Multi-dimensional temperature sensitivity of protected tropical mountain rain forests

IntroductionTropical mountain rain forests (TMRF, natural forests at > 300 m asl) are globally important for biodiversity and ecosystem services and are believed to be highly vulnerable to climate change. But there are no specific approaches for rigorous assessment of their vulnerability at t...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Bryan Finegan, Diego Delgado, Alba Lorena Hernández Gordillo, Nelson Zamora Villalobos, Rafael Núñez Florez, Fabio Díaz Santos, Sergio Vílchez Mendoza
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2024-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Forests and Global Change
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/ffgc.2023.1214911/full
_version_ 1827386810865549312
author Bryan Finegan
Diego Delgado
Alba Lorena Hernández Gordillo
Nelson Zamora Villalobos
Rafael Núñez Florez
Fabio Díaz Santos
Sergio Vílchez Mendoza
author_facet Bryan Finegan
Diego Delgado
Alba Lorena Hernández Gordillo
Nelson Zamora Villalobos
Rafael Núñez Florez
Fabio Díaz Santos
Sergio Vílchez Mendoza
author_sort Bryan Finegan
collection DOAJ
description IntroductionTropical mountain rain forests (TMRF, natural forests at > 300 m asl) are globally important for biodiversity and ecosystem services and are believed to be highly vulnerable to climate change. But there are no specific approaches for rigorous assessment of their vulnerability at the landscape and local scales necessary for management for adaptation. We address the challenge of evaluating the ecological sensitivity to temperature of TMRF, applying a multidimensional approach in protected areas over a 440–2,950 m asl altitudinal gradient in Costa Rica, synthesizing results of a long-term research programme (2012-present). We evaluate the sensitivity to the current spatial temperature gradient of eleven ecosystem properties in three categories: forest composition and diversity, thermal characteristics of forest stands and forest structure and dynamics.MethodsData are from 29 to 32 plots of 50 m x 50 m (0.25 ha) distributed over the gradient, in which all trees, palms and tree ferns ≥ 10 dbh are identified to species and measured for recruitment, growth and mortality. An experimental study of leaf litter decomposition rates was carried out in twelve plots. Current and future (SSP 585, 2070) values of mean annual temperatures MAT were obtained from online climate surfaces. Thermal characteristics of forest stands were determined using MATs of species occurrences in GBIF and include a new index, the Community Thermal Capital Index (CTCI), calculated as CTI-MAT.ResultsWe classified degrees of sensitivity to temperature as very weak, weak, moderate or substantial. All eleven ecosystem properties are substantially sensitive, so changes in their values are expected under rising temperatures. Species density, the community temperature index CTI, tree recruitment and mortality rates and leaf litter decomposition rates are positively related to temperature, while the community weighted mean thermal niche breadth, the CTCI, net basal area increments, stand basal area and carbon in aboveground biomass are negatively related. Results point to zones of vulnerability in the protected areas.DiscussionIn montane forests, positive values of the CTCI–climate credit– robust basal area growth and very low mortality and leaf litter decomposition rates suggest healthy ecosystems and no risk of mountaintop extinction. Lowland forests may be vulnerable to degradation and biotic attrition, showing current basal area loss, high mortality and climate debts. National and local actors are participating in a process of adoption of the sensitivity analysis and recommendations regarding zones of vulnerability.
