Relationship between respiratory diseases and environmental conditions: a time-series analysis in Eastern Amazon

This study examines the relationship between the time-series analysis of climate, deforestation, wildfire, Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD), and hospital admissions for respiratory diseases in the Eastern Amazon. Through a descriptive study with an ecological approach of an 18-year time-series analysis,...

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Main Authors: Mauricio do Nascimento Moura, Maria Isabel Vitorino, Glauber Guimarães Cirino da Silva, Valdir Soares de Andrade Filho
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Associação Brasileira de Engenharia Sanitária e Ambiental 2021-08-01
Series:Revista Brasileira de Ciências Ambientais
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.rbciamb.com.br/Publicacoes_RBCIAMB/article/view/1020
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author Mauricio do Nascimento Moura
Maria Isabel Vitorino
Glauber Guimarães Cirino da Silva
Valdir Soares de Andrade Filho
author_facet Mauricio do Nascimento Moura
Maria Isabel Vitorino
Glauber Guimarães Cirino da Silva
Valdir Soares de Andrade Filho
author_sort Mauricio do Nascimento Moura
collection DOAJ
description This study examines the relationship between the time-series analysis of climate, deforestation, wildfire, Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD), and hospital admissions for respiratory diseases in the Eastern Amazon. Through a descriptive study with an ecological approach of an 18-year time-series analysis, we made a statistical analysis of two pre-established periods, namely, the rainy season and the dry season. On a decadal scale, analyzing the signals of climate indices [i.e., the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and the Atlantic Meridional Mode (AMM)], the city of Marabá presents correlations between hospital admissions, wildfire, and AOD. This is not observed with the same accuracy in Santarém. On a seasonal scale, our analysis demonstrated how both cities in this research presented an increase in the number of hospital admissions during the dry season: Marabá, 3%; Santarém, 5%. The same season also presented a higher number of fire outbreaks, AOD, and higher temperatures. The AOD monthly analysis showed that the atmosphere of Marabá may be under the influence of other types of aerosols, such as those from mining activities. There is a time lag of approximately 2 months in the records of wildfire in the city. Such lag is not found in Santarém. The linear regression analysis shows that there is a correlation above 64% (Marabá) and 50% (Santarém), which is statistically significant because it proves that the number of hospital admissions for respiratory diseases is dependable on the AOD value. From the cities in the study, Marabá presents the highest incidence of wildfire, with an average of 188.5— the average in Santarém is 68.7—, and therefore the highest AOD value, with an average of 0.66 (Santarém, 0.47), both during the dry season. It is evident that the climate component has a relevant contribution to the increase in the number of hospital admissions, especially during the rainy season, where there are few or no records of wildfires.
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spelling doaj.art-b936f921cc754dc5a9eb748a2e7c0f8e2022-12-22T04:14:36ZengAssociação Brasileira de Engenharia Sanitária e AmbientalRevista Brasileira de Ciências Ambientais1808-45242176-94782021-08-0156339841210.5327/Z217694781020854Relationship between respiratory diseases and environmental conditions: a time-series analysis in Eastern AmazonMauricio do Nascimento Moura0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2652-0587Maria Isabel Vitorino1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3253-5301Glauber Guimarães Cirino da Silva2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1105-7603Valdir Soares de Andrade Filho3https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1571-0438Universidade Federal do Pará (UFPA) - BrazilUniversidade Federal do Pará (UFPA) - BrazilUniversidade Federal do Pará (UFPA) - BrazilUniversidade do Estado do Amazonas (UEA) - BrazilThis study examines the relationship between the time-series analysis of climate, deforestation, wildfire, Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD), and hospital admissions for respiratory diseases in the Eastern Amazon. Through a descriptive study with an ecological approach of an 18-year time-series analysis, we made a statistical analysis of two pre-established periods, namely, the rainy season and the dry season. On a decadal scale, analyzing the signals of climate indices [i.e., the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and the Atlantic Meridional Mode (AMM)], the city of Marabá presents correlations between hospital admissions, wildfire, and AOD. This is not observed with the same accuracy in Santarém. On a seasonal scale, our analysis demonstrated how both cities in this research presented an increase in the number of hospital admissions during the dry season: Marabá, 3%; Santarém, 5%. The same season also presented a higher number of fire outbreaks, AOD, and higher temperatures. The AOD monthly analysis showed that the atmosphere of Marabá may be under the influence of other types of aerosols, such as those from mining activities. There is a time lag of approximately 2 months in the records of wildfire in the city. Such lag is not found in Santarém. The linear regression analysis shows that there is a correlation above 64% (Marabá) and 50% (Santarém), which is statistically significant because it proves that the number of hospital admissions for respiratory diseases is dependable on the AOD value. From the cities in the study, Marabá presents the highest incidence of wildfire, with an average of 188.5— the average in Santarém is 68.7—, and therefore the highest AOD value, with an average of 0.66 (Santarém, 0.47), both during the dry season. It is evident that the climate component has a relevant contribution to the increase in the number of hospital admissions, especially during the rainy season, where there are few or no records of wildfires.https://www.rbciamb.com.br/Publicacoes_RBCIAMB/article/view/1020air pollution; deforestation; wildfire; climate; state of pará.
spellingShingle Mauricio do Nascimento Moura
Maria Isabel Vitorino
Glauber Guimarães Cirino da Silva
Valdir Soares de Andrade Filho
Relationship between respiratory diseases and environmental conditions: a time-series analysis in Eastern Amazon
Revista Brasileira de Ciências Ambientais
air pollution; deforestation; wildfire; climate; state of pará.
title Relationship between respiratory diseases and environmental conditions: a time-series analysis in Eastern Amazon
title_full Relationship between respiratory diseases and environmental conditions: a time-series analysis in Eastern Amazon
title_fullStr Relationship between respiratory diseases and environmental conditions: a time-series analysis in Eastern Amazon
title_full_unstemmed Relationship between respiratory diseases and environmental conditions: a time-series analysis in Eastern Amazon
title_short Relationship between respiratory diseases and environmental conditions: a time-series analysis in Eastern Amazon
title_sort relationship between respiratory diseases and environmental conditions a time series analysis in eastern amazon
topic air pollution; deforestation; wildfire; climate; state of pará.
url https://www.rbciamb.com.br/Publicacoes_RBCIAMB/article/view/1020
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AT glauberguimaraescirinodasilva relationshipbetweenrespiratorydiseasesandenvironmentalconditionsatimeseriesanalysisineasternamazon
AT valdirsoaresdeandradefilho relationshipbetweenrespiratorydiseasesandenvironmentalconditionsatimeseriesanalysisineasternamazon