A machine learning model identifies patients in need of autoimmune disease testing using electronic health records

Abstract Systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases (SARDs) can lead to irreversible damage if left untreated, yet these patients often endure long diagnostic journeys before being diagnosed and treated. Machine learning may help overcome the challenges of diagnosing SARDs and inform clinical decision-m...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Iain S. Forrest, Ben O. Petrazzini, Áine Duffy, Joshua K. Park, Anya J. O’Neal, Daniel M. Jordan, Ghislain Rocheleau, Girish N. Nadkarni, Judy H. Cho, Ashira D. Blazer, Ron Do
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-04-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-37996-7
_version_ 1797827461781651456
author Iain S. Forrest
Ben O. Petrazzini
Áine Duffy
Joshua K. Park
Anya J. O’Neal
Daniel M. Jordan
Ghislain Rocheleau
Girish N. Nadkarni
Judy H. Cho
Ashira D. Blazer
Ron Do
author_facet Iain S. Forrest
Ben O. Petrazzini
Áine Duffy
Joshua K. Park
Anya J. O’Neal
Daniel M. Jordan
Ghislain Rocheleau
Girish N. Nadkarni
Judy H. Cho
Ashira D. Blazer
Ron Do
author_sort Iain S. Forrest
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases (SARDs) can lead to irreversible damage if left untreated, yet these patients often endure long diagnostic journeys before being diagnosed and treated. Machine learning may help overcome the challenges of diagnosing SARDs and inform clinical decision-making. Here, we developed and tested a machine learning model to identify patients who should receive rheumatological evaluation for SARDs using longitudinal electronic health records of 161,584 individuals from two institutions. The model demonstrated high performance for predicting cases of autoantibody-tested individuals in a validation set, an external test set, and an independent cohort with a broader case definition. This approach identified more individuals for autoantibody testing compared with current clinical standards and a greater proportion of autoantibody carriers among those tested. Diagnoses of SARDs and other autoimmune conditions increased with higher model probabilities. The model detected a need for autoantibody testing and rheumatology encounters up to five years before the test date and assessment date, respectively. Altogether, these findings illustrate that the clinical manifestations of a diverse array of autoimmune conditions are detectable in electronic health records using machine learning, which may help systematize and accelerate autoimmune testing.
first_indexed 2024-04-09T12:48:41Z
format Article
id doaj.art-b64a1436928b48f396ea73f3b6b5a0c3
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2041-1723
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-09T12:48:41Z
publishDate 2023-04-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Nature Communications
spelling doaj.art-b64a1436928b48f396ea73f3b6b5a0c32023-05-14T11:21:13ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232023-04-0114111210.1038/s41467-023-37996-7A machine learning model identifies patients in need of autoimmune disease testing using electronic health recordsIain S. Forrest0Ben O. Petrazzini1Áine Duffy2Joshua K. Park3Anya J. O’Neal4Daniel M. Jordan5Ghislain Rocheleau6Girish N. Nadkarni7Judy H. Cho8Ashira D. Blazer9Ron Do10The Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount SinaiThe Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount SinaiThe Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount SinaiThe Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount SinaiDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology, University of Maryland School of MedicineThe Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount SinaiThe Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount SinaiThe Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount SinaiThe Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount SinaiDivision of Rheumatology, Hospital for Special SurgeryThe Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount SinaiAbstract Systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases (SARDs) can lead to irreversible damage if left untreated, yet these patients often endure long diagnostic journeys before being diagnosed and treated. Machine learning may help overcome the challenges of diagnosing SARDs and inform clinical decision-making. Here, we developed and tested a machine learning model to identify patients who should receive rheumatological evaluation for SARDs using longitudinal electronic health records of 161,584 individuals from two institutions. The model demonstrated high performance for predicting cases of autoantibody-tested individuals in a validation set, an external test set, and an independent cohort with a broader case definition. This approach identified more individuals for autoantibody testing compared with current clinical standards and a greater proportion of autoantibody carriers among those tested. Diagnoses of SARDs and other autoimmune conditions increased with higher model probabilities. The model detected a need for autoantibody testing and rheumatology encounters up to five years before the test date and assessment date, respectively. Altogether, these findings illustrate that the clinical manifestations of a diverse array of autoimmune conditions are detectable in electronic health records using machine learning, which may help systematize and accelerate autoimmune testing.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-37996-7
spellingShingle Iain S. Forrest
Ben O. Petrazzini
Áine Duffy
Joshua K. Park
Anya J. O’Neal
Daniel M. Jordan
Ghislain Rocheleau
Girish N. Nadkarni
Judy H. Cho
Ashira D. Blazer
Ron Do
A machine learning model identifies patients in need of autoimmune disease testing using electronic health records
Nature Communications
title A machine learning model identifies patients in need of autoimmune disease testing using electronic health records
title_full A machine learning model identifies patients in need of autoimmune disease testing using electronic health records
title_fullStr A machine learning model identifies patients in need of autoimmune disease testing using electronic health records
title_full_unstemmed A machine learning model identifies patients in need of autoimmune disease testing using electronic health records
title_short A machine learning model identifies patients in need of autoimmune disease testing using electronic health records
title_sort machine learning model identifies patients in need of autoimmune disease testing using electronic health records
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-37996-7
work_keys_str_mv AT iainsforrest amachinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT benopetrazzini amachinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT aineduffy amachinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT joshuakpark amachinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT anyajoneal amachinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT danielmjordan amachinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT ghislainrocheleau amachinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT girishnnadkarni amachinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT judyhcho amachinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT ashiradblazer amachinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT rondo amachinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT iainsforrest machinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT benopetrazzini machinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT aineduffy machinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT joshuakpark machinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT anyajoneal machinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT danielmjordan machinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT ghislainrocheleau machinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT girishnnadkarni machinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT judyhcho machinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT ashiradblazer machinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords
AT rondo machinelearningmodelidentifiespatientsinneedofautoimmunediseasetestingusingelectronichealthrecords