Defining Populations and Predicting Future Suitable Niche Space in the Geographically Disjunct, Narrowly Endemic Leafy Prairie-Clover (<i>Dalea foliosa</i>; Fabaceae)

Conservation actions for rare species are often based on estimates of population size and number, which are challenging to capture in natural systems. Instead, many definitions of populations rely on arbitrarily defined distances between occurrences, which is not necessarily biologically meaningful...

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Main Authors: Ashley B. Morris, Clayton J. Visger, Skyler J. Fox, Cassandra Scalf, Sunny Fleming, Geoff Call
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-02-01
Series:Plants
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2223-7747/13/4/495
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author Ashley B. Morris
Clayton J. Visger
Skyler J. Fox
Cassandra Scalf
Sunny Fleming
Geoff Call
author_facet Ashley B. Morris
Clayton J. Visger
Skyler J. Fox
Cassandra Scalf
Sunny Fleming
Geoff Call
author_sort Ashley B. Morris
collection DOAJ
description Conservation actions for rare species are often based on estimates of population size and number, which are challenging to capture in natural systems. Instead, many definitions of populations rely on arbitrarily defined distances between occurrences, which is not necessarily biologically meaningful despite having utility from a conservation management perspective. Here, we introduce a case study using the narrowly endemic and highly geographically disjunct leafy prairie-clover (<i>Dalea foliosa</i>), for which we use nuclear microsatellite loci to assess the current delimitations of populations and management units across its entire known range. We model future potential suitable niche space for the species to assess how currently defined populations could fare under predicted changes in climate over the next 50 years. Our results indicate that genetic variation within the species is extremely limited, particularly so in the distal portions of its range (Illinois and Alabama). Within the core of its range (Tennessee), genetic structure is not consistent with populations as currently defined. Our models indicate that predicted suitable niche space may only marginally overlap with the geology associated with this species (limestone glades and dolomite prairies) by 2070. Additional studies are needed to evaluate the extent to which populations are ecologically adapted to local environments and what role this could play in future translocation efforts.
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spelling doaj.art-b9a8336cabde4901b7b7a9aeee2407eb2024-02-23T15:31:53ZengMDPI AGPlants2223-77472024-02-0113449510.3390/plants13040495Defining Populations and Predicting Future Suitable Niche Space in the Geographically Disjunct, Narrowly Endemic Leafy Prairie-Clover (<i>Dalea foliosa</i>; Fabaceae)Ashley B. Morris0Clayton J. Visger1Skyler J. Fox2Cassandra Scalf3Sunny Fleming4Geoff Call5Department of Biology, Furman University, Greenville, SC 29613, USADepartment of Biological Sciences, California State University, Sacramento, CA 95819, USADepartment of Biology, Furman University, Greenville, SC 29613, USAIndependent Researcher, San Antonio, TX 78247, USAEnvironmental Systems Research Institute, Inc. (ESRI), Redlands, CA 92373, USATennessee Ecological Services Field Office, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Cookeville, TN 38501, USAConservation actions for rare species are often based on estimates of population size and number, which are challenging to capture in natural systems. Instead, many definitions of populations rely on arbitrarily defined distances between occurrences, which is not necessarily biologically meaningful despite having utility from a conservation management perspective. Here, we introduce a case study using the narrowly endemic and highly geographically disjunct leafy prairie-clover (<i>Dalea foliosa</i>), for which we use nuclear microsatellite loci to assess the current delimitations of populations and management units across its entire known range. We model future potential suitable niche space for the species to assess how currently defined populations could fare under predicted changes in climate over the next 50 years. Our results indicate that genetic variation within the species is extremely limited, particularly so in the distal portions of its range (Illinois and Alabama). Within the core of its range (Tennessee), genetic structure is not consistent with populations as currently defined. Our models indicate that predicted suitable niche space may only marginally overlap with the geology associated with this species (limestone glades and dolomite prairies) by 2070. Additional studies are needed to evaluate the extent to which populations are ecologically adapted to local environments and what role this could play in future translocation efforts.https://www.mdpi.com/2223-7747/13/4/495conservation genetics<i>Dalea foliosa</i>dolomite prairieslimestone gladesmicrosatellitespopulation boundaries
spellingShingle Ashley B. Morris
Clayton J. Visger
Skyler J. Fox
Cassandra Scalf
Sunny Fleming
Geoff Call
Defining Populations and Predicting Future Suitable Niche Space in the Geographically Disjunct, Narrowly Endemic Leafy Prairie-Clover (<i>Dalea foliosa</i>; Fabaceae)
Plants
conservation genetics
<i>Dalea foliosa</i>
dolomite prairies
limestone glades
microsatellites
population boundaries
title Defining Populations and Predicting Future Suitable Niche Space in the Geographically Disjunct, Narrowly Endemic Leafy Prairie-Clover (<i>Dalea foliosa</i>; Fabaceae)
title_full Defining Populations and Predicting Future Suitable Niche Space in the Geographically Disjunct, Narrowly Endemic Leafy Prairie-Clover (<i>Dalea foliosa</i>; Fabaceae)
title_fullStr Defining Populations and Predicting Future Suitable Niche Space in the Geographically Disjunct, Narrowly Endemic Leafy Prairie-Clover (<i>Dalea foliosa</i>; Fabaceae)
title_full_unstemmed Defining Populations and Predicting Future Suitable Niche Space in the Geographically Disjunct, Narrowly Endemic Leafy Prairie-Clover (<i>Dalea foliosa</i>; Fabaceae)
title_short Defining Populations and Predicting Future Suitable Niche Space in the Geographically Disjunct, Narrowly Endemic Leafy Prairie-Clover (<i>Dalea foliosa</i>; Fabaceae)
title_sort defining populations and predicting future suitable niche space in the geographically disjunct narrowly endemic leafy prairie clover i dalea foliosa i fabaceae
topic conservation genetics
<i>Dalea foliosa</i>
dolomite prairies
limestone glades
microsatellites
population boundaries
url https://www.mdpi.com/2223-7747/13/4/495
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