Application of Artificial Neural Networks and Singular-Spectral Analysis in Forecasting the Daily Traffic in the Moscow Metro

In this paper, we investigate the possibility of applying various approaches to solving the problem of medium-term forecasting of daily passenger traffic volumes in the Moscow metro (MM): 1) on the basis of artificial neural networks (ANN); 2) using the singular-spectral analysis implemented in the...

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Main Authors: Ivanov Victor, Osetrov Evgenii
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2018-01-01
Series:EPJ Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1051/epjconf/201817305009
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author Ivanov Victor
Osetrov Evgenii
author_facet Ivanov Victor
Osetrov Evgenii
author_sort Ivanov Victor
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, we investigate the possibility of applying various approaches to solving the problem of medium-term forecasting of daily passenger traffic volumes in the Moscow metro (MM): 1) on the basis of artificial neural networks (ANN); 2) using the singular-spectral analysis implemented in the package “Caterpillar”-SSA; 3) sharing the ANN and the “Caterpillar”-SSA approach. We demonstrate that the developed methods and algorithms allow us to conduct medium-term forecasting of passenger traffic in the MM with reasonable accuracy.
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spelling doaj.art-b8a5e8bc7c97457bbca6c4a5e88da9632022-12-21T22:05:57ZengEDP SciencesEPJ Web of Conferences2100-014X2018-01-011730500910.1051/epjconf/201817305009epjconf_mmcp2018_05009Application of Artificial Neural Networks and Singular-Spectral Analysis in Forecasting the Daily Traffic in the Moscow MetroIvanov VictorOsetrov EvgeniiIn this paper, we investigate the possibility of applying various approaches to solving the problem of medium-term forecasting of daily passenger traffic volumes in the Moscow metro (MM): 1) on the basis of artificial neural networks (ANN); 2) using the singular-spectral analysis implemented in the package “Caterpillar”-SSA; 3) sharing the ANN and the “Caterpillar”-SSA approach. We demonstrate that the developed methods and algorithms allow us to conduct medium-term forecasting of passenger traffic in the MM with reasonable accuracy.https://doi.org/10.1051/epjconf/201817305009
spellingShingle Ivanov Victor
Osetrov Evgenii
Application of Artificial Neural Networks and Singular-Spectral Analysis in Forecasting the Daily Traffic in the Moscow Metro
EPJ Web of Conferences
title Application of Artificial Neural Networks and Singular-Spectral Analysis in Forecasting the Daily Traffic in the Moscow Metro
title_full Application of Artificial Neural Networks and Singular-Spectral Analysis in Forecasting the Daily Traffic in the Moscow Metro
title_fullStr Application of Artificial Neural Networks and Singular-Spectral Analysis in Forecasting the Daily Traffic in the Moscow Metro
title_full_unstemmed Application of Artificial Neural Networks and Singular-Spectral Analysis in Forecasting the Daily Traffic in the Moscow Metro
title_short Application of Artificial Neural Networks and Singular-Spectral Analysis in Forecasting the Daily Traffic in the Moscow Metro
title_sort application of artificial neural networks and singular spectral analysis in forecasting the daily traffic in the moscow metro
url https://doi.org/10.1051/epjconf/201817305009
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AT osetrovevgenii applicationofartificialneuralnetworksandsingularspectralanalysisinforecastingthedailytrafficinthemoscowmetro