Support vector regression-bald eagle search optimizer-based hybrid approach for short-term wind power forecasting

Abstract Wind power forecasting deals with the prediction of the expected generation of wind farms in the next few minutes, hours, or days. The application of machine learning techniques in wind power forecasting has become of great interest due to their superior capability to perform regression, cl...

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Main Author: Mohammed Amroune
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2022-12-01
Series:Journal of Engineering and Applied Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s44147-022-00161-w
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author Mohammed Amroune
author_facet Mohammed Amroune
author_sort Mohammed Amroune
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Wind power forecasting deals with the prediction of the expected generation of wind farms in the next few minutes, hours, or days. The application of machine learning techniques in wind power forecasting has become of great interest due to their superior capability to perform regression, classification, and clustering. Support vector regression (SVR) is a powerful and suitable forecasting tool that has been successfully used for wind power forecasting. However, the performance of the SVR model is extremely dependent on the optimal selection of its hyper-parameters. In this paper, a novel forecast model based on hybrid SVR and bald eagle search (BES) is proposed for short-term wind power forecasting. In the proposed model, the BES algorithm, which is characterized by a few adjustable parameters, a simplified search mechanism, and accurate results, is used to enhance the accuracy of the forecasted output by optimizing the hyper-parameters of the SVR model. To evaluate the performance of the developed wind power forecaster, a case study has been conducted on real wind power data from Sotavento Galicia in Spain. The developed model is compared to other forecasting techniques such as decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), traditional SVR, hybrid SVR, and gray wolf optimization algorithm (SVR–GWO) and hybrid SVR and manta ray foraging optimizer (SVR–MRFO). Obtained results uncovered that the proposed hybrid SVR−BES is more accurate than other methods.
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spelling doaj.art-b894343e34874e83889c173c7ace0e8f2022-12-22T02:56:27ZengSpringerOpenJournal of Engineering and Applied Science1110-19032536-95122022-12-0169112010.1186/s44147-022-00161-wSupport vector regression-bald eagle search optimizer-based hybrid approach for short-term wind power forecastingMohammed Amroune0Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Setif 1Abstract Wind power forecasting deals with the prediction of the expected generation of wind farms in the next few minutes, hours, or days. The application of machine learning techniques in wind power forecasting has become of great interest due to their superior capability to perform regression, classification, and clustering. Support vector regression (SVR) is a powerful and suitable forecasting tool that has been successfully used for wind power forecasting. However, the performance of the SVR model is extremely dependent on the optimal selection of its hyper-parameters. In this paper, a novel forecast model based on hybrid SVR and bald eagle search (BES) is proposed for short-term wind power forecasting. In the proposed model, the BES algorithm, which is characterized by a few adjustable parameters, a simplified search mechanism, and accurate results, is used to enhance the accuracy of the forecasted output by optimizing the hyper-parameters of the SVR model. To evaluate the performance of the developed wind power forecaster, a case study has been conducted on real wind power data from Sotavento Galicia in Spain. The developed model is compared to other forecasting techniques such as decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), traditional SVR, hybrid SVR, and gray wolf optimization algorithm (SVR–GWO) and hybrid SVR and manta ray foraging optimizer (SVR–MRFO). Obtained results uncovered that the proposed hybrid SVR−BES is more accurate than other methods.https://doi.org/10.1186/s44147-022-00161-wWind power forecastingSupport vector regressionBald eagle searchGray wolf optimizationManta ray foraging optimization
spellingShingle Mohammed Amroune
Support vector regression-bald eagle search optimizer-based hybrid approach for short-term wind power forecasting
Journal of Engineering and Applied Science
Wind power forecasting
Support vector regression
Bald eagle search
Gray wolf optimization
Manta ray foraging optimization
title Support vector regression-bald eagle search optimizer-based hybrid approach for short-term wind power forecasting
title_full Support vector regression-bald eagle search optimizer-based hybrid approach for short-term wind power forecasting
title_fullStr Support vector regression-bald eagle search optimizer-based hybrid approach for short-term wind power forecasting
title_full_unstemmed Support vector regression-bald eagle search optimizer-based hybrid approach for short-term wind power forecasting
title_short Support vector regression-bald eagle search optimizer-based hybrid approach for short-term wind power forecasting
title_sort support vector regression bald eagle search optimizer based hybrid approach for short term wind power forecasting
topic Wind power forecasting
Support vector regression
Bald eagle search
Gray wolf optimization
Manta ray foraging optimization
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s44147-022-00161-w
work_keys_str_mv AT mohammedamroune supportvectorregressionbaldeaglesearchoptimizerbasedhybridapproachforshorttermwindpowerforecasting