Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan
Observations of some phenomenon, the nature of which changes over time, generates an ordered sequence, which is called a time series. The statistical regularity of the series of dynamics ȳt the average potato yield in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan (based on the materials of the C...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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EDP Sciences
2023-01-01
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Series: | E3S Web of Conferences |
Online Access: | https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/38/e3sconf_conmechydro23_03050.pdf |
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author | Vakhabov V. V. Hidoyatova M. A. |
author_facet | Vakhabov V. V. Hidoyatova M. A. |
author_sort | Vakhabov V. V. |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Observations of some phenomenon, the nature of which changes over time, generates an ordered sequence, which is called a time series. The statistical regularity of the series of dynamics ȳt the average potato yield in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan (based on the materials of the CSO of the Republic of Uzbekistan for 2000-2018 year) was studied by the method of statistical analysis of time series. Point and interval estimates for the average potato yield were built with a 95% guarantee, explicit types of trends were identified and the yield in the Tashkent region was predicted for subsequent years. Using the Darbin-Watson statistical criteria, it was found that the average potato yield in the region has autocorrelation dependence. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-12T22:42:33Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-b90ef9e7fe40484bae87cca3ae2f3dbf |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2267-1242 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-12T22:42:33Z |
publishDate | 2023-01-01 |
publisher | EDP Sciences |
record_format | Article |
series | E3S Web of Conferences |
spelling | doaj.art-b90ef9e7fe40484bae87cca3ae2f3dbf2023-07-21T09:34:23ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422023-01-014010305010.1051/e3sconf/202340103050e3sconf_conmechydro23_03050Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of UzbekistanVakhabov V. V.0Hidoyatova M. A.1Tashkent Institute of Irrigation and Agricultural Mechanization Engineers” National Research UniversityTashkent Institute of Irrigation and Agricultural Mechanization Engineers” National Research UniversityObservations of some phenomenon, the nature of which changes over time, generates an ordered sequence, which is called a time series. The statistical regularity of the series of dynamics ȳt the average potato yield in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan (based on the materials of the CSO of the Republic of Uzbekistan for 2000-2018 year) was studied by the method of statistical analysis of time series. Point and interval estimates for the average potato yield were built with a 95% guarantee, explicit types of trends were identified and the yield in the Tashkent region was predicted for subsequent years. Using the Darbin-Watson statistical criteria, it was found that the average potato yield in the region has autocorrelation dependence.https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/38/e3sconf_conmechydro23_03050.pdf |
spellingShingle | Vakhabov V. V. Hidoyatova M. A. Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan E3S Web of Conferences |
title | Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan |
title_full | Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan |
title_fullStr | Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan |
title_full_unstemmed | Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan |
title_short | Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan |
title_sort | forecasting potato yield dynamics in the tashkent region of the republic of uzbekistan |
url | https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/38/e3sconf_conmechydro23_03050.pdf |
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