The climatological renewable energy deviation index (credi)
We propose an index to quantify and analyse the impact of climatological variability on the energy system at different timescales. We define the climatological renewable energy deviation index ( credi ) as the cumulative anomaly of a renewable resource with respect to its climate over a specific tim...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
IOP Publishing
2024-01-01
|
| Series: | Environmental Research Letters |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad27b9 |
| _version_ | 1797302299458011136 |
|---|---|
| author | Laurens P Stoop Karin van der Wiel William Zappa Arno Haverkamp Ad J Feelders Machteld van den Broek |
| author_facet | Laurens P Stoop Karin van der Wiel William Zappa Arno Haverkamp Ad J Feelders Machteld van den Broek |
| author_sort | Laurens P Stoop |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | We propose an index to quantify and analyse the impact of climatological variability on the energy system at different timescales. We define the climatological renewable energy deviation index ( credi ) as the cumulative anomaly of a renewable resource with respect to its climate over a specific time period of interest. For this we introduce the smooth, yet physical, hourly rolling window climatology that captures the expected hourly to yearly behaviour of renewable resources. We analyse the presented index at decadal, annual and (sub-)seasonal timescales for a sample region and discuss scientific and practical implications. credi is meant as an analytical tool for researchers and stakeholders to help them quantify, understand, and explain, the impact of energy-meteorological variability on future energy system. Improved understanding translates to better assessments of how renewable resources, and the associated risks for energy security, may fare in current and future climatological settings. The practical use of the index is in resource planning. For example transmission system operators may be able to adjust short-term planning to reduce adequacy issues before they occur or combine the index with storyline event selection for improved assessments of climate change related risks. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-07T23:34:48Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-b6137a97db0646a69256e29498c54157 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1748-9326 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-07T23:34:48Z |
| publishDate | 2024-01-01 |
| publisher | IOP Publishing |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Environmental Research Letters |
| spelling | doaj.art-b6137a97db0646a69256e29498c541572024-02-20T08:07:15ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262024-01-0119303402110.1088/1748-9326/ad27b9The climatological renewable energy deviation index (credi)Laurens P Stoop0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2756-5653Karin van der Wiel1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9365-5759William Zappa2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6810-7224Arno Haverkamp3https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6947-7892Ad J Feelders4https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4525-1949Machteld van den Broek5https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1028-1742Information and Computing Science, Utrecht University , Utrecht, The Netherlands; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University , Utrecht, The Netherlands; TenneT TSO B.V. , Arnhem, The NetherlandsRoyal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) , De Bilt, The NetherlandsTenneT TSO B.V. , Arnhem, The NetherlandsTenneT TSO B.V. , Arnhem, The NetherlandsInformation and Computing Science, Utrecht University , Utrecht, The NetherlandsFaculty Technology, Policy, and Management, Delft University of Technology , Delft, The NetherlandsWe propose an index to quantify and analyse the impact of climatological variability on the energy system at different timescales. We define the climatological renewable energy deviation index ( credi ) as the cumulative anomaly of a renewable resource with respect to its climate over a specific time period of interest. For this we introduce the smooth, yet physical, hourly rolling window climatology that captures the expected hourly to yearly behaviour of renewable resources. We analyse the presented index at decadal, annual and (sub-)seasonal timescales for a sample region and discuss scientific and practical implications. credi is meant as an analytical tool for researchers and stakeholders to help them quantify, understand, and explain, the impact of energy-meteorological variability on future energy system. Improved understanding translates to better assessments of how renewable resources, and the associated risks for energy security, may fare in current and future climatological settings. The practical use of the index is in resource planning. For example transmission system operators may be able to adjust short-term planning to reduce adequacy issues before they occur or combine the index with storyline event selection for improved assessments of climate change related risks.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad27b9resource droughtsresource adequacyrenewable energy droughtdunkelflautewind drought |
| spellingShingle | Laurens P Stoop Karin van der Wiel William Zappa Arno Haverkamp Ad J Feelders Machteld van den Broek The climatological renewable energy deviation index (credi) Environmental Research Letters resource droughts resource adequacy renewable energy drought dunkelflaute wind drought |
| title | The climatological renewable energy deviation index (credi) |
| title_full | The climatological renewable energy deviation index (credi) |
| title_fullStr | The climatological renewable energy deviation index (credi) |
| title_full_unstemmed | The climatological renewable energy deviation index (credi) |
| title_short | The climatological renewable energy deviation index (credi) |
| title_sort | climatological renewable energy deviation index credi |
| topic | resource droughts resource adequacy renewable energy drought dunkelflaute wind drought |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad27b9 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT laurenspstoop theclimatologicalrenewableenergydeviationindexcredi AT karinvanderwiel theclimatologicalrenewableenergydeviationindexcredi AT williamzappa theclimatologicalrenewableenergydeviationindexcredi AT arnohaverkamp theclimatologicalrenewableenergydeviationindexcredi AT adjfeelders theclimatologicalrenewableenergydeviationindexcredi AT machteldvandenbroek theclimatologicalrenewableenergydeviationindexcredi AT laurenspstoop climatologicalrenewableenergydeviationindexcredi AT karinvanderwiel climatologicalrenewableenergydeviationindexcredi AT williamzappa climatologicalrenewableenergydeviationindexcredi AT arnohaverkamp climatologicalrenewableenergydeviationindexcredi AT adjfeelders climatologicalrenewableenergydeviationindexcredi AT machteldvandenbroek climatologicalrenewableenergydeviationindexcredi |