Quantifying Clonal and Subclonal Passenger Mutations in Cancer Evolution.

The vast majority of mutations in the exome of cancer cells are passengers, which do not affect the reproductive rate of the cell. Passengers can provide important information about the evolutionary history of an individual cancer, and serve as a molecular clock. Passengers can also become targets f...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ivana Bozic, Jeffrey M Gerold, Martin A Nowak
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2016-02-01
Series:PLoS Computational Biology
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4734774?pdf=render
_version_ 1824006504547614720
author Ivana Bozic
Jeffrey M Gerold
Martin A Nowak
author_facet Ivana Bozic
Jeffrey M Gerold
Martin A Nowak
author_sort Ivana Bozic
collection DOAJ
description The vast majority of mutations in the exome of cancer cells are passengers, which do not affect the reproductive rate of the cell. Passengers can provide important information about the evolutionary history of an individual cancer, and serve as a molecular clock. Passengers can also become targets for immunotherapy or confer resistance to treatment. We study the stochastic expansion of a population of cancer cells describing the growth of primary tumors or metastatic lesions. We first analyze the process by looking forward in time and calculate the fixation probabilities and frequencies of successive passenger mutations ordered by their time of appearance. We compute the likelihood of specific evolutionary trees, thereby informing the phylogenetic reconstruction of cancer evolution in individual patients. Next, we derive results looking backward in time: for a given subclonal mutation we estimate the number of cancer cells that were present at the time when that mutation arose. We derive exact formulas for the expected numbers of subclonal mutations of any frequency. Fitting this formula to cancer sequencing data leads to an estimate for the ratio of birth and death rates of cancer cells during the early stages of clonal expansion.
first_indexed 2024-12-18T20:28:15Z
format Article
id doaj.art-b8bc7d19abea437b9e87f7450fdbeaff
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1553-734X
1553-7358
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-18T20:28:15Z
publishDate 2016-02-01
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
record_format Article
series PLoS Computational Biology
spelling doaj.art-b8bc7d19abea437b9e87f7450fdbeaff2022-12-21T20:54:09ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS Computational Biology1553-734X1553-73582016-02-01122e100473110.1371/journal.pcbi.1004731Quantifying Clonal and Subclonal Passenger Mutations in Cancer Evolution.Ivana BozicJeffrey M GeroldMartin A NowakThe vast majority of mutations in the exome of cancer cells are passengers, which do not affect the reproductive rate of the cell. Passengers can provide important information about the evolutionary history of an individual cancer, and serve as a molecular clock. Passengers can also become targets for immunotherapy or confer resistance to treatment. We study the stochastic expansion of a population of cancer cells describing the growth of primary tumors or metastatic lesions. We first analyze the process by looking forward in time and calculate the fixation probabilities and frequencies of successive passenger mutations ordered by their time of appearance. We compute the likelihood of specific evolutionary trees, thereby informing the phylogenetic reconstruction of cancer evolution in individual patients. Next, we derive results looking backward in time: for a given subclonal mutation we estimate the number of cancer cells that were present at the time when that mutation arose. We derive exact formulas for the expected numbers of subclonal mutations of any frequency. Fitting this formula to cancer sequencing data leads to an estimate for the ratio of birth and death rates of cancer cells during the early stages of clonal expansion.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4734774?pdf=render
spellingShingle Ivana Bozic
Jeffrey M Gerold
Martin A Nowak
Quantifying Clonal and Subclonal Passenger Mutations in Cancer Evolution.
PLoS Computational Biology
title Quantifying Clonal and Subclonal Passenger Mutations in Cancer Evolution.
title_full Quantifying Clonal and Subclonal Passenger Mutations in Cancer Evolution.
title_fullStr Quantifying Clonal and Subclonal Passenger Mutations in Cancer Evolution.
title_full_unstemmed Quantifying Clonal and Subclonal Passenger Mutations in Cancer Evolution.
title_short Quantifying Clonal and Subclonal Passenger Mutations in Cancer Evolution.
title_sort quantifying clonal and subclonal passenger mutations in cancer evolution
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4734774?pdf=render
work_keys_str_mv AT ivanabozic quantifyingclonalandsubclonalpassengermutationsincancerevolution
AT jeffreymgerold quantifyingclonalandsubclonalpassengermutationsincancerevolution
AT martinanowak quantifyingclonalandsubclonalpassengermutationsincancerevolution