Arbo-Score: A Rapid Score for Early Identification of Patients with Imported Arbovirosis Caused by Dengue, Chikungunya and Zika Virus

Background: Chikungunya (CHIKV), Dengue (DENV), and Zika (ZIKV) viruses present significant clinical and epidemiological overlap, making an accurate and rapid diagnosis challenging. Timely activation of preventive vector control measures is crucial to avoid outbreaks in non-endemic settings. Diagnos...

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Main Authors: Iacopo Vellere, Filippo Lagi, Michele Spinicci, Antonia Mantella, Elisabetta Mantengoli, Giampaolo Corti, Maria Grazia Colao, Federico Gobbi, Gian Maria Rossolini, Alessandro Bartoloni, Lorenzo Zammarchi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-11-01
Series:Microorganisms
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-2607/8/11/1731
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author Iacopo Vellere
Filippo Lagi
Michele Spinicci
Antonia Mantella
Elisabetta Mantengoli
Giampaolo Corti
Maria Grazia Colao
Federico Gobbi
Gian Maria Rossolini
Alessandro Bartoloni
Lorenzo Zammarchi
author_facet Iacopo Vellere
Filippo Lagi
Michele Spinicci
Antonia Mantella
Elisabetta Mantengoli
Giampaolo Corti
Maria Grazia Colao
Federico Gobbi
Gian Maria Rossolini
Alessandro Bartoloni
Lorenzo Zammarchi
author_sort Iacopo Vellere
collection DOAJ
description Background: Chikungunya (CHIKV), Dengue (DENV), and Zika (ZIKV) viruses present significant clinical and epidemiological overlap, making an accurate and rapid diagnosis challenging. Timely activation of preventive vector control measures is crucial to avoid outbreaks in non-endemic settings. Diagnosis is based on combination of serological and molecular assays which could be time consuming and sometimes disappointing. Methods: We report the results of a retrospective case-control study carried out at a tertiary teaching hospital in Italy, including all febrile subjects returning from tropical countries during the period 2014–2019. Controls were travelers with other febrile illnesses who tested negative in laboratory analysis for CHIKV, DENV, ZIKV arbovirosis. A score weighted on the regression coefficients for the independent predictors was generated. Results: Ninety patients were identified: 34 cases (22 DENV, 4 CHIKV, and 8 ZIKV) and 56 controls. According to our results, myalgia, cutaneous rash, absence of respiratory symptoms, leukopenia, and hypertransaminasemia showed the strongest association with arbovirosis. Combining these variables, we generated a scoring model that showed an excellent performance (AUC 0.93). The best cut-off (>=2) presented a sensitivity of 82.35% and specificity of 96.43%. Conclusion: A handy and simple score, based on three clinical data (myalgia, cutaneous rash and absence of respiratory symptoms) and two laboratory results (leukopenia and hypertransaminasemia), provides a useful tool to help diagnose arboviral infections and appropriately activate vector control measures in order to avoid local transmission.
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spelling doaj.art-b7941b3edeb547bbac88801e62af39df2023-11-20T19:48:55ZengMDPI AGMicroorganisms2076-26072020-11-01811173110.3390/microorganisms8111731Arbo-Score: A Rapid Score for Early Identification of Patients with Imported Arbovirosis Caused by Dengue, Chikungunya and Zika VirusIacopo Vellere0Filippo Lagi1Michele Spinicci2Antonia Mantella3Elisabetta Mantengoli4Giampaolo Corti5Maria Grazia Colao6Federico Gobbi7Gian Maria Rossolini8Alessandro Bartoloni9Lorenzo Zammarchi10Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, University of Florence, 50134 Florence, ItalyDepartment of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, University of Florence, 50134 Florence, ItalyDepartment of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, University of Florence, 50134 Florence, ItalyDepartment of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, University of Florence, 50134 Florence, ItalyInfectious and Tropical Diseases Unit, Careggi University Hospital, 50134 Florence, ItalyDepartment of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, University of Florence, 50134 Florence, ItalyClinical Microbiology and Virology Unit, Careggi University Hospital, 50134 Florence, ItalyDepartment of Infectious/Tropical Diseases and Microbiology, IRCCS Sacro Cuore Don Calabria Hospital, 37024 Negrar, Verona, ItalyDepartment of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, University of Florence, 50134 Florence, ItalyDepartment of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, University of Florence, 50134 Florence, ItalyDepartment of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, University of Florence, 50134 Florence, ItalyBackground: Chikungunya (CHIKV), Dengue (DENV), and Zika (ZIKV) viruses present significant clinical and epidemiological overlap, making an accurate and rapid diagnosis challenging. Timely activation of preventive vector control measures is crucial to avoid outbreaks in non-endemic settings. Diagnosis is based on combination of serological and molecular assays which could be time consuming and sometimes disappointing. Methods: We report the results of a retrospective case-control study carried out at a tertiary teaching hospital in Italy, including all febrile subjects returning from tropical countries during the period 2014–2019. Controls were travelers with other febrile illnesses who tested negative in laboratory analysis for CHIKV, DENV, ZIKV arbovirosis. A score weighted on the regression coefficients for the independent predictors was generated. Results: Ninety patients were identified: 34 cases (22 DENV, 4 CHIKV, and 8 ZIKV) and 56 controls. According to our results, myalgia, cutaneous rash, absence of respiratory symptoms, leukopenia, and hypertransaminasemia showed the strongest association with arbovirosis. Combining these variables, we generated a scoring model that showed an excellent performance (AUC 0.93). The best cut-off (>=2) presented a sensitivity of 82.35% and specificity of 96.43%. Conclusion: A handy and simple score, based on three clinical data (myalgia, cutaneous rash and absence of respiratory symptoms) and two laboratory results (leukopenia and hypertransaminasemia), provides a useful tool to help diagnose arboviral infections and appropriately activate vector control measures in order to avoid local transmission.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-2607/8/11/1731dengueZikachikungunyaimportedtimingdiagnosis
spellingShingle Iacopo Vellere
Filippo Lagi
Michele Spinicci
Antonia Mantella
Elisabetta Mantengoli
Giampaolo Corti
Maria Grazia Colao
Federico Gobbi
Gian Maria Rossolini
Alessandro Bartoloni
Lorenzo Zammarchi
Arbo-Score: A Rapid Score for Early Identification of Patients with Imported Arbovirosis Caused by Dengue, Chikungunya and Zika Virus
Microorganisms
dengue
Zika
chikungunya
imported
timing
diagnosis
title Arbo-Score: A Rapid Score for Early Identification of Patients with Imported Arbovirosis Caused by Dengue, Chikungunya and Zika Virus
title_full Arbo-Score: A Rapid Score for Early Identification of Patients with Imported Arbovirosis Caused by Dengue, Chikungunya and Zika Virus
title_fullStr Arbo-Score: A Rapid Score for Early Identification of Patients with Imported Arbovirosis Caused by Dengue, Chikungunya and Zika Virus
title_full_unstemmed Arbo-Score: A Rapid Score for Early Identification of Patients with Imported Arbovirosis Caused by Dengue, Chikungunya and Zika Virus
title_short Arbo-Score: A Rapid Score for Early Identification of Patients with Imported Arbovirosis Caused by Dengue, Chikungunya and Zika Virus
title_sort arbo score a rapid score for early identification of patients with imported arbovirosis caused by dengue chikungunya and zika virus
topic dengue
Zika
chikungunya
imported
timing
diagnosis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-2607/8/11/1731
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