A reliability analysis of fuel supply for district heating systems based on statistical test method
Relevant problem of the reliability of fuel supply to heat sources operating in district heating systems is considered. A methodical approach is proposed for assessing possible shortages of fuel in the fuel supply system, based on the statistical test or the Monte Carlo method using initial statisti...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2022-11-01
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| Series: | Energy Reports |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722014639 |
| _version_ | 1797900719952494592 |
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| author | Ivan Postnikov Ekaterina Mednikova |
| author_facet | Ivan Postnikov Ekaterina Mednikova |
| author_sort | Ivan Postnikov |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Relevant problem of the reliability of fuel supply to heat sources operating in district heating systems is considered. A methodical approach is proposed for assessing possible shortages of fuel in the fuel supply system, based on the statistical test or the Monte Carlo method using initial statistical data on fuel demand and supply. An algorithm for assessing the reliability of the fuel supply system is developed, accounting various modeling conditions, in particular, the formation of current fuel reserves and the interchangeability of fuels between heat sources. A number of computational experiments have been carried out, and some of the results obtained are presented. Conclusions and directions for further research are formulated. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-10T08:49:23Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-b7485013f6e84d6ba262fa03490821c4 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2352-4847 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-10T08:49:23Z |
| publishDate | 2022-11-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Energy Reports |
| spelling | doaj.art-b7485013f6e84d6ba262fa03490821c42023-02-22T04:31:02ZengElsevierEnergy Reports2352-48472022-11-018304311A reliability analysis of fuel supply for district heating systems based on statistical test methodIvan Postnikov0Ekaterina Mednikova1Corresponding author.; Melentiev Energy Systems Institute of Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences (ESI SB RAS), Lermontov St., 130, Irkutsk, 664033, RussiaMelentiev Energy Systems Institute of Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences (ESI SB RAS), Lermontov St., 130, Irkutsk, 664033, RussiaRelevant problem of the reliability of fuel supply to heat sources operating in district heating systems is considered. A methodical approach is proposed for assessing possible shortages of fuel in the fuel supply system, based on the statistical test or the Monte Carlo method using initial statistical data on fuel demand and supply. An algorithm for assessing the reliability of the fuel supply system is developed, accounting various modeling conditions, in particular, the formation of current fuel reserves and the interchangeability of fuels between heat sources. A number of computational experiments have been carried out, and some of the results obtained are presented. Conclusions and directions for further research are formulated.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722014639Fuel supply systemHeat sourcesFuel shortagesReliability analysisStatistical methodsMonte Carlo method |
| spellingShingle | Ivan Postnikov Ekaterina Mednikova A reliability analysis of fuel supply for district heating systems based on statistical test method Energy Reports Fuel supply system Heat sources Fuel shortages Reliability analysis Statistical methods Monte Carlo method |
| title | A reliability analysis of fuel supply for district heating systems based on statistical test method |
| title_full | A reliability analysis of fuel supply for district heating systems based on statistical test method |
| title_fullStr | A reliability analysis of fuel supply for district heating systems based on statistical test method |
| title_full_unstemmed | A reliability analysis of fuel supply for district heating systems based on statistical test method |
| title_short | A reliability analysis of fuel supply for district heating systems based on statistical test method |
| title_sort | reliability analysis of fuel supply for district heating systems based on statistical test method |
| topic | Fuel supply system Heat sources Fuel shortages Reliability analysis Statistical methods Monte Carlo method |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352484722014639 |
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