Future climate change and it`s impact on precipitation and temperature in Ukraine
Global climate change has provoked an active development in modern methods relating to the prediction of spatiotemporal hydrometeorological fields. Numerical modeling of nearest-future climatic changes allows to generate strategies of development for different areas of economic activity. The pape...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Odessa State Environmental University
2015-11-01
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| Series: | Український гідрометеорологічний журнал |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://uhmj.org.ua/index.php/journal/article/view/11 |
| _version_ | 1818438047336759296 |
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| author | V. Khokhlov N. Yermolenko |
| author_facet | V. Khokhlov N. Yermolenko |
| author_sort | V. Khokhlov |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Global climate change has provoked an active development in modern methods relating to the prediction of spatiotemporal hydrometeorological fields. Numerical modeling of nearest-future climatic changes allows to generate strategies of development for different areas of economic activity.
The paper aims to assess the expected air temperature and precipitation features in Ukraine considering different scenarios of climatic change. The modeling future changes of air temperature and precipitation were carried out using the A1B and A2 scenarios of climatic change. The outcomes of regional climate model ECHAM5 from ENSEMBLES Project were used as initial data. It was revealed that the air temperature will gradually increase in most of Ukrainian regions. Moreover highest air temperature will be recorded in Southern Ukraine during 2031-2050. The analysis of linear trends for 2031-2050 showed that the air temperature for the scenario A1B will exhibit a tendency to the decrease of temperature. However, the annually mean temperature in 2031-2050 for the ‘moderate’ scenario A1B will be higher than for the ‘hard’, in terms of greenhouse gases concentrations, scenario A2. The annual precipitation in Ukraine, both for the A1B and A2 scenario, will slightly increase toward the 2050 with the exception of Southern Ukraine. Also, the highest annual precipitation will be registered in the western part of Ukraine, and lowest – in the southern one. The paper can be expanded to the analysis of future dangerous weather phenomena depending on the changes of air temperature and precipitation. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-14T17:34:21Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-b97de8d15ddd4564b127470bfa5990ad |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2311-0902 2616-7271 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-14T17:34:21Z |
| publishDate | 2015-11-01 |
| publisher | Odessa State Environmental University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Український гідрометеорологічний журнал |
| spelling | doaj.art-b97de8d15ddd4564b127470bfa5990ad2022-12-21T22:53:02ZengOdessa State Environmental UniversityУкраїнський гідрометеорологічний журнал2311-09022616-72712015-11-0116768210.31481/uhmj.16.2015.1011Future climate change and it`s impact on precipitation and temperature in UkraineV. KhokhlovN. YermolenkoGlobal climate change has provoked an active development in modern methods relating to the prediction of spatiotemporal hydrometeorological fields. Numerical modeling of nearest-future climatic changes allows to generate strategies of development for different areas of economic activity. The paper aims to assess the expected air temperature and precipitation features in Ukraine considering different scenarios of climatic change. The modeling future changes of air temperature and precipitation were carried out using the A1B and A2 scenarios of climatic change. The outcomes of regional climate model ECHAM5 from ENSEMBLES Project were used as initial data. It was revealed that the air temperature will gradually increase in most of Ukrainian regions. Moreover highest air temperature will be recorded in Southern Ukraine during 2031-2050. The analysis of linear trends for 2031-2050 showed that the air temperature for the scenario A1B will exhibit a tendency to the decrease of temperature. However, the annually mean temperature in 2031-2050 for the ‘moderate’ scenario A1B will be higher than for the ‘hard’, in terms of greenhouse gases concentrations, scenario A2. The annual precipitation in Ukraine, both for the A1B and A2 scenario, will slightly increase toward the 2050 with the exception of Southern Ukraine. Also, the highest annual precipitation will be registered in the western part of Ukraine, and lowest – in the southern one. The paper can be expanded to the analysis of future dangerous weather phenomena depending on the changes of air temperature and precipitation.http://uhmj.org.ua/index.php/journal/article/view/11air temperature, precipitation, regional climate models, linear trend |
| spellingShingle | V. Khokhlov N. Yermolenko Future climate change and it`s impact on precipitation and temperature in Ukraine Український гідрометеорологічний журнал air temperature, precipitation, regional climate models, linear trend |
| title | Future climate change and it`s impact on precipitation and temperature in Ukraine |
| title_full | Future climate change and it`s impact on precipitation and temperature in Ukraine |
| title_fullStr | Future climate change and it`s impact on precipitation and temperature in Ukraine |
| title_full_unstemmed | Future climate change and it`s impact on precipitation and temperature in Ukraine |
| title_short | Future climate change and it`s impact on precipitation and temperature in Ukraine |
| title_sort | future climate change and it s impact on precipitation and temperature in ukraine |
| topic | air temperature, precipitation, regional climate models, linear trend |
| url | http://uhmj.org.ua/index.php/journal/article/view/11 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT vkhokhlov futureclimatechangeanditsimpactonprecipitationandtemperatureinukraine AT nyermolenko futureclimatechangeanditsimpactonprecipitationandtemperatureinukraine |