Analysis of the Fiscal Sources of Inflation in Iran Giving Special Emphasis to Budget Deficits

This paper addresses two questions. Does inflation in Iran stem from fiscal policy? Does inflationary impact depend upon the sources of budget deficit financing? Although the above questions have already been studied, there is no consensus on the findings, since the results are sensitive to the meth...

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Main Authors: Ebrahim Hosseini Nasab, Mahdieh Rezagholizadeh
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Tarbiat Modares University 2010-05-01
Series:پژوهشهای اقتصادی
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ecor.modares.ac.ir/article-18-1271-en.pdf
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author Ebrahim Hosseini Nasab
Mahdieh Rezagholizadeh
author_facet Ebrahim Hosseini Nasab
Mahdieh Rezagholizadeh
author_sort Ebrahim Hosseini Nasab
collection DOAJ
description This paper addresses two questions. Does inflation in Iran stem from fiscal policy? Does inflationary impact depend upon the sources of budget deficit financing? Although the above questions have already been studied, there is no consensus on the findings, since the results are sensitive to the methodologies and the time period covered by the data. This paper employs vector autoregressions, impulse response functions, variance decomposition and cointegration techniques to estimate the short and long term relationship between inflation and a number of fiscal indicators in Iran. The annual data are used over the period 1973 to 2006. Particular emphasis is placed on the government budget deficit predominantly financed by government borrowing. The results indicate that inflation is mostly induced by import prices, oil revenue and government budget deficit.
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spelling doaj.art-b7d83f887c91461b81b21ddd558ec6a22023-06-15T20:32:51ZfasTarbiat Modares Universityپژوهشهای اقتصادی1735-67682980-78322010-05-0110100Analysis of the Fiscal Sources of Inflation in Iran Giving Special Emphasis to Budget DeficitsEbrahim Hosseini Nasab0Mahdieh Rezagholizadeh1 Tarbiat Modares University, management and Economics Faculty Tarbiat Modares University, Management and Economics Faculty This paper addresses two questions. Does inflation in Iran stem from fiscal policy? Does inflationary impact depend upon the sources of budget deficit financing? Although the above questions have already been studied, there is no consensus on the findings, since the results are sensitive to the methodologies and the time period covered by the data. This paper employs vector autoregressions, impulse response functions, variance decomposition and cointegration techniques to estimate the short and long term relationship between inflation and a number of fiscal indicators in Iran. The annual data are used over the period 1973 to 2006. Particular emphasis is placed on the government budget deficit predominantly financed by government borrowing. The results indicate that inflation is mostly induced by import prices, oil revenue and government budget deficit.http://ecor.modares.ac.ir/article-18-1271-en.pdfc22inflationbudget deficientvector autoregressionimpulse response functionsvariance decomposition jel classification: e31
spellingShingle Ebrahim Hosseini Nasab
Mahdieh Rezagholizadeh
Analysis of the Fiscal Sources of Inflation in Iran Giving Special Emphasis to Budget Deficits
پژوهشهای اقتصادی
c22
inflation
budget deficient
vector autoregression
impulse response functions
variance decomposition jel classification: e31
title Analysis of the Fiscal Sources of Inflation in Iran Giving Special Emphasis to Budget Deficits
title_full Analysis of the Fiscal Sources of Inflation in Iran Giving Special Emphasis to Budget Deficits
title_fullStr Analysis of the Fiscal Sources of Inflation in Iran Giving Special Emphasis to Budget Deficits
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of the Fiscal Sources of Inflation in Iran Giving Special Emphasis to Budget Deficits
title_short Analysis of the Fiscal Sources of Inflation in Iran Giving Special Emphasis to Budget Deficits
title_sort analysis of the fiscal sources of inflation in iran giving special emphasis to budget deficits
topic c22
inflation
budget deficient
vector autoregression
impulse response functions
variance decomposition jel classification: e31
url http://ecor.modares.ac.ir/article-18-1271-en.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT ebrahimhosseininasab analysisofthefiscalsourcesofinflationinirangivingspecialemphasistobudgetdeficits
AT mahdiehrezagholizadeh analysisofthefiscalsourcesofinflationinirangivingspecialemphasistobudgetdeficits