Analysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in Serbia

This paper examines quantitative changes in the capacity and actual volume of the Serbian apple production in the period 1980-2016. On the basis of the analysis, forecast and comparison performed, the condition and development prospects of the Serbian apple production were assessed. An analysis of t...

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Main Authors: Lukač-Bulatović Mirjana, Nikolić-Đorić Emilija, Đurić Katarina
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: National Society of Processing and Energy in Agriculture, Novi Sad 2019-01-01
Series:Journal on Processing and Energy in Agriculture
Subjects:
Online Access:https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/1821-4487/2019/1821-44871901027L.pdf
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author Lukač-Bulatović Mirjana
Nikolić-Đorić Emilija
Đurić Katarina
author_facet Lukač-Bulatović Mirjana
Nikolić-Đorić Emilija
Đurić Katarina
author_sort Lukač-Bulatović Mirjana
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines quantitative changes in the capacity and actual volume of the Serbian apple production in the period 1980-2016. On the basis of the analysis, forecast and comparison performed, the condition and development prospects of the Serbian apple production were assessed. An analysis of the production parameters observed was based on descriptive statistics, whereas ARIMA models were employed for forecast purposes. Based on the forecast values obtained, increasing trends in the parameters observed are expected in the forecast period. At the end of the forecast period, the total number of productive apple trees will approximate to 25 million, whereas the expected volume of apple production will approximate to 340,000 tones.
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spelling doaj.art-b6de5c5044f44b23af8852420a82a4fc2022-12-22T03:46:57ZengNational Society of Processing and Energy in Agriculture, Novi SadJournal on Processing and Energy in Agriculture1821-44872956-01952019-01-01231273110.5937/jpea1901027L1821-44871901027LAnalysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in SerbiaLukač-Bulatović Mirjana0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1660-9748Nikolić-Đorić Emilija1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3661-3258Đurić Katarina2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4587-4855University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Agriculture, Novi Sad, SerbiaUniversity of Novi Sad, Faculty of Agriculture, Novi Sad, SerbiaUniversity of Novi Sad, Faculty of Agriculture, Novi Sad, SerbiaThis paper examines quantitative changes in the capacity and actual volume of the Serbian apple production in the period 1980-2016. On the basis of the analysis, forecast and comparison performed, the condition and development prospects of the Serbian apple production were assessed. An analysis of the production parameters observed was based on descriptive statistics, whereas ARIMA models were employed for forecast purposes. Based on the forecast values obtained, increasing trends in the parameters observed are expected in the forecast period. At the end of the forecast period, the total number of productive apple trees will approximate to 25 million, whereas the expected volume of apple production will approximate to 340,000 tones.https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/1821-4487/2019/1821-44871901027L.pdfappleproductioncondition analysisforecastserbia
spellingShingle Lukač-Bulatović Mirjana
Nikolić-Đorić Emilija
Đurić Katarina
Analysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in Serbia
Journal on Processing and Energy in Agriculture
apple
production
condition analysis
forecast
serbia
title Analysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in Serbia
title_full Analysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in Serbia
title_fullStr Analysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in Serbia
title_full_unstemmed Analysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in Serbia
title_short Analysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in Serbia
title_sort analysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in serbia
topic apple
production
condition analysis
forecast
serbia
url https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/1821-4487/2019/1821-44871901027L.pdf
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