediction accuracy of piecewise Weibull time function is 41.09%, 51.03%, and 3.47% higher than above functions, respactively, at a single point. For the main section, the relative error in the first peried is the largest, only 5.25%. The segmented Weibull time function has certain reliability and can be used for dynamic prediction with higher accuracy in subsidence areas.
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spelling doaj.art-b5476ef705b942a280e3474220ac037f2024-04-09T08:03:59ZengEditorial Office of Journal of Taiyuan University of TechnologyTaiyuan Ligong Daxue xuebao1007-94322021-05-0152334334910.16355/j.cnki.issn1007-9432tyut.2021.03.0031007-9432(2021)03-0343-07Study on Dynamic Prediction of Mining Subsidence with Segmented Weibull Time FunctionYongsheng ZHANG0Haifeng HU1Yinfei CAI2Fushuai HE3College of Mining Engineering, Taiyuan University of Technology, Taiyuan 030024, ChinaCollege of Mining Engineering, Taiyuan University of Technology, Taiyuan 030024, ChinaCollege of Mining Engineering, Taiyuan University of Technology, Taiyuan 030024, ChinaCollege of Mining Engineering, Taiyuan University of Technology, Taiyuan 030024, ChinaThe maximum subsidence speed moment τ of the surface point was set as cut-off point to divide the dynamic subsidence process into two phases of approximate symmetry. By combining it with deviation correction and growth function model to eliminate the oretical error, a segmented Weibull function was proposed, the regression equation of τ and the distance x between the surface point and the open hole was established, and the determination method of lithologic parameters c and k was discussed, which effectively improved the deficiency of Weibull time function in dynamic prediction. On the basis of the measured data of 3214 working face in a mine in Shanxi Province, the subsidence values of single point and main section were predicted and verified, and compared with those obtained by Weibull, Knothe and optimized segmented Knothe functions. From the analysis it was found that the prediction accuracy of piecewise Weibull time function is 41.09%, 51.03%, and 3.47% higher than above functions, respactively, at a single point. For the main section, the relative error in the first peried is the largest, only 5.25%. The segmented Weibull time function has certain reliability and can be used for dynamic prediction with higher accuracy in subsidence areas.https://tyutjournal.tyut.edu.cn/englishpaper/show-131.htmlsegmented weibulldynamic predictionmining subsidencetime function
spellingShingle Yongsheng ZHANG
Haifeng HU
Yinfei CAI
Fushuai HE
Study on Dynamic Prediction of Mining Subsidence with Segmented Weibull Time Function
Taiyuan Ligong Daxue xuebao
segmented weibull
dynamic prediction
mining subsidence
time function
title Study on Dynamic Prediction of Mining Subsidence with Segmented Weibull Time Function
title_full Study on Dynamic Prediction of Mining Subsidence with Segmented Weibull Time Function
title_fullStr Study on Dynamic Prediction of Mining Subsidence with Segmented Weibull Time Function
title_full_unstemmed Study on Dynamic Prediction of Mining Subsidence with Segmented Weibull Time Function
title_short Study on Dynamic Prediction of Mining Subsidence with Segmented Weibull Time Function
title_sort study on dynamic prediction of mining subsidence with segmented weibull time function
topic segmented weibull
dynamic prediction
mining subsidence
time function
url https://tyutjournal.tyut.edu.cn/englishpaper/show-131.html
work_keys_str_mv AT yongshengzhang studyondynamicpredictionofminingsubsidencewithsegmentedweibulltimefunction
AT haifenghu studyondynamicpredictionofminingsubsidencewithsegmentedweibulltimefunction
AT yinfeicai studyondynamicpredictionofminingsubsidencewithsegmentedweibulltimefunction
AT fushuaihe studyondynamicpredictionofminingsubsidencewithsegmentedweibulltimefunction