Motivated reasoning about climate change and the influence of Numeracy, Need for Cognition, and the Dark Factor of Personality

Abstract Human information processing is not always rational but influenced by prior attitudes, a phenomenon commonly known as motivated reasoning. We conducted two studies (N 1  = 556, N 2  = 1198; UK samples) investigating motivated reasoning in the context of climate change with a focus on indivi...

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Main Authors: Fabian Hutmacher, Regina Reichardt, Markus Appel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-03-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-55930-9
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author Fabian Hutmacher
Regina Reichardt
Markus Appel
author_facet Fabian Hutmacher
Regina Reichardt
Markus Appel
author_sort Fabian Hutmacher
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Human information processing is not always rational but influenced by prior attitudes, a phenomenon commonly known as motivated reasoning. We conducted two studies (N 1  = 556, N 2  = 1198; UK samples) investigating motivated reasoning in the context of climate change with a focus on individual differences as potential moderating factors. While previous research investigated motivated reasoning regarding the debate whether climate change is anthropogenic, we focused on current discourses about the effectiveness of different countermeasures. To this end, participants evaluated fictitious scientific data on the effectiveness of regulations to reduce CO2 emissions. In both studies, participants exhibited motivated reasoning as indicated by the observation that prior attitudes about CO2 reduction policies predicted evaluation of the scientific data. The degree of motivated reasoning was not related to individual difference variables, namely the ability to understand and reason with numbers (Numeracy), the willingness to show this ability (Need for Cognition), and the tendency to maximize one’s individual utility (Dark Factor of Personality). However, numeracy was associated with a less biased interpretation of the presented information. Our research demonstrates that motivated reasoning is a general phenomenon, and points to numerical training as one way to improve reasoning.
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spelling doaj.art-b62f1de4da4f45d3b4b0505e073ec3842024-03-10T12:11:46ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222024-03-0114111610.1038/s41598-024-55930-9Motivated reasoning about climate change and the influence of Numeracy, Need for Cognition, and the Dark Factor of PersonalityFabian Hutmacher0Regina Reichardt1Markus Appel2Human-Computer-Media Institute, Julius-Maximilians-University WürzburgDepartment of Psychology, University of RegensburgHuman-Computer-Media Institute, Julius-Maximilians-University WürzburgAbstract Human information processing is not always rational but influenced by prior attitudes, a phenomenon commonly known as motivated reasoning. We conducted two studies (N 1  = 556, N 2  = 1198; UK samples) investigating motivated reasoning in the context of climate change with a focus on individual differences as potential moderating factors. While previous research investigated motivated reasoning regarding the debate whether climate change is anthropogenic, we focused on current discourses about the effectiveness of different countermeasures. To this end, participants evaluated fictitious scientific data on the effectiveness of regulations to reduce CO2 emissions. In both studies, participants exhibited motivated reasoning as indicated by the observation that prior attitudes about CO2 reduction policies predicted evaluation of the scientific data. The degree of motivated reasoning was not related to individual difference variables, namely the ability to understand and reason with numbers (Numeracy), the willingness to show this ability (Need for Cognition), and the tendency to maximize one’s individual utility (Dark Factor of Personality). However, numeracy was associated with a less biased interpretation of the presented information. Our research demonstrates that motivated reasoning is a general phenomenon, and points to numerical training as one way to improve reasoning.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-55930-9
spellingShingle Fabian Hutmacher
Regina Reichardt
Markus Appel
Motivated reasoning about climate change and the influence of Numeracy, Need for Cognition, and the Dark Factor of Personality
Scientific Reports
title Motivated reasoning about climate change and the influence of Numeracy, Need for Cognition, and the Dark Factor of Personality
title_full Motivated reasoning about climate change and the influence of Numeracy, Need for Cognition, and the Dark Factor of Personality
title_fullStr Motivated reasoning about climate change and the influence of Numeracy, Need for Cognition, and the Dark Factor of Personality
title_full_unstemmed Motivated reasoning about climate change and the influence of Numeracy, Need for Cognition, and the Dark Factor of Personality
title_short Motivated reasoning about climate change and the influence of Numeracy, Need for Cognition, and the Dark Factor of Personality
title_sort motivated reasoning about climate change and the influence of numeracy need for cognition and the dark factor of personality
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-55930-9
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