Preconditions for Introduction and Prospects for Implementation of the Inflation Targeting Regime in Ukraine

The article is aimed at studying the preconditions for introduction, the main problems and prospects for implementation of the inflation targeting regime in Ukraine. In 2014, the country got into a crisis that affected at once the currency market, the banking system and the real sector, resulting in...

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Main Author: Hladkykh Dmytro M.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Research Centre of Industrial Problems of Development of NAS of Ukraine 2017-07-01
Series:Bìznes Inform
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.business-inform.net/export_pdf/business-inform-2017-7_0-pages-204_208.pdf
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author Hladkykh Dmytro M.
author_facet Hladkykh Dmytro M.
author_sort Hladkykh Dmytro M.
collection DOAJ
description The article is aimed at studying the preconditions for introduction, the main problems and prospects for implementation of the inflation targeting regime in Ukraine. In 2014, the country got into a crisis that affected at once the currency market, the banking system and the real sector, resulting in devaluations, bank failures, decreasing GDP, growing prices. One of the responses to the financial challenges was the transition to inflationary targeting, which led to a slowdown in inflation in 2016-2017. Goals of an inflation targeting are both price growth and international reserves. Achieving these goals implies a policy of «expensive money», exclusive smoothing by interventions of excessive fluctuations, lack of fiscal dominance, prudent fiscal policies, and elimination of quasi-fiscal imbalances. The risks of current monetary policy are the slow implementation of reforms, which can stop external lending, «pre-election» increases in social spending, debt burden growth, and the escalation of hostilities in the east of the country. Further actions by the State should include: minimization of monetary emissions, further reduction of the interest rate, providing the positive level of rates by the National Bank of Ukraine in terms of inflation, increased use of compulsory reservation of the funds involved, restriction of sales of domestic bonds and the NBU certificates to banks.
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spelling doaj.art-b806d0eb58cb4725b42a258ea515ddc22022-12-21T19:55:16ZengResearch Centre of Industrial Problems of Development of NAS of UkraineBìznes Inform2222-44592311-116X2017-07-017474204208Preconditions for Introduction and Prospects for Implementation of the Inflation Targeting Regime in UkraineHladkykh Dmytro M.0Candidate of Sciences (Economics), Associate Professor, Head of, Sector of Monetary Policy of the Department of Economic Security, The National Institute for Strategic StudiesThe article is aimed at studying the preconditions for introduction, the main problems and prospects for implementation of the inflation targeting regime in Ukraine. In 2014, the country got into a crisis that affected at once the currency market, the banking system and the real sector, resulting in devaluations, bank failures, decreasing GDP, growing prices. One of the responses to the financial challenges was the transition to inflationary targeting, which led to a slowdown in inflation in 2016-2017. Goals of an inflation targeting are both price growth and international reserves. Achieving these goals implies a policy of «expensive money», exclusive smoothing by interventions of excessive fluctuations, lack of fiscal dominance, prudent fiscal policies, and elimination of quasi-fiscal imbalances. The risks of current monetary policy are the slow implementation of reforms, which can stop external lending, «pre-election» increases in social spending, debt burden growth, and the escalation of hostilities in the east of the country. Further actions by the State should include: minimization of monetary emissions, further reduction of the interest rate, providing the positive level of rates by the National Bank of Ukraine in terms of inflation, increased use of compulsory reservation of the funds involved, restriction of sales of domestic bonds and the NBU certificates to banks.http://www.business-inform.net/export_pdf/business-inform-2017-7_0-pages-204_208.pdfinflationinflation targetingexchange rateinterest ratesNational Bank of Ukraine
spellingShingle Hladkykh Dmytro M.
Preconditions for Introduction and Prospects for Implementation of the Inflation Targeting Regime in Ukraine
Bìznes Inform
inflation
inflation targeting
exchange rate
interest rates
National Bank of Ukraine
title Preconditions for Introduction and Prospects for Implementation of the Inflation Targeting Regime in Ukraine
title_full Preconditions for Introduction and Prospects for Implementation of the Inflation Targeting Regime in Ukraine
title_fullStr Preconditions for Introduction and Prospects for Implementation of the Inflation Targeting Regime in Ukraine
title_full_unstemmed Preconditions for Introduction and Prospects for Implementation of the Inflation Targeting Regime in Ukraine
title_short Preconditions for Introduction and Prospects for Implementation of the Inflation Targeting Regime in Ukraine
title_sort preconditions for introduction and prospects for implementation of the inflation targeting regime in ukraine
topic inflation
inflation targeting
exchange rate
interest rates
National Bank of Ukraine
url http://www.business-inform.net/export_pdf/business-inform-2017-7_0-pages-204_208.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT hladkykhdmytrom preconditionsforintroductionandprospectsforimplementationoftheinflationtargetingregimeinukraine