Higher local Ebola incidence causes lower child vaccination rates

Abstract Ebola is a highly infectious and often fatal zoonotic disease endemic to West and Central Africa. Local outbreaks of the disease are common, but the largest recorded Ebola epidemic originated in Guinea in December 2013, spreading to Liberia, and Sierra Leone in the following year and lastin...

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Main Authors: Upasak Das, David Fielding
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-01-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-51633-3
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author Upasak Das
David Fielding
author_facet Upasak Das
David Fielding
author_sort Upasak Das
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Ebola is a highly infectious and often fatal zoonotic disease endemic to West and Central Africa. Local outbreaks of the disease are common, but the largest recorded Ebola epidemic originated in Guinea in December 2013, spreading to Liberia, and Sierra Leone in the following year and lasting until April 2016. The epidemic presented a serious challenge to local healthcare systems and foreign aid agencies: it degraded services, caused the loss of healthcare professionals, disrupted the economy, and reduced trust in modern healthcare. This study aims to estimate the extent to which variation in one long-term measure of the quality of local healthcare (the child vaccination rate) is a consequence of local variation in the intensity of the epidemic. Applying a “difference-in-differences” model to household survey data from before and after the epidemic, we show that in 2018–2019, overall rates of vaccination for BCG, DPT, measles, and polio are lower in Guinean and Sierra Leonean districts that had a relatively high incidence of Ebola; statistical analysis indicates that this is a causal effect. The effects of the epidemic on access to healthcare have been local effects, at least in part.
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spelling doaj.art-b54c7c5a5fb84a1284805104a75ff3382024-01-21T12:16:21ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222024-01-011411710.1038/s41598-024-51633-3Higher local Ebola incidence causes lower child vaccination ratesUpasak Das0David Fielding1Global Development Institute, University of ManchesterGlobal Development Institute, University of ManchesterAbstract Ebola is a highly infectious and often fatal zoonotic disease endemic to West and Central Africa. Local outbreaks of the disease are common, but the largest recorded Ebola epidemic originated in Guinea in December 2013, spreading to Liberia, and Sierra Leone in the following year and lasting until April 2016. The epidemic presented a serious challenge to local healthcare systems and foreign aid agencies: it degraded services, caused the loss of healthcare professionals, disrupted the economy, and reduced trust in modern healthcare. This study aims to estimate the extent to which variation in one long-term measure of the quality of local healthcare (the child vaccination rate) is a consequence of local variation in the intensity of the epidemic. Applying a “difference-in-differences” model to household survey data from before and after the epidemic, we show that in 2018–2019, overall rates of vaccination for BCG, DPT, measles, and polio are lower in Guinean and Sierra Leonean districts that had a relatively high incidence of Ebola; statistical analysis indicates that this is a causal effect. The effects of the epidemic on access to healthcare have been local effects, at least in part.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-51633-3
spellingShingle Upasak Das
David Fielding
Higher local Ebola incidence causes lower child vaccination rates
Scientific Reports
title Higher local Ebola incidence causes lower child vaccination rates
title_full Higher local Ebola incidence causes lower child vaccination rates
title_fullStr Higher local Ebola incidence causes lower child vaccination rates
title_full_unstemmed Higher local Ebola incidence causes lower child vaccination rates
title_short Higher local Ebola incidence causes lower child vaccination rates
title_sort higher local ebola incidence causes lower child vaccination rates
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-51633-3
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AT davidfielding higherlocalebolaincidencecauseslowerchildvaccinationrates