Analysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in Serbia
This paper examines quantitative changes in the capacity and actual volume of the Serbian apple production in the period 1980-2016. On the basis of the analysis, forecast and comparison performed, the condition and development prospects of the Serbian apple production were assessed. An analysis of t...
Main Authors: | , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
National Society of Processing and Energy in Agriculture, Novi Sad
2019-01-01
|
Series: | Journal on Processing and Energy in Agriculture |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/1821-4487/2019/1821-44871901027L.pdf |
_version_ | 1828177716864614400 |
---|---|
author | Lukač-Bulatović Mirjana Nikolić-Đorić Emilija Đurić Katarina |
author_facet | Lukač-Bulatović Mirjana Nikolić-Đorić Emilija Đurić Katarina |
author_sort | Lukač-Bulatović Mirjana |
collection | DOAJ |
description | This paper examines quantitative changes in the capacity and actual volume of the Serbian apple production in the period 1980-2016. On the basis of the analysis, forecast and comparison performed, the condition and development prospects of the Serbian apple production were assessed. An analysis of the production parameters observed was based on descriptive statistics, whereas ARIMA models were employed for forecast purposes. Based on the forecast values obtained, increasing trends in the parameters observed are expected in the forecast period. At the end of the forecast period, the total number of productive apple trees will approximate to 25 million, whereas the expected volume of apple production will approximate to 340,000 tones. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-12T05:02:51Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-b6de5c5044f44b23af8852420a82a4fc |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1821-4487 2956-0195 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-12T05:02:51Z |
publishDate | 2019-01-01 |
publisher | National Society of Processing and Energy in Agriculture, Novi Sad |
record_format | Article |
series | Journal on Processing and Energy in Agriculture |
spelling | doaj.art-b6de5c5044f44b23af8852420a82a4fc2022-12-22T03:46:57ZengNational Society of Processing and Energy in Agriculture, Novi SadJournal on Processing and Energy in Agriculture1821-44872956-01952019-01-01231273110.5937/jpea1901027L1821-44871901027LAnalysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in SerbiaLukač-Bulatović Mirjana0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1660-9748Nikolić-Đorić Emilija1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3661-3258Đurić Katarina2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4587-4855University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Agriculture, Novi Sad, SerbiaUniversity of Novi Sad, Faculty of Agriculture, Novi Sad, SerbiaUniversity of Novi Sad, Faculty of Agriculture, Novi Sad, SerbiaThis paper examines quantitative changes in the capacity and actual volume of the Serbian apple production in the period 1980-2016. On the basis of the analysis, forecast and comparison performed, the condition and development prospects of the Serbian apple production were assessed. An analysis of the production parameters observed was based on descriptive statistics, whereas ARIMA models were employed for forecast purposes. Based on the forecast values obtained, increasing trends in the parameters observed are expected in the forecast period. At the end of the forecast period, the total number of productive apple trees will approximate to 25 million, whereas the expected volume of apple production will approximate to 340,000 tones.https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/1821-4487/2019/1821-44871901027L.pdfappleproductioncondition analysisforecastserbia |
spellingShingle | Lukač-Bulatović Mirjana Nikolić-Đorić Emilija Đurić Katarina Analysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in Serbia Journal on Processing and Energy in Agriculture apple production condition analysis forecast serbia |
title | Analysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in Serbia |
title_full | Analysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in Serbia |
title_fullStr | Analysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in Serbia |
title_full_unstemmed | Analysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in Serbia |
title_short | Analysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in Serbia |
title_sort | analysing and forecasting trends in the apple production in serbia |
topic | apple production condition analysis forecast serbia |
url | https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/1821-4487/2019/1821-44871901027L.pdf |
work_keys_str_mv | AT lukacbulatovicmirjana analysingandforecastingtrendsintheappleproductioninserbia AT nikolicđoricemilija analysingandforecastingtrendsintheappleproductioninserbia AT đurickatarina analysingandforecastingtrendsintheappleproductioninserbia |