Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan

Observations of some phenomenon, the nature of which changes over time, generates an ordered sequence, which is called a time series. The statistical regularity of the series of dynamics ȳt the average potato yield in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan (based on the materials of the C...

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Main Authors: Vakhabov V. V., Hidoyatova M. A.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2023-01-01
Series:E3S Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/38/e3sconf_conmechydro23_03050.pdf
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author Vakhabov V. V.
Hidoyatova M. A.
author_facet Vakhabov V. V.
Hidoyatova M. A.
author_sort Vakhabov V. V.
collection DOAJ
description Observations of some phenomenon, the nature of which changes over time, generates an ordered sequence, which is called a time series. The statistical regularity of the series of dynamics ȳt the average potato yield in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan (based on the materials of the CSO of the Republic of Uzbekistan for 2000-2018 year) was studied by the method of statistical analysis of time series. Point and interval estimates for the average potato yield were built with a 95% guarantee, explicit types of trends were identified and the yield in the Tashkent region was predicted for subsequent years. Using the Darbin-Watson statistical criteria, it was found that the average potato yield in the region has autocorrelation dependence.
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spelling doaj.art-b90ef9e7fe40484bae87cca3ae2f3dbf2023-07-21T09:34:23ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422023-01-014010305010.1051/e3sconf/202340103050e3sconf_conmechydro23_03050Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of UzbekistanVakhabov V. V.0Hidoyatova M. A.1Tashkent Institute of Irrigation and Agricultural Mechanization Engineers” National Research UniversityTashkent Institute of Irrigation and Agricultural Mechanization Engineers” National Research UniversityObservations of some phenomenon, the nature of which changes over time, generates an ordered sequence, which is called a time series. The statistical regularity of the series of dynamics ȳt the average potato yield in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan (based on the materials of the CSO of the Republic of Uzbekistan for 2000-2018 year) was studied by the method of statistical analysis of time series. Point and interval estimates for the average potato yield were built with a 95% guarantee, explicit types of trends were identified and the yield in the Tashkent region was predicted for subsequent years. Using the Darbin-Watson statistical criteria, it was found that the average potato yield in the region has autocorrelation dependence.https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/38/e3sconf_conmechydro23_03050.pdf
spellingShingle Vakhabov V. V.
Hidoyatova M. A.
Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan
E3S Web of Conferences
title Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan
title_full Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan
title_fullStr Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan
title_short Forecasting potato yield dynamics in the Tashkent region of the Republic of Uzbekistan
title_sort forecasting potato yield dynamics in the tashkent region of the republic of uzbekistan
url https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/38/e3sconf_conmechydro23_03050.pdf
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