Prediction of irrigation water quality indices based on machine learning and regression models

Abstract Assessing irrigation water quality is one of the most critical challenges in improving water resource management strategies. The objective of this work was to predict the irrigation water quality index of the Bahr El-Baqr, Egypt, based on non-expensive approaches that requires simple parame...

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Main Authors: Ali Mokhtar, Ahmed Elbeltagi, Yeboah Gyasi-Agyei, Nadhir Al-Ansari, Mohamed K. Abdel-Fattah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2022-03-01
Series:Applied Water Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s13201-022-01590-x
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author Ali Mokhtar
Ahmed Elbeltagi
Yeboah Gyasi-Agyei
Nadhir Al-Ansari
Mohamed K. Abdel-Fattah
author_facet Ali Mokhtar
Ahmed Elbeltagi
Yeboah Gyasi-Agyei
Nadhir Al-Ansari
Mohamed K. Abdel-Fattah
author_sort Ali Mokhtar
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Assessing irrigation water quality is one of the most critical challenges in improving water resource management strategies. The objective of this work was to predict the irrigation water quality index of the Bahr El-Baqr, Egypt, based on non-expensive approaches that requires simple parameters. To achieve this goal, three artificial intelligence (AI) models (Support vector machine, SVM; extreme gradient boosting, XGB; Random Forest, RF) and four multiple regression models (Stepwise Regression, SW; Principal Components Regression, PCR; Partial least squares regression, PLS; Ordinary least squares regression, OLS) were applied and validated for predicting six irrigation water quality criteria (soluble sodium percentage, SSP; sodium adsorption ratio, SAR; residual sodium carbonate, RSC; potential of salinity, PS; permeability index, PI; Kelly’s ratio, KR). Electrical conductivity (EC), sodium (Na+), calcium (Ca2+) and bicarbonate (HCO3−) were used as input exploratory variables for the models. The results indicated the water source is not suitable for irrigation without treatment. A good soil drainage system and salinity control measures are required to avoid salt accumulation within the soil. Based on the performance statistics of the root mean square error (RMSE) and the scatter index (SI), SW emerged as the best (0.21% and 0.03%) followed by PCR and PLS with RMSE 0.22% and 0.21% for SAR, respectively. Based on the classification of the SI, all models applied having values less than 0.1 indicate good prediction performance for all the indices except RSC. These results highlight potential of using multiple regressions and the developed machine learning methods in predicting the index of irrigation water quality, and can be rapid decision tools for modelling irrigation water quality.
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spelling doaj.art-b9128e649160451e9f14bbfb26f6accb2022-12-22T02:39:32ZengSpringerOpenApplied Water Science2190-54872190-54952022-03-0112411410.1007/s13201-022-01590-xPrediction of irrigation water quality indices based on machine learning and regression modelsAli Mokhtar0Ahmed Elbeltagi1Yeboah Gyasi-Agyei2Nadhir Al-Ansari3Mohamed K. Abdel-Fattah4State of Key Laboratory of Soil Erosion and Dryland Farming On Loess Plateau, Institute of Soil and Water Conservation, Chinese Academy of Sciences and Ministry of Water Resources, Northwest Agriculture and Forestry UniversityAgricultural Engineering Department, Faculty of Agriculture, Mansoura UniversitySchool of Engineering and Built Environment, Griffith UniversityCivil, Environmental and Natural Resources Engineering, Lulea University of TechnologySoil Science Department, Faculty of Agriculture, Zagazig UniversityAbstract Assessing irrigation water quality is one of the most critical challenges in improving water resource management strategies. The objective of this work was to predict the irrigation water quality index of the Bahr El-Baqr, Egypt, based on non-expensive approaches that requires simple parameters. To achieve this goal, three artificial intelligence (AI) models (Support vector machine, SVM; extreme gradient boosting, XGB; Random Forest, RF) and four multiple regression models (Stepwise Regression, SW; Principal Components Regression, PCR; Partial least squares regression, PLS; Ordinary least squares regression, OLS) were applied and validated for predicting six irrigation water quality criteria (soluble sodium percentage, SSP; sodium adsorption ratio, SAR; residual sodium carbonate, RSC; potential of salinity, PS; permeability index, PI; Kelly’s ratio, KR). Electrical conductivity (EC), sodium (Na+), calcium (Ca2+) and bicarbonate (HCO3−) were used as input exploratory variables for the models. The results indicated the water source is not suitable for irrigation without treatment. A good soil drainage system and salinity control measures are required to avoid salt accumulation within the soil. Based on the performance statistics of the root mean square error (RMSE) and the scatter index (SI), SW emerged as the best (0.21% and 0.03%) followed by PCR and PLS with RMSE 0.22% and 0.21% for SAR, respectively. Based on the classification of the SI, all models applied having values less than 0.1 indicate good prediction performance for all the indices except RSC. These results highlight potential of using multiple regressions and the developed machine learning methods in predicting the index of irrigation water quality, and can be rapid decision tools for modelling irrigation water quality.https://doi.org/10.1007/s13201-022-01590-xIrrigation water quality indexMachine learningSupport vector machineStepwise regressionBahr El-Baqr drain
spellingShingle Ali Mokhtar
Ahmed Elbeltagi
Yeboah Gyasi-Agyei
Nadhir Al-Ansari
Mohamed K. Abdel-Fattah
Prediction of irrigation water quality indices based on machine learning and regression models
Applied Water Science
Irrigation water quality index
Machine learning
Support vector machine
Stepwise regression
Bahr El-Baqr drain
title Prediction of irrigation water quality indices based on machine learning and regression models
title_full Prediction of irrigation water quality indices based on machine learning and regression models
title_fullStr Prediction of irrigation water quality indices based on machine learning and regression models
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of irrigation water quality indices based on machine learning and regression models
title_short Prediction of irrigation water quality indices based on machine learning and regression models
title_sort prediction of irrigation water quality indices based on machine learning and regression models
topic Irrigation water quality index
Machine learning
Support vector machine
Stepwise regression
Bahr El-Baqr drain
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s13201-022-01590-x
work_keys_str_mv AT alimokhtar predictionofirrigationwaterqualityindicesbasedonmachinelearningandregressionmodels
AT ahmedelbeltagi predictionofirrigationwaterqualityindicesbasedonmachinelearningandregressionmodels
AT yeboahgyasiagyei predictionofirrigationwaterqualityindicesbasedonmachinelearningandregressionmodels
AT nadhiralansari predictionofirrigationwaterqualityindicesbasedonmachinelearningandregressionmodels
AT mohamedkabdelfattah predictionofirrigationwaterqualityindicesbasedonmachinelearningandregressionmodels