Influence factor analysis and prediction model of successful application of high-volume Foley Catheter for labor induction

Abstract Background This study aimed to establish a clinical-based nomogram for predicting the success rate of high-volume Foley catheterization for labor induction. Methods This retrospective study included 1149 full-term pregnant women who received high-volume Foley catheterization for labor induc...

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Main Authors: Jia Wang, Yu Cao, Lu Chen, Yan Tao, Huanhuan Huang, Chunju Miao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2023-11-01
Series:BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12884-023-06101-7
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author Jia Wang
Yu Cao
Lu Chen
Yan Tao
Huanhuan Huang
Chunju Miao
author_facet Jia Wang
Yu Cao
Lu Chen
Yan Tao
Huanhuan Huang
Chunju Miao
author_sort Jia Wang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background This study aimed to establish a clinical-based nomogram for predicting the success rate of high-volume Foley catheterization for labor induction. Methods This retrospective study included 1149 full-term pregnant women who received high-volume Foley catheterization for labor induction from January 2019 to December 2021 in Changshu No.1 People’s Hospital. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed, in which the labor induction success was set as dependent variables and the characteristics (including age, height, weight, BMI, gravidity, parity, gestational age, uterine height, abdominal circumference, cervical Bishop score, amniotic fluid index, cephalic presentation, neonatal weight, pregnancy complications, etc.) were set as independent variables. A nomogram scoring model was established based on these risk factors, and a calibration curve was plotted to verify the predictive accuracy of the model. Results The success rate of labor induction was 83.55% (960/1149). Univariate analysis revealed that the risk factors associated with the success rate of high-volume Foley catheterization for labor induction were height, pregnancy, birth, age, weight, BMI, uterine height, abdominal circumference, and hypertension. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age (OR = 0.950; 95% CI: 0.904 ~ 0.998), height (OR = 1.062; 95% CI: 1.026 ~ 1.100), BMI (OR = 0.871; 95% CI: 0.831 ~ 0.913), and parity (OR = 8.007; 95% CI: 4.483 ~ 14.303) were independent risk factors for labor induction success by high-volume Foley catheterization. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve in the prediction model was 0.752 (95% CI 0.716 ~ 0.788). A nomogram was constructed based on the final multivariate analysis with a corrected C-index of 0.748, which indicated that the model was calibrated reasonably. Conclusion Four risk factors were used to construct a nomogram to evaluate the success rate of high-volume Foley catheterization for labor induction. The nomogram provides a visual clinical tool to assist in the selection of the most appropriate mode of labor induction for pregnant women of different risk levels.
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spelling doaj.art-b805600d36334c74a9aa59ad8c16f2df2023-11-12T12:32:54ZengBMCBMC Pregnancy and Childbirth1471-23932023-11-012311910.1186/s12884-023-06101-7Influence factor analysis and prediction model of successful application of high-volume Foley Catheter for labor inductionJia Wang0Yu Cao1Lu Chen2Yan Tao3Huanhuan Huang4Chunju Miao5 Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Changshu No.1 People’s Hospital Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Changshu No.1 People’s Hospital Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Changshu No.1 People’s Hospital Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Changshu No.1 People’s HospitalSchool of Biotechnology and Food Engineering, Changshu Institute of Technology Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Changshu No.1 People’s HospitalAbstract Background This study aimed to establish a clinical-based nomogram for predicting the success rate of high-volume Foley catheterization for labor induction. Methods This retrospective study included 1149 full-term pregnant women who received high-volume Foley catheterization for labor induction from January 2019 to December 2021 in Changshu No.1 People’s Hospital. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed, in which the labor induction success was set as dependent variables and the characteristics (including age, height, weight, BMI, gravidity, parity, gestational age, uterine height, abdominal circumference, cervical Bishop score, amniotic fluid index, cephalic presentation, neonatal weight, pregnancy complications, etc.) were set as independent variables. A nomogram scoring model was established based on these risk factors, and a calibration curve was plotted to verify the predictive accuracy of the model. Results The success rate of labor induction was 83.55% (960/1149). Univariate analysis revealed that the risk factors associated with the success rate of high-volume Foley catheterization for labor induction were height, pregnancy, birth, age, weight, BMI, uterine height, abdominal circumference, and hypertension. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age (OR = 0.950; 95% CI: 0.904 ~ 0.998), height (OR = 1.062; 95% CI: 1.026 ~ 1.100), BMI (OR = 0.871; 95% CI: 0.831 ~ 0.913), and parity (OR = 8.007; 95% CI: 4.483 ~ 14.303) were independent risk factors for labor induction success by high-volume Foley catheterization. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve in the prediction model was 0.752 (95% CI 0.716 ~ 0.788). A nomogram was constructed based on the final multivariate analysis with a corrected C-index of 0.748, which indicated that the model was calibrated reasonably. Conclusion Four risk factors were used to construct a nomogram to evaluate the success rate of high-volume Foley catheterization for labor induction. The nomogram provides a visual clinical tool to assist in the selection of the most appropriate mode of labor induction for pregnant women of different risk levels.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12884-023-06101-7Labor inductionFoley catheterWater balloonPrediction modelNomogram
spellingShingle Jia Wang
Yu Cao
Lu Chen
Yan Tao
Huanhuan Huang
Chunju Miao
Influence factor analysis and prediction model of successful application of high-volume Foley Catheter for labor induction
BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth
Labor induction
Foley catheter
Water balloon
Prediction model
Nomogram
title Influence factor analysis and prediction model of successful application of high-volume Foley Catheter for labor induction
title_full Influence factor analysis and prediction model of successful application of high-volume Foley Catheter for labor induction
title_fullStr Influence factor analysis and prediction model of successful application of high-volume Foley Catheter for labor induction
title_full_unstemmed Influence factor analysis and prediction model of successful application of high-volume Foley Catheter for labor induction
title_short Influence factor analysis and prediction model of successful application of high-volume Foley Catheter for labor induction
title_sort influence factor analysis and prediction model of successful application of high volume foley catheter for labor induction
topic Labor induction
Foley catheter
Water balloon
Prediction model
Nomogram
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12884-023-06101-7
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