Effects of climatic and social factors on dengue incidence in Mexican municipalities in the state of Veracruz
Objective. To assess links between the social variables and longer-term El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) related weather conditions as they relate to the week-to-week changes in dengue incidence at a regional level. Materials and methods. We collected data from 10 municipalities of the Olmeca reg...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública
2017-01-01
|
| Series: | Salud Pública de México |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.saludpublica.mx/index.php/spm/article/view/8414 |
| _version_ | 1819144735741181952 |
|---|---|
| author | Grea Litai Moreno-Banda Horacio Riojas-Rodríguez Magali Hurtado-Díaz Rogelio Danis-Lozano Stephen Joel Rothenberg |
| author_facet | Grea Litai Moreno-Banda Horacio Riojas-Rodríguez Magali Hurtado-Díaz Rogelio Danis-Lozano Stephen Joel Rothenberg |
| author_sort | Grea Litai Moreno-Banda |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Objective. To assess links between the social variables and longer-term El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) related weather conditions as they relate to the week-to-week changes in dengue incidence at a regional level. Materials and methods. We collected data from 10 municipalities of the Olmeca region in México, over a 10 year period (January 1995 to December 2005). Negative binomial models with distributed lags were adjusted to look for associations between changes in the weekly incidence rate of dengue fever and climate variability. Results. Our results show that it takes approximately six weeks for sea surface temperatures (SST -34) to affect dengue incidence adjusted by weather and social variables. Conclusion. Such models could be used as early as two months in advance to provide information to decision makers about potential epidemics. Elucidating the effect of climatic variability and social variables, could assist in the development of accurate early warning systems for epidemics like dengue, Chikungunya and Zika. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-22T12:46:52Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-b57a9e89d56a44339669dfa70d000085 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 0036-3634 1606-7916 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-22T12:46:52Z |
| publishDate | 2017-01-01 |
| publisher | Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Salud Pública de México |
| spelling | doaj.art-b57a9e89d56a44339669dfa70d0000852022-12-21T18:25:18ZengInstituto Nacional de Salud PúblicaSalud Pública de México0036-36341606-79162017-01-01591415210.21149/841416275Effects of climatic and social factors on dengue incidence in Mexican municipalities in the state of VeracruzGrea Litai Moreno-Banda0Horacio Riojas-Rodríguez1Magali Hurtado-Díaz2Rogelio Danis-Lozano3Stephen Joel Rothenberg4Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública. Cuernavaca, México.Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública. Cuernavaca, México.Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública. Cuernavaca, México.Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública. Tapachula, México.Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública. Cuernavaca, MéxicoObjective. To assess links between the social variables and longer-term El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) related weather conditions as they relate to the week-to-week changes in dengue incidence at a regional level. Materials and methods. We collected data from 10 municipalities of the Olmeca region in México, over a 10 year period (January 1995 to December 2005). Negative binomial models with distributed lags were adjusted to look for associations between changes in the weekly incidence rate of dengue fever and climate variability. Results. Our results show that it takes approximately six weeks for sea surface temperatures (SST -34) to affect dengue incidence adjusted by weather and social variables. Conclusion. Such models could be used as early as two months in advance to provide information to decision makers about potential epidemics. Elucidating the effect of climatic variability and social variables, could assist in the development of accurate early warning systems for epidemics like dengue, Chikungunya and Zika.http://www.saludpublica.mx/index.php/spm/article/view/8414disease vectorsEl Nino-southern oscillationclimatetime series studies |
| spellingShingle | Grea Litai Moreno-Banda Horacio Riojas-Rodríguez Magali Hurtado-Díaz Rogelio Danis-Lozano Stephen Joel Rothenberg Effects of climatic and social factors on dengue incidence in Mexican municipalities in the state of Veracruz Salud Pública de México disease vectors El Nino-southern oscillation climate time series studies |
| title | Effects of climatic and social factors on dengue incidence in Mexican municipalities in the state of Veracruz |
| title_full | Effects of climatic and social factors on dengue incidence in Mexican municipalities in the state of Veracruz |
| title_fullStr | Effects of climatic and social factors on dengue incidence in Mexican municipalities in the state of Veracruz |
| title_full_unstemmed | Effects of climatic and social factors on dengue incidence in Mexican municipalities in the state of Veracruz |
| title_short | Effects of climatic and social factors on dengue incidence in Mexican municipalities in the state of Veracruz |
| title_sort | effects of climatic and social factors on dengue incidence in mexican municipalities in the state of veracruz |
| topic | disease vectors El Nino-southern oscillation climate time series studies |
| url | http://www.saludpublica.mx/index.php/spm/article/view/8414 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT grealitaimorenobanda effectsofclimaticandsocialfactorsondengueincidenceinmexicanmunicipalitiesinthestateofveracruz AT horacioriojasrodriguez effectsofclimaticandsocialfactorsondengueincidenceinmexicanmunicipalitiesinthestateofveracruz AT magalihurtadodiaz effectsofclimaticandsocialfactorsondengueincidenceinmexicanmunicipalitiesinthestateofveracruz AT rogeliodanislozano effectsofclimaticandsocialfactorsondengueincidenceinmexicanmunicipalitiesinthestateofveracruz AT stephenjoelrothenberg effectsofclimaticandsocialfactorsondengueincidenceinmexicanmunicipalitiesinthestateofveracruz |