The Dynamic Relationship between Real Interest Rate and Investment: An Empirical Analysis for Selected Pacific Island Countries

<p>This study investigates the short run and long run relationship between real interest rate and investment for selected PICs using a PMG - Panel ARDL approach for the period 1980 to 2016. The study reveals a significant negative relationship between real interest rate and investment in long...

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Main Author: Shabnam Sazma Bano
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2018-09-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Online Access:https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/6827
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author Shabnam Sazma Bano
author_facet Shabnam Sazma Bano
author_sort Shabnam Sazma Bano
collection DOAJ
description <p>This study investigates the short run and long run relationship between real interest rate and investment for selected PICs using a PMG - Panel ARDL approach for the period 1980 to 2016. The study reveals a significant negative relationship between real interest rate and investment in long run while a positive relationship in short run across all PICs, except for Samoa. The PMG results further show that economic variables such as growth rate, communication, foreign investment, aid and real exchange rate are investment creating in the long run while savings rate is investment reducing. In the short run only foreign direct investment and economic growth is investment creating while all other variables are investment reducing. The speed of adjustment is also a good predictor and reflected that stability will be restored across all countries in the long run. The achieved results have important policy implication for the PICs.</p><p><strong>Keywords:</strong> Panel ARDL, investment, real interest rate, PICs</p><p><strong>JEL Classifications:</strong> E01, E22, E43, E61</p><p><a href="https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.6827" rel="noreferrer" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.6827</a></p>
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spelling doaj.art-b9103ae89a7b4c91995ddb6ab2e1d4732023-02-15T16:18:10ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382018-09-01851311413442The Dynamic Relationship between Real Interest Rate and Investment: An Empirical Analysis for Selected Pacific Island CountriesShabnam Sazma Bano0Fiji National University<p>This study investigates the short run and long run relationship between real interest rate and investment for selected PICs using a PMG - Panel ARDL approach for the period 1980 to 2016. The study reveals a significant negative relationship between real interest rate and investment in long run while a positive relationship in short run across all PICs, except for Samoa. The PMG results further show that economic variables such as growth rate, communication, foreign investment, aid and real exchange rate are investment creating in the long run while savings rate is investment reducing. In the short run only foreign direct investment and economic growth is investment creating while all other variables are investment reducing. The speed of adjustment is also a good predictor and reflected that stability will be restored across all countries in the long run. The achieved results have important policy implication for the PICs.</p><p><strong>Keywords:</strong> Panel ARDL, investment, real interest rate, PICs</p><p><strong>JEL Classifications:</strong> E01, E22, E43, E61</p><p><a href="https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.6827" rel="noreferrer" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.6827</a></p>https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/6827
spellingShingle Shabnam Sazma Bano
The Dynamic Relationship between Real Interest Rate and Investment: An Empirical Analysis for Selected Pacific Island Countries
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
title The Dynamic Relationship between Real Interest Rate and Investment: An Empirical Analysis for Selected Pacific Island Countries
title_full The Dynamic Relationship between Real Interest Rate and Investment: An Empirical Analysis for Selected Pacific Island Countries
title_fullStr The Dynamic Relationship between Real Interest Rate and Investment: An Empirical Analysis for Selected Pacific Island Countries
title_full_unstemmed The Dynamic Relationship between Real Interest Rate and Investment: An Empirical Analysis for Selected Pacific Island Countries
title_short The Dynamic Relationship between Real Interest Rate and Investment: An Empirical Analysis for Selected Pacific Island Countries
title_sort dynamic relationship between real interest rate and investment an empirical analysis for selected pacific island countries
url https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/6827
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