PENDUGAAN MODEL PERAMALAN HARGA BERAS PADA TINGKAT GROSIR
This research is aimed at examining the best forecasting model for riceprice at wholesaler price. Monthly data of ricefrom 2010:1 –2017:12 are used for this research and three trend model, i.e.,MA, Decomposition and Single Exponential Smoothing are applied in which the selection of the best model...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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BPFP Universitas Bengkulu
2018-03-01
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| Series: | Jurnal Agrisep |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://ejournal.unib.ac.id/agrisep/article/view/4503 |
| _version_ | 1797679911131938816 |
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| author | Ketut Sukiyono Rosdiana Rosdiana |
| author_facet | Ketut Sukiyono Rosdiana Rosdiana |
| author_sort | Ketut Sukiyono |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description |
This research is aimed at examining the best forecasting model for riceprice at
wholesaler price. Monthly data of ricefrom 2010:1 –2017:12 are used for this research and three trend model, i.e.,MA, Decomposition and Single Exponential Smoothing are applied in which the selection of the best model is based on the lowest value of MAPE, MAD, and MSE or MSD. This research finds that the best forecasting model is MA(2).
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| first_indexed | 2024-03-11T23:21:46Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-b793629c2b094655aa58c174ec6d83d3 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1412-8837 2579-9959 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-11T23:21:46Z |
| publishDate | 2018-03-01 |
| publisher | BPFP Universitas Bengkulu |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Jurnal Agrisep |
| spelling | doaj.art-b793629c2b094655aa58c174ec6d83d32023-09-20T13:30:34ZengBPFP Universitas BengkuluJurnal Agrisep1412-88372579-99592018-03-0117110.31186/jagrisep.17.1.23-30PENDUGAAN MODEL PERAMALAN HARGA BERAS PADA TINGKAT GROSIRKetut Sukiyono0Rosdiana Rosdiana1Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas BengkuluProgram Studi Pascasarjana S2 Statistika, Fakultas MIPA, Universitas Bengkulu This research is aimed at examining the best forecasting model for riceprice at wholesaler price. Monthly data of ricefrom 2010:1 –2017:12 are used for this research and three trend model, i.e.,MA, Decomposition and Single Exponential Smoothing are applied in which the selection of the best model is based on the lowest value of MAPE, MAD, and MSE or MSD. This research finds that the best forecasting model is MA(2). https://ejournal.unib.ac.id/agrisep/article/view/4503RiceForecastingWholesaler |
| spellingShingle | Ketut Sukiyono Rosdiana Rosdiana PENDUGAAN MODEL PERAMALAN HARGA BERAS PADA TINGKAT GROSIR Jurnal Agrisep Rice Forecasting Wholesaler |
| title | PENDUGAAN MODEL PERAMALAN HARGA BERAS PADA TINGKAT GROSIR |
| title_full | PENDUGAAN MODEL PERAMALAN HARGA BERAS PADA TINGKAT GROSIR |
| title_fullStr | PENDUGAAN MODEL PERAMALAN HARGA BERAS PADA TINGKAT GROSIR |
| title_full_unstemmed | PENDUGAAN MODEL PERAMALAN HARGA BERAS PADA TINGKAT GROSIR |
| title_short | PENDUGAAN MODEL PERAMALAN HARGA BERAS PADA TINGKAT GROSIR |
| title_sort | pendugaan model peramalan harga beras pada tingkat grosir |
| topic | Rice Forecasting Wholesaler |
| url | https://ejournal.unib.ac.id/agrisep/article/view/4503 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT ketutsukiyono pendugaanmodelperamalanhargaberaspadatingkatgrosir AT rosdianarosdiana pendugaanmodelperamalanhargaberaspadatingkatgrosir |