Heat stress illness outcomes and annual indices of outdoor heat at U.S. Army installations

This study characterized associations between annually scaled thermal indices and annual heat stress illness (HSI) morbidity outcomes, including heat stroke and heat exhaustion, among active-duty soldiers at ten Continental U.S. (CONUS) Army installations from 1991 to 2018. We fit negative binomial...

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Main Authors: Stephen A. Lewandowski, Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou, Jeffrey L. Shaman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2022-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9683623/?tool=EBI
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author Stephen A. Lewandowski
Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou
Jeffrey L. Shaman
author_facet Stephen A. Lewandowski
Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou
Jeffrey L. Shaman
author_sort Stephen A. Lewandowski
collection DOAJ
description This study characterized associations between annually scaled thermal indices and annual heat stress illness (HSI) morbidity outcomes, including heat stroke and heat exhaustion, among active-duty soldiers at ten Continental U.S. (CONUS) Army installations from 1991 to 2018. We fit negative binomial models for 3 types of HSI morbidity outcomes and annual indices for temperature, heat index, and wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGT), adjusting for installation-level effects and long-term trends in the negative binomial regression models using block-bootstrap resampling. Ambulatory (out-patient) and reportable event HSI outcomes displayed predominately positive association patterns with the assessed annual indices of heat, whereas hospitalization associations were mostly null. For example, a one-degree Fahrenheit (°F) (or 0.55°C) increase in mean temperature between May and September was associated with a 1.16 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.11, 1.29) times greater rate of ambulatory encounters. The annual-scaled rate ratios and their uncertainties may be applied to climate projections for a wide range of thermal indices to estimate future military and civilian HSI burdens and impacts to medical resources.
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spelling doaj.art-b5a2b863dee243b4ac325ccf2a6628a62022-12-22T03:46:44ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032022-01-011711Heat stress illness outcomes and annual indices of outdoor heat at U.S. Army installationsStephen A. LewandowskiMarianthi-Anna KioumourtzoglouJeffrey L. ShamanThis study characterized associations between annually scaled thermal indices and annual heat stress illness (HSI) morbidity outcomes, including heat stroke and heat exhaustion, among active-duty soldiers at ten Continental U.S. (CONUS) Army installations from 1991 to 2018. We fit negative binomial models for 3 types of HSI morbidity outcomes and annual indices for temperature, heat index, and wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGT), adjusting for installation-level effects and long-term trends in the negative binomial regression models using block-bootstrap resampling. Ambulatory (out-patient) and reportable event HSI outcomes displayed predominately positive association patterns with the assessed annual indices of heat, whereas hospitalization associations were mostly null. For example, a one-degree Fahrenheit (°F) (or 0.55°C) increase in mean temperature between May and September was associated with a 1.16 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.11, 1.29) times greater rate of ambulatory encounters. The annual-scaled rate ratios and their uncertainties may be applied to climate projections for a wide range of thermal indices to estimate future military and civilian HSI burdens and impacts to medical resources.https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9683623/?tool=EBI
spellingShingle Stephen A. Lewandowski
Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou
Jeffrey L. Shaman
Heat stress illness outcomes and annual indices of outdoor heat at U.S. Army installations
PLoS ONE
title Heat stress illness outcomes and annual indices of outdoor heat at U.S. Army installations
title_full Heat stress illness outcomes and annual indices of outdoor heat at U.S. Army installations
title_fullStr Heat stress illness outcomes and annual indices of outdoor heat at U.S. Army installations
title_full_unstemmed Heat stress illness outcomes and annual indices of outdoor heat at U.S. Army installations
title_short Heat stress illness outcomes and annual indices of outdoor heat at U.S. Army installations
title_sort heat stress illness outcomes and annual indices of outdoor heat at u s army installations
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9683623/?tool=EBI
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AT jeffreylshaman heatstressillnessoutcomesandannualindicesofoutdoorheatatusarmyinstallations