From Monitoring to Forecasting Land Surface Conditions Using a Land Data Assimilation System: Application over the Contiguous United States

LDAS-Monde is a global land data assimilation system (LDAS) developed by Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques (CNRM) to monitor land surface variables (LSV) at various scales, from regional to global. With LDAS-Monde, it is possible to jointly assimilate satellite-derived observations of su...

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Main Authors: Anthony Mucia, Bertrand Bonan, Yongjun Zheng, Clément Albergel, Jean-Christophe Calvet
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-06-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/12/12/2020
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author Anthony Mucia
Bertrand Bonan
Yongjun Zheng
Clément Albergel
Jean-Christophe Calvet
author_facet Anthony Mucia
Bertrand Bonan
Yongjun Zheng
Clément Albergel
Jean-Christophe Calvet
author_sort Anthony Mucia
collection DOAJ
description LDAS-Monde is a global land data assimilation system (LDAS) developed by Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques (CNRM) to monitor land surface variables (LSV) at various scales, from regional to global. With LDAS-Monde, it is possible to jointly assimilate satellite-derived observations of surface soil moisture (SSM) and leaf area index (LAI) into the interactions between soil biosphere and atmosphere (ISBA) land surface model (LSM) in order to analyze the soil moisture profile together with vegetation biomass. In this study, we investigate LDAS-Monde’s ability to predict LSV states up to two weeks in the future using atmospheric forecasts. In particular, the impact of the initialization, and the evolution of the forecasted variables in the LSM are addressed. LDAS-Monde is an offline system normally driven by atmospheric reanalysis, but in this study is forced by atmospheric forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) for the 2017–2018 period over the contiguous United States (CONUS) at a 0.2° × 0.2° spatial resolution. These LSV forecasts are initialized either by the model alone (LDAS-Monde open-loop, without assimilation) or by the analysis (assimilation of SSM and LAI). These two forecasts are then evaluated using satellite-derived observations of SSM and LAI, evapotranspiration (ET) estimates, as well as in situ measurements of soil moisture from the U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN). Results indicate that for the three evaluation variables (SSM, LAI, and ET), LDAS-Monde provides reasonably accurate and consistent predictions two weeks in advance. Additionally, the initial conditions after assimilation are shown to make a positive impact with respect to LAI and ET. This impact persists in time for these two vegetation-related variables. Many model variables, such as SSM, root zone soil moisture (RZSM), LAI, ET, and drainage, remain relatively consistent as the forecast lead time increases, while runoff is highly variable.
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spelling doaj.art-b77010772d1c4202aab9e20faf8d72652023-11-20T04:47:30ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922020-06-011212202010.3390/rs12122020From Monitoring to Forecasting Land Surface Conditions Using a Land Data Assimilation System: Application over the Contiguous United StatesAnthony Mucia0Bertrand Bonan1Yongjun Zheng2Clément Albergel3Jean-Christophe Calvet4CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, 31057 Toulouse, FranceCNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, 31057 Toulouse, FranceCNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, 31057 Toulouse, FranceCNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, 31057 Toulouse, FranceCNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, 31057 Toulouse, FranceLDAS-Monde is a global land data assimilation system (LDAS) developed by Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques (CNRM) to monitor land surface variables (LSV) at various scales, from regional to global. With LDAS-Monde, it is possible to jointly assimilate satellite-derived observations of surface soil moisture (SSM) and leaf area index (LAI) into the interactions between soil biosphere and atmosphere (ISBA) land surface model (LSM) in order to analyze the soil moisture profile together with vegetation biomass. In this study, we investigate LDAS-Monde’s ability to predict LSV states up to two weeks in the future using atmospheric forecasts. In particular, the impact of the initialization, and the evolution of the forecasted variables in the LSM are addressed. LDAS-Monde is an offline system normally driven by atmospheric reanalysis, but in this study is forced by atmospheric forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) for the 2017–2018 period over the contiguous United States (CONUS) at a 0.2° × 0.2° spatial resolution. These LSV forecasts are initialized either by the model alone (LDAS-Monde open-loop, without assimilation) or by the analysis (assimilation of SSM and LAI). These two forecasts are then evaluated using satellite-derived observations of SSM and LAI, evapotranspiration (ET) estimates, as well as in situ measurements of soil moisture from the U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN). Results indicate that for the three evaluation variables (SSM, LAI, and ET), LDAS-Monde provides reasonably accurate and consistent predictions two weeks in advance. Additionally, the initial conditions after assimilation are shown to make a positive impact with respect to LAI and ET. This impact persists in time for these two vegetation-related variables. Many model variables, such as SSM, root zone soil moisture (RZSM), LAI, ET, and drainage, remain relatively consistent as the forecast lead time increases, while runoff is highly variable.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/12/12/2020ASCATdata assimilationsoil moistureleaf area indexevapotranspiration
spellingShingle Anthony Mucia
Bertrand Bonan
Yongjun Zheng
Clément Albergel
Jean-Christophe Calvet
From Monitoring to Forecasting Land Surface Conditions Using a Land Data Assimilation System: Application over the Contiguous United States
Remote Sensing
ASCAT
data assimilation
soil moisture
leaf area index
evapotranspiration
title From Monitoring to Forecasting Land Surface Conditions Using a Land Data Assimilation System: Application over the Contiguous United States
title_full From Monitoring to Forecasting Land Surface Conditions Using a Land Data Assimilation System: Application over the Contiguous United States
title_fullStr From Monitoring to Forecasting Land Surface Conditions Using a Land Data Assimilation System: Application over the Contiguous United States
title_full_unstemmed From Monitoring to Forecasting Land Surface Conditions Using a Land Data Assimilation System: Application over the Contiguous United States
title_short From Monitoring to Forecasting Land Surface Conditions Using a Land Data Assimilation System: Application over the Contiguous United States
title_sort from monitoring to forecasting land surface conditions using a land data assimilation system application over the contiguous united states
topic ASCAT
data assimilation
soil moisture
leaf area index
evapotranspiration
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/12/12/2020
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