Macroeconomic Forecast in Regional Strategies: The Example of Khabarovsk Territory
The article discusses the methodological and instrumental problems of forecasting medium-term dynamics of a region’s socio-economic development as part of constructing the region’s socio-economic development strategy. The authors present results of constructing the system of models of different clas...
| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Russian |
| Published: |
Economic Research Institute of the Far East Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences
2016-06-01
|
| Series: | Prostranstvennaâ Èkonomika |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://spatial-economics.com/eng/images/spatial-econimics/2_2016/SE.2016.2.014-036.Zakharchenko.pdf |
| _version_ | 1818503920041852928 |
|---|---|
| author | Natalia Gennadyevna Zakharchenko Pavel Aleksandrovich Minakir |
| author_facet | Natalia Gennadyevna Zakharchenko Pavel Aleksandrovich Minakir |
| author_sort | Natalia Gennadyevna Zakharchenko |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The article discusses the methodological and instrumental problems of forecasting medium-term dynamics of a region’s socio-economic development as part of constructing the region’s socio-economic development strategy. The authors present results of constructing the system of models of different classes integrated in a single model complex. The model complex is based on the synthesis of methods of intersectoral analysis and dynamic optimization and consists of four The article was supported by the FEB RAS Program of Fundamental Research ‘Far East’ (Subprogram 8). predictive-analytical modules: a) aggregate demand generation, b) estimation of intersectoral interactions, c) resource constraints testing d) estimation of standard of living indicators. The modules are interconnected with horizontal communication channels activated within one time cycle (step or year) and vertical communication channels activated between different time cycles. The authors test the model complex on the data of Khabarovsk Territory. The results of the study include quantitative assessments of macroeconomic and social parameters projections in the context of stages and scenarios of socio-economic development of the region |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-10T21:30:15Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-b9abe3f424084757a355136071708d60 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1815-9834 2587-5957 |
| language | Russian |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-10T21:30:15Z |
| publishDate | 2016-06-01 |
| publisher | Economic Research Institute of the Far East Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Prostranstvennaâ Èkonomika |
| spelling | doaj.art-b9abe3f424084757a355136071708d602022-12-22T01:32:50ZrusEconomic Research Institute of the Far East Branch of the Russian Academy of SciencesProstranstvennaâ Èkonomika1815-98342587-59572016-06-012143610.14530/se.2016.2.014-036Macroeconomic Forecast in Regional Strategies: The Example of Khabarovsk TerritoryNatalia Gennadyevna Zakharchenko0Pavel Aleksandrovich Minakir1Economic Research Institute FEB RASEconomic Research Institute FEB RASThe article discusses the methodological and instrumental problems of forecasting medium-term dynamics of a region’s socio-economic development as part of constructing the region’s socio-economic development strategy. The authors present results of constructing the system of models of different classes integrated in a single model complex. The model complex is based on the synthesis of methods of intersectoral analysis and dynamic optimization and consists of four The article was supported by the FEB RAS Program of Fundamental Research ‘Far East’ (Subprogram 8). predictive-analytical modules: a) aggregate demand generation, b) estimation of intersectoral interactions, c) resource constraints testing d) estimation of standard of living indicators. The modules are interconnected with horizontal communication channels activated within one time cycle (step or year) and vertical communication channels activated between different time cycles. The authors test the model complex on the data of Khabarovsk Territory. The results of the study include quantitative assessments of macroeconomic and social parameters projections in the context of stages and scenarios of socio-economic development of the regionhttp://spatial-economics.com/eng/images/spatial-econimics/2_2016/SE.2016.2.014-036.Zakharchenko.pdfstrategic planningregionmodel complexscenariosmacroeconomic indicatorsforecastingsubject of the Russian FederationKhabarovsk Territory |
| spellingShingle | Natalia Gennadyevna Zakharchenko Pavel Aleksandrovich Minakir Macroeconomic Forecast in Regional Strategies: The Example of Khabarovsk Territory Prostranstvennaâ Èkonomika strategic planning region model complex scenarios macroeconomic indicators forecasting subject of the Russian Federation Khabarovsk Territory |
| title | Macroeconomic Forecast in Regional Strategies: The Example of Khabarovsk Territory |
| title_full | Macroeconomic Forecast in Regional Strategies: The Example of Khabarovsk Territory |
| title_fullStr | Macroeconomic Forecast in Regional Strategies: The Example of Khabarovsk Territory |
| title_full_unstemmed | Macroeconomic Forecast in Regional Strategies: The Example of Khabarovsk Territory |
| title_short | Macroeconomic Forecast in Regional Strategies: The Example of Khabarovsk Territory |
| title_sort | macroeconomic forecast in regional strategies the example of khabarovsk territory |
| topic | strategic planning region model complex scenarios macroeconomic indicators forecasting subject of the Russian Federation Khabarovsk Territory |
| url | http://spatial-economics.com/eng/images/spatial-econimics/2_2016/SE.2016.2.014-036.Zakharchenko.pdf |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT nataliagennadyevnazakharchenko macroeconomicforecastinregionalstrategiestheexampleofkhabarovskterritory AT pavelaleksandrovichminakir macroeconomicforecastinregionalstrategiestheexampleofkhabarovskterritory |