Different transmission routes and the risk of advanced HIV disease: A systematic review and network meta-analysis of observational studies

Background: A substantial proportion of people living with HIV (PLHIV) present for care with advanced HIV disease (AHD), which may result in difficulty reaching the “90–90–90” target to end AIDS in 2030. We assessed the risk of AHD for different transmission routes to summarize the evidence for prio...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Qiaosen Chen, Ding Zeng, Yangyang She, Yuhan Lyu, Xiao Gong, Matthew J. Feinstein, Yi Yang, Hongbo Jiang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2019-11-01
Series:EClinicalMedicine
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589537019301853
_version_ 1818335543963942912
author Qiaosen Chen
Ding Zeng
Yangyang She
Yuhan Lyu
Xiao Gong
Matthew J. Feinstein
Yi Yang
Hongbo Jiang
author_facet Qiaosen Chen
Ding Zeng
Yangyang She
Yuhan Lyu
Xiao Gong
Matthew J. Feinstein
Yi Yang
Hongbo Jiang
author_sort Qiaosen Chen
collection DOAJ
description Background: A substantial proportion of people living with HIV (PLHIV) present for care with advanced HIV disease (AHD), which may result in difficulty reaching the “90–90–90” target to end AIDS in 2030. We assessed the risk of AHD for different transmission routes to summarize the evidence for priority prevention strategies for key populations. Methods: Observational studies published before September 10th, 2019 in the PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and Chinese electronic databases were analysed. The outcomes of interest were the number of PLHIV and AHD patients and their associated transmission routes. We assessed the risk of AHD among the different transmission routes using the multi-armed network meta-analysis based on the Bayesian method. The associations between AHD and regional policies for sex work and compulsory drug treatment were estimated using ecological linear regression. Findings: One hundred and one articles were included, covering 1,297,872 PLHIV with 478,830 patients who developed AHD. The network analysis revealed that among PLHIV, heterosexual contact was associated with the highest risk of AHD, followed by injection drug use (odds ratio [OR]=0•56, 95% credible interval [CrI] 0•47–0•68), and men who have sex with men (OR=0•54, 95% CrI 0•46–0•63). Regions that criminalized sex work and compulsory drug treatment had higher risks for AHD than those that did not. Interpretation: Our findings suggest HC is at a higher risk of AHD compared to IDU and MSM. This justifies the need to expand prevention campaigns and maintain efforts to increase HIV testing in the heterosexual population.
first_indexed 2024-12-13T14:25:06Z
format Article
id doaj.art-b993c02317a74a67a9c63828fdd23517
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2589-5370
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-13T14:25:06Z
publishDate 2019-11-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series EClinicalMedicine
spelling doaj.art-b993c02317a74a67a9c63828fdd235172022-12-21T23:41:58ZengElsevierEClinicalMedicine2589-53702019-11-0116121128Different transmission routes and the risk of advanced HIV disease: A systematic review and network meta-analysis of observational studiesQiaosen Chen0Ding Zeng1Yangyang She2Yuhan Lyu3Xiao Gong4Matthew J. Feinstein5Yi Yang6Hongbo Jiang7Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, ChinaThe Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaSchool of Health Science, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartments of Medicine, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, United StatesDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, China; Co-Corresponding to: Yi Yang Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou 510310, China.Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, China; Corresponding to: Hongbo Jiang Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou 510310, China.Background: A substantial proportion of people living with HIV (PLHIV) present for care with advanced HIV disease (AHD), which may result in difficulty reaching the “90–90–90” target to end AIDS in 2030. We assessed the risk of AHD for different transmission routes to summarize the evidence for priority prevention strategies for key populations. Methods: Observational studies published before September 10th, 2019 in the PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and Chinese electronic databases were analysed. The outcomes of interest were the number of PLHIV and AHD patients and their associated transmission routes. We assessed the risk of AHD among the different transmission routes using the multi-armed network meta-analysis based on the Bayesian method. The associations between AHD and regional policies for sex work and compulsory drug treatment were estimated using ecological linear regression. Findings: One hundred and one articles were included, covering 1,297,872 PLHIV with 478,830 patients who developed AHD. The network analysis revealed that among PLHIV, heterosexual contact was associated with the highest risk of AHD, followed by injection drug use (odds ratio [OR]=0•56, 95% credible interval [CrI] 0•47–0•68), and men who have sex with men (OR=0•54, 95% CrI 0•46–0•63). Regions that criminalized sex work and compulsory drug treatment had higher risks for AHD than those that did not. Interpretation: Our findings suggest HC is at a higher risk of AHD compared to IDU and MSM. This justifies the need to expand prevention campaigns and maintain efforts to increase HIV testing in the heterosexual population.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589537019301853
spellingShingle Qiaosen Chen
Ding Zeng
Yangyang She
Yuhan Lyu
Xiao Gong
Matthew J. Feinstein
Yi Yang
Hongbo Jiang
Different transmission routes and the risk of advanced HIV disease: A systematic review and network meta-analysis of observational studies
EClinicalMedicine
title Different transmission routes and the risk of advanced HIV disease: A systematic review and network meta-analysis of observational studies
title_full Different transmission routes and the risk of advanced HIV disease: A systematic review and network meta-analysis of observational studies
title_fullStr Different transmission routes and the risk of advanced HIV disease: A systematic review and network meta-analysis of observational studies
title_full_unstemmed Different transmission routes and the risk of advanced HIV disease: A systematic review and network meta-analysis of observational studies
title_short Different transmission routes and the risk of advanced HIV disease: A systematic review and network meta-analysis of observational studies
title_sort different transmission routes and the risk of advanced hiv disease a systematic review and network meta analysis of observational studies
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589537019301853
work_keys_str_mv AT qiaosenchen differenttransmissionroutesandtheriskofadvancedhivdiseaseasystematicreviewandnetworkmetaanalysisofobservationalstudies
AT dingzeng differenttransmissionroutesandtheriskofadvancedhivdiseaseasystematicreviewandnetworkmetaanalysisofobservationalstudies
AT yangyangshe differenttransmissionroutesandtheriskofadvancedhivdiseaseasystematicreviewandnetworkmetaanalysisofobservationalstudies
AT yuhanlyu differenttransmissionroutesandtheriskofadvancedhivdiseaseasystematicreviewandnetworkmetaanalysisofobservationalstudies
AT xiaogong differenttransmissionroutesandtheriskofadvancedhivdiseaseasystematicreviewandnetworkmetaanalysisofobservationalstudies
AT matthewjfeinstein differenttransmissionroutesandtheriskofadvancedhivdiseaseasystematicreviewandnetworkmetaanalysisofobservationalstudies
AT yiyang differenttransmissionroutesandtheriskofadvancedhivdiseaseasystematicreviewandnetworkmetaanalysisofobservationalstudies
AT hongbojiang differenttransmissionroutesandtheriskofadvancedhivdiseaseasystematicreviewandnetworkmetaanalysisofobservationalstudies