The Impact of Incumbent Scandals on Senate Elections, 1972–2016

In recent decades, a growing body of literature focused on the effects of scandals on congressional elections. The studies concluded that scandals decrease candidates’ vote totals, and that certain types of scandals have a more deleterious effect than others. Virtually all of these studies...

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Main Author: Nicholas Chad Long
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-04-01
Series:Social Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0760/8/4/114
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description In recent decades, a growing body of literature focused on the effects of scandals on congressional elections. The studies concluded that scandals decrease candidates’ vote totals, and that certain types of scandals have a more deleterious effect than others. Virtually all of these studies focus on House elections. The obvious differences between the two chambers calls into question the applicability of these findings for Senate elections. This study examines the impact that incumbent scandals had on senatorial elections from 1972 to 2016. Scandals are categorized based on the nature of the transgression in order to determine if the type of scandal made a difference. The results reveal that senators seeking reelection while confronting a scandal suffered a 4% decrease in the popular vote. Scandals involving political misdeeds, financial improprieties, and controversial statements hurt incumbents the most. Scandals also attracted challengers who spent more money against the incumbents.
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spelling doaj.art-b6f3d2c5b30643a686c9ca70a09402482022-12-22T02:26:47ZengMDPI AGSocial Sciences2076-07602019-04-018411410.3390/socsci8040114socsci8040114The Impact of Incumbent Scandals on Senate Elections, 1972–2016Nicholas Chad Long0Department of Political Science, Global Studies, Environmental Science and Policy, School of Behavioral and Social Sciences, St. Edward’s University, Austin, TX 78704, USAIn recent decades, a growing body of literature focused on the effects of scandals on congressional elections. The studies concluded that scandals decrease candidates’ vote totals, and that certain types of scandals have a more deleterious effect than others. Virtually all of these studies focus on House elections. The obvious differences between the two chambers calls into question the applicability of these findings for Senate elections. This study examines the impact that incumbent scandals had on senatorial elections from 1972 to 2016. Scandals are categorized based on the nature of the transgression in order to determine if the type of scandal made a difference. The results reveal that senators seeking reelection while confronting a scandal suffered a 4% decrease in the popular vote. Scandals involving political misdeeds, financial improprieties, and controversial statements hurt incumbents the most. Scandals also attracted challengers who spent more money against the incumbents.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0760/8/4/114Congresscampaigns and electionspolitical candidatesvoting behaviorscandals
spellingShingle Nicholas Chad Long
The Impact of Incumbent Scandals on Senate Elections, 1972–2016
Social Sciences
Congress
campaigns and elections
political candidates
voting behavior
scandals
title The Impact of Incumbent Scandals on Senate Elections, 1972–2016
title_full The Impact of Incumbent Scandals on Senate Elections, 1972–2016
title_fullStr The Impact of Incumbent Scandals on Senate Elections, 1972–2016
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Incumbent Scandals on Senate Elections, 1972–2016
title_short The Impact of Incumbent Scandals on Senate Elections, 1972–2016
title_sort impact of incumbent scandals on senate elections 1972 2016
topic Congress
campaigns and elections
political candidates
voting behavior
scandals
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0760/8/4/114
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