first_indexed 2024-03-08T15:51:58Z
format Article
id doaj.art-b7bdace47271460ca65dd4187bddf4c2
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2624-893X
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-08T15:51:58Z
publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
record_format Article
series Frontiers in Forests and Global Change
spelling doaj.art-b7bdace47271460ca65dd4187bddf4c22024-01-09T04:41:13ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Forests and Global Change2624-893X2024-01-01610.3389/ffgc.2023.12149111214911Multi-dimensional temperature sensitivity of protected tropical mountain rain forestsBryan FineganDiego DelgadoAlba Lorena Hernández GordilloNelson Zamora VillalobosRafael Núñez FlorezFabio Díaz SantosSergio Vílchez MendozaIntroductionTropical mountain rain forests (TMRF, natural forests at > 300 m asl) are globally important for biodiversity and ecosystem services and are believed to be highly vulnerable to climate change. But there are no specific approaches for rigorous assessment of their vulnerability at the landscape and local scales necessary for management for adaptation. We address the challenge of evaluating the ecological sensitivity to temperature of TMRF, applying a multidimensional approach in protected areas over a 440–2,950 m asl altitudinal gradient in Costa Rica, synthesizing results of a long-term research programme (2012-present). We evaluate the sensitivity to the current spatial temperature gradient of eleven ecosystem properties in three categories: forest composition and diversity, thermal characteristics of forest stands and forest structure and dynamics.MethodsData are from 29 to 32 plots of 50 m x 50 m (0.25 ha) distributed over the gradient, in which all trees, palms and tree ferns ≥ 10 dbh are identified to species and measured for recruitment, growth and mortality. An experimental study of leaf litter decomposition rates was carried out in twelve plots. Current and future (SSP 585, 2070) values of mean annual temperatures MAT were obtained from online climate surfaces. Thermal characteristics of forest stands were determined using MATs of species occurrences in GBIF and include a new index, the Community Thermal Capital Index (CTCI), calculated as CTI-MAT.ResultsWe classified degrees of sensitivity to temperature as very weak, weak, moderate or substantial. All eleven ecosystem properties are substantially sensitive, so changes in their values are expected under rising temperatures. Species density, the community temperature index CTI, tree recruitment and mortality rates and leaf litter decomposition rates are positively related to temperature, while the community weighted mean thermal niche breadth, the CTCI, net basal area increments, stand basal area and carbon in aboveground biomass are negatively related. Results point to zones of vulnerability in the protected areas.DiscussionIn montane forests, positive values of the CTCI–climate credit– robust basal area growth and very low mortality and leaf litter decomposition rates suggest healthy ecosystems and no risk of mountaintop extinction. Lowland forests may be vulnerable to degradation and biotic attrition, showing current basal area loss, high mortality and climate debts. National and local actors are participating in a process of adoption of the sensitivity analysis and recommendations regarding zones of vulnerability.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/ffgc.2023.1214911/fulladaptationthermal niche breadthbiotic attritioncommunity temperature indexMesoamericaQuercus
spellingShingle Bryan Finegan
Diego Delgado
Alba Lorena Hernández Gordillo
Nelson Zamora Villalobos
Rafael Núñez Florez
Fabio Díaz Santos
Sergio Vílchez Mendoza
Multi-dimensional temperature sensitivity of protected tropical mountain rain forests
Frontiers in Forests and Global Change
adaptation
thermal niche breadth
biotic attrition
community temperature index
Mesoamerica
Quercus
title Multi-dimensional temperature sensitivity of protected tropical mountain rain forests
title_full Multi-dimensional temperature sensitivity of protected tropical mountain rain forests
title_fullStr Multi-dimensional temperature sensitivity of protected tropical mountain rain forests
title_full_unstemmed Multi-dimensional temperature sensitivity of protected tropical mountain rain forests
title_short Multi-dimensional temperature sensitivity of protected tropical mountain rain forests
title_sort multi dimensional temperature sensitivity of protected tropical mountain rain forests
topic adaptation
thermal niche breadth
biotic attrition
community temperature index
Mesoamerica
Quercus
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/ffgc.2023.1214911/full
work_keys_str_mv AT bryanfinegan multidimensionaltemperaturesensitivityofprotectedtropicalmountainrainforests
AT diegodelgado multidimensionaltemperaturesensitivityofprotectedtropicalmountainrainforests
AT albalorenahernandezgordillo multidimensionaltemperaturesensitivityofprotectedtropicalmountainrainforests
AT nelsonzamoravillalobos multidimensionaltemperaturesensitivityofprotectedtropicalmountainrainforests
AT rafaelnunezflorez multidimensionaltemperaturesensitivityofprotectedtropicalmountainrainforests
AT fabiodiazsantos multidimensionaltemperaturesensitivityofprotectedtropicalmountainrainforests
AT sergiovilchezmendoza multidimensionaltemperaturesensitivityofprotectedtropicalmountainrainforests