Forecasting Daily Temperatures with Different Time Interval Data Using Deep Neural Networks

Temperature forecasting has been a consistent research topic owing to its significant effect on daily lives and various industries. However, it is an ever-challenging task because temperature is affected by various climate factors. Research on temperature forecasting has taken one of two directions:...

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Main Authors: Sungjae Lee, Yung-Seop Lee, Youngdoo Son
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-02-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/5/1609
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author Sungjae Lee
Yung-Seop Lee
Youngdoo Son
author_facet Sungjae Lee
Yung-Seop Lee
Youngdoo Son
author_sort Sungjae Lee
collection DOAJ
description Temperature forecasting has been a consistent research topic owing to its significant effect on daily lives and various industries. However, it is an ever-challenging task because temperature is affected by various climate factors. Research on temperature forecasting has taken one of two directions: time-series analysis and machine learning algorithms. Recently, a large amount of high-frequent climate data have been well-stored and become available. In this study, we apply three types of neural networks, multilayer perceptron, recurrent, and convolutional, to daily average, minimum, and maximum temperature forecasting with higher-frequency input features than researchers used in previous studies. Applying these neural networks to the observed data from three locations with different climate characteristics, we show that prediction performance with highly frequent hourly input data is better than forecasting performance with less-frequent daily inputs. We observe that a convolutional neural network, which has been mostly employed for processing satellite images rather than numeric weather data for temperature forecasting, outperforms the other models. In addition, we combine state of the art weather forecasting techniques with the convolutional neural network and evaluate their effects on the temperature forecasting performances.
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spelling doaj.art-b86b4540e5e04e27afea3dfebf0412312022-12-22T02:40:31ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172020-02-01105160910.3390/app10051609app10051609Forecasting Daily Temperatures with Different Time Interval Data Using Deep Neural NetworksSungjae Lee0Yung-Seop Lee1Youngdoo Son2Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Dongguk University—Seoul, Seoul 04620, KoreaDepartment of Statistics, Dongguk University—Seoul, Seoul 04620, KoreaDepartment of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Dongguk University—Seoul, Seoul 04620, KoreaTemperature forecasting has been a consistent research topic owing to its significant effect on daily lives and various industries. However, it is an ever-challenging task because temperature is affected by various climate factors. Research on temperature forecasting has taken one of two directions: time-series analysis and machine learning algorithms. Recently, a large amount of high-frequent climate data have been well-stored and become available. In this study, we apply three types of neural networks, multilayer perceptron, recurrent, and convolutional, to daily average, minimum, and maximum temperature forecasting with higher-frequency input features than researchers used in previous studies. Applying these neural networks to the observed data from three locations with different climate characteristics, we show that prediction performance with highly frequent hourly input data is better than forecasting performance with less-frequent daily inputs. We observe that a convolutional neural network, which has been mostly employed for processing satellite images rather than numeric weather data for temperature forecasting, outperforms the other models. In addition, we combine state of the art weather forecasting techniques with the convolutional neural network and evaluate their effects on the temperature forecasting performances.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/5/1609convolution neural networkdeep learninglong short term memorytemperature forecasting
spellingShingle Sungjae Lee
Yung-Seop Lee
Youngdoo Son
Forecasting Daily Temperatures with Different Time Interval Data Using Deep Neural Networks
Applied Sciences
convolution neural network
deep learning
long short term memory
temperature forecasting
title Forecasting Daily Temperatures with Different Time Interval Data Using Deep Neural Networks
title_full Forecasting Daily Temperatures with Different Time Interval Data Using Deep Neural Networks
title_fullStr Forecasting Daily Temperatures with Different Time Interval Data Using Deep Neural Networks
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting Daily Temperatures with Different Time Interval Data Using Deep Neural Networks
title_short Forecasting Daily Temperatures with Different Time Interval Data Using Deep Neural Networks
title_sort forecasting daily temperatures with different time interval data using deep neural networks
topic convolution neural network
deep learning
long short term memory
temperature forecasting
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/5/1609
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