Evaluation of CT in Predicting Central Lymph Node Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

Objective: To determine the value of CT in predicting CLNM in PTMC. Methods: 157 patients with PTMC confirmed by pathology in our hospital were enrolled, and the CT and clinicopathological data of the patients were retrospectively analyzed. ROC curve was used to determine the optimal cutoff value of...

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Main Authors: Jiangyu TIAN, Zhiwei TAN
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Editorial Office of Computerized Tomography Theory and Application 2023-01-01
Series:CT Lilun yu yingyong yanjiu
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cttacn.org.cn/cn/article/doi/10.15953/j.1004-4140-2023.32.01.10
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author Jiangyu TIAN
Zhiwei TAN
author_facet Jiangyu TIAN
Zhiwei TAN
author_sort Jiangyu TIAN
collection DOAJ
description Objective: To determine the value of CT in predicting CLNM in PTMC. Methods: 157 patients with PTMC confirmed by pathology in our hospital were enrolled, and the CT and clinicopathological data of the patients were retrospectively analyzed. ROC curve was used to determine the optimal cutoff value of PTMC greatest diameter for CLNM. The binary logistic regression model of PTMC CLNM was established based on CT and clinical pathological data, and the diagnostic value of the model was evaluated by ROC curve. Results: According to the ROC curve, the optimal cutoff value for predicting PTMC CLNM was 6 mm. Univariate analysis: Cookie bite sign , microcalcification, multifocality, PTMC greastest diameter ≥6 mm, male, Age<45 were risk factors for PTMC CLNM. Binary Logistic regression analysis: Cookie bite sign with protruding (OR=5.159, 95% CI=1.137 ~ 23.400), multifocality (OR=2.734, 95% CI=1.215 ~ 6.154), PTMC greastest diameter ≥6 mm (OR=3.259, 95% CI=1.326 ~ 8.008), male (OR=3.776, 95% CI=1.339 ~ 10.653), age <45 (OR=3.222, 95% CI=1.419 ~ 7.777), were independent risk factors for PTMC CLNM. According to the ROC curve, when the Youden index=0.502, the sensitivity and specificity in predicting CLNM were 82.5% and 68.0%, respectively. Conclusion: The binary logistic regression model is helpful in predicting PTMC CLNM. Cookie bite sign with protruding, PTMC greastest diameter≥6 mm, male, and age<45 were independent risk factors for PTMC CLNM. For this type of patients, we suggest that surgeons should consider central lymph node dissection.
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spelling doaj.art-b6f7ee70b7944d6b8e92b0ad7f0273582023-07-20T08:51:18ZengEditorial Office of Computerized Tomography Theory and ApplicationCT Lilun yu yingyong yanjiu1004-41402023-01-01321909610.15953/j.1004-4140-2023.32.01.1020210904-175Evaluation of CT in Predicting Central Lymph Node Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid MicrocarcinomaJiangyu TIAN0Zhiwei TAN1Department of Radiology, the Third People's Hospital of Chengdu, Chengdu 610000, ChinaDepartment of Pathology, China National Nuclear Corporation 416 Hospital, Chengdu 610000, ChinaObjective: To determine the value of CT in predicting CLNM in PTMC. Methods: 157 patients with PTMC confirmed by pathology in our hospital were enrolled, and the CT and clinicopathological data of the patients were retrospectively analyzed. ROC curve was used to determine the optimal cutoff value of PTMC greatest diameter for CLNM. The binary logistic regression model of PTMC CLNM was established based on CT and clinical pathological data, and the diagnostic value of the model was evaluated by ROC curve. Results: According to the ROC curve, the optimal cutoff value for predicting PTMC CLNM was 6 mm. Univariate analysis: Cookie bite sign , microcalcification, multifocality, PTMC greastest diameter ≥6 mm, male, Age<45 were risk factors for PTMC CLNM. Binary Logistic regression analysis: Cookie bite sign with protruding (OR=5.159, 95% CI=1.137 ~ 23.400), multifocality (OR=2.734, 95% CI=1.215 ~ 6.154), PTMC greastest diameter ≥6 mm (OR=3.259, 95% CI=1.326 ~ 8.008), male (OR=3.776, 95% CI=1.339 ~ 10.653), age <45 (OR=3.222, 95% CI=1.419 ~ 7.777), were independent risk factors for PTMC CLNM. According to the ROC curve, when the Youden index=0.502, the sensitivity and specificity in predicting CLNM were 82.5% and 68.0%, respectively. Conclusion: The binary logistic regression model is helpful in predicting PTMC CLNM. Cookie bite sign with protruding, PTMC greastest diameter≥6 mm, male, and age<45 were independent risk factors for PTMC CLNM. For this type of patients, we suggest that surgeons should consider central lymph node dissection.https://www.cttacn.org.cn/cn/article/doi/10.15953/j.1004-4140-2023.32.01.10computed tomographpapillary thyroid microcarcinomalogistic regression analysis
spellingShingle Jiangyu TIAN
Zhiwei TAN
Evaluation of CT in Predicting Central Lymph Node Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma
CT Lilun yu yingyong yanjiu
computed tomograph
papillary thyroid microcarcinoma
logistic regression analysis
title Evaluation of CT in Predicting Central Lymph Node Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma
title_full Evaluation of CT in Predicting Central Lymph Node Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma
title_fullStr Evaluation of CT in Predicting Central Lymph Node Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of CT in Predicting Central Lymph Node Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma
title_short Evaluation of CT in Predicting Central Lymph Node Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma
title_sort evaluation of ct in predicting central lymph node metastasis of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma
topic computed tomograph
papillary thyroid microcarcinoma
logistic regression analysis
url https://www.cttacn.org.cn/cn/article/doi/10.15953/j.1004-4140-2023.32.01.10
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