First-line treatments for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a network meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis in China and the United States

Background: Various therapeutic strategies are available for the first-line treatment of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC). But which approach is the most cost-effective remains uncertain. Objectives: This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of first-line strategies in...

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Main Authors: Ke-Xin Sun, Shan-Shan Cao, Feng-Hao Shi, Yue Guan, Meng Tang, Mei-na Zhao, Yu-Fan Jian, Bin Cui, Zhi-Yan Li, Jing-Wen Wang, Feng Yu, Yi Ding
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2022-12-01
Series:Therapeutic Advances in Gastroenterology
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/17562848221140662
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author Ke-Xin Sun
Shan-Shan Cao
Feng-Hao Shi
Yue Guan
Meng Tang
Mei-na Zhao
Yu-Fan Jian
Bin Cui
Zhi-Yan Li
Jing-Wen Wang
Feng Yu
Yi Ding
author_facet Ke-Xin Sun
Shan-Shan Cao
Feng-Hao Shi
Yue Guan
Meng Tang
Mei-na Zhao
Yu-Fan Jian
Bin Cui
Zhi-Yan Li
Jing-Wen Wang
Feng Yu
Yi Ding
author_sort Ke-Xin Sun
collection DOAJ
description Background: Various therapeutic strategies are available for the first-line treatment of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC). But which approach is the most cost-effective remains uncertain. Objectives: This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of first-line strategies in aHCC patients from the perspective of Chinese and US payers. Design: A network meta-analysis (NMA) and cost-effectiveness study. Data sources and methods: A NMA was conducted to collect all first-line strategies with aHCC from 1 October 1 2018 until 1 January 2022. The relevant randomized controlled trial literature in PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library for the last 3 years were searched. The abstracts of meetings of the American Society of Clinical Oncology, European Society of Medical Oncology, and American Association for Cancer Research were also reviewed. A Markov model that included three states was developed. One-way sensitivity and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to investigate the uncertainty of the economic evaluation. Scenario analysis was conducted to explore the economic benefits of treatment strategies in low-income populations. Results: Base-case analysis in China included 1712 patients showed that atezolizumab combined with bevacizumab, sintilimab combined with bevacizumab, lenvatinib (LEVA), and sorafenib (SORA) added 0.46, 1.25, 0.77, and −1.08 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), respectively, compared with donafenib, resulting in an incremental cost-effective ratio of $85607.88, $12109.27, and $1651.47 per QALY at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) of $11101.70/QALY. In the United States, only the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of SORA was higher that were lower than the WTP threshold ($69375/QALY), and LEVA was the most cost-effective strategy with the ICERs were 25022.13/QALY. Conclusion: The NMA and cost-effectiveness analysis revealed that LEVA is the favorite choice in the first-line treatment of Chinese aHCC patients and US payers’ perspective when the WTP was $11101.70/QALY in China and $69375.0/QALY in the United States. Registration: This study has been registered on the PROSPERO database with the registration number CRD42021286575.
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spelling doaj.art-b6131bcfacb845e68cf2a775f96939812022-12-22T04:40:43ZengSAGE PublishingTherapeutic Advances in Gastroenterology1756-28482022-12-011510.1177/17562848221140662First-line treatments for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a network meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis in China and the United StatesKe-Xin SunShan-Shan CaoFeng-Hao ShiYue GuanMeng TangMei-na ZhaoYu-Fan JianBin CuiZhi-Yan LiJing-Wen WangFeng YuYi DingBackground: Various therapeutic strategies are available for the first-line treatment of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC). But which approach is the most cost-effective remains uncertain. Objectives: This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of first-line strategies in aHCC patients from the perspective of Chinese and US payers. Design: A network meta-analysis (NMA) and cost-effectiveness study. Data sources and methods: A NMA was conducted to collect all first-line strategies with aHCC from 1 October 1 2018 until 1 January 2022. The relevant randomized controlled trial literature in PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library for the last 3 years were searched. The abstracts of meetings of the American Society of Clinical Oncology, European Society of Medical Oncology, and American Association for Cancer Research were also reviewed. A Markov model that included three states was developed. One-way sensitivity and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to investigate the uncertainty of the economic evaluation. Scenario analysis was conducted to explore the economic benefits of treatment strategies in low-income populations. Results: Base-case analysis in China included 1712 patients showed that atezolizumab combined with bevacizumab, sintilimab combined with bevacizumab, lenvatinib (LEVA), and sorafenib (SORA) added 0.46, 1.25, 0.77, and −1.08 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), respectively, compared with donafenib, resulting in an incremental cost-effective ratio of $85607.88, $12109.27, and $1651.47 per QALY at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) of $11101.70/QALY. In the United States, only the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of SORA was higher that were lower than the WTP threshold ($69375/QALY), and LEVA was the most cost-effective strategy with the ICERs were 25022.13/QALY. Conclusion: The NMA and cost-effectiveness analysis revealed that LEVA is the favorite choice in the first-line treatment of Chinese aHCC patients and US payers’ perspective when the WTP was $11101.70/QALY in China and $69375.0/QALY in the United States. Registration: This study has been registered on the PROSPERO database with the registration number CRD42021286575.https://doi.org/10.1177/17562848221140662
spellingShingle Ke-Xin Sun
Shan-Shan Cao
Feng-Hao Shi
Yue Guan
Meng Tang
Mei-na Zhao
Yu-Fan Jian
Bin Cui
Zhi-Yan Li
Jing-Wen Wang
Feng Yu
Yi Ding
First-line treatments for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a network meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis in China and the United States
Therapeutic Advances in Gastroenterology
title First-line treatments for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a network meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis in China and the United States
title_full First-line treatments for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a network meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis in China and the United States
title_fullStr First-line treatments for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a network meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis in China and the United States
title_full_unstemmed First-line treatments for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a network meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis in China and the United States
title_short First-line treatments for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a network meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis in China and the United States
title_sort first line treatments for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma a network meta analysis and cost effectiveness analysis in china and the united states
url https://doi.org/10.1177/17562848221140662
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