Re-thinking the drivers of regular and irregular migration: evidence from the MENA region

Abstract Why do individuals vary in their desire to emigrate? Why are some willing to emigrate irregularly? This article tests four theoretical approaches—socio-demographics; economic and political context; access to migrant networks; and psychological factors—across the Middle East and North Africa...

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Main Author: James Dennison
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2022-05-01
Series:Comparative Migration Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40878-022-00296-y
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author James Dennison
author_facet James Dennison
author_sort James Dennison
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Why do individuals vary in their desire to emigrate? Why are some willing to emigrate irregularly? This article tests four theoretical approaches—socio-demographics; economic and political context; access to migrant networks; and psychological factors—across the Middle East and North Africa region. Data from the Arab Barometer is used to show that the most prevalent factors are youth, university education, being male, and stress levels as well as negative economic and political perceptions, being unmarried, trust in social media, remittances, and low religiosity. Notably, economic factors such as unemployment and income are shown to rarely have an effect. The determinants of being willing to emigrate without papers are fewer and distinct: gender and lower income especially as well as lower education and negative economic and political perceptions. Several contributions to our understanding of emigration are made: a two-step model of irregular emigration based on findings across 12 countries, new evidence of the complex and, within-country, muted role of economic factors, the centrality of psychology, and how, tentatively, it appears that both extreme wealth and war interact with the most fundamental socio-demographic drivers.
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spelling doaj.art-b58e49f2397d4158bf8d73b8ea79cfe62022-12-22T03:25:52ZengSpringerOpenComparative Migration Studies2214-594X2022-05-0110112910.1186/s40878-022-00296-yRe-thinking the drivers of regular and irregular migration: evidence from the MENA regionJames Dennison0Migration Policy Centre, European University InstituteAbstract Why do individuals vary in their desire to emigrate? Why are some willing to emigrate irregularly? This article tests four theoretical approaches—socio-demographics; economic and political context; access to migrant networks; and psychological factors—across the Middle East and North Africa region. Data from the Arab Barometer is used to show that the most prevalent factors are youth, university education, being male, and stress levels as well as negative economic and political perceptions, being unmarried, trust in social media, remittances, and low religiosity. Notably, economic factors such as unemployment and income are shown to rarely have an effect. The determinants of being willing to emigrate without papers are fewer and distinct: gender and lower income especially as well as lower education and negative economic and political perceptions. Several contributions to our understanding of emigration are made: a two-step model of irregular emigration based on findings across 12 countries, new evidence of the complex and, within-country, muted role of economic factors, the centrality of psychology, and how, tentatively, it appears that both extreme wealth and war interact with the most fundamental socio-demographic drivers.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40878-022-00296-yPropensity to emigrateIrregular migrationMENA regionPsychology of migrationArab Barometer
spellingShingle James Dennison
Re-thinking the drivers of regular and irregular migration: evidence from the MENA region
Comparative Migration Studies
Propensity to emigrate
Irregular migration
MENA region
Psychology of migration
Arab Barometer
title Re-thinking the drivers of regular and irregular migration: evidence from the MENA region
title_full Re-thinking the drivers of regular and irregular migration: evidence from the MENA region
title_fullStr Re-thinking the drivers of regular and irregular migration: evidence from the MENA region
title_full_unstemmed Re-thinking the drivers of regular and irregular migration: evidence from the MENA region
title_short Re-thinking the drivers of regular and irregular migration: evidence from the MENA region
title_sort re thinking the drivers of regular and irregular migration evidence from the mena region
topic Propensity to emigrate
Irregular migration
MENA region
Psychology of migration
Arab Barometer
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40878-022-00296-y
work_keys_str_mv AT jamesdennison rethinkingthedriversofregularandirregularmigrationevidencefromthemenaregion