Additional carbon inputs to reach a 4 per 1000 objective in Europe: feasibility and projected impacts of climate change based on Century simulations of long-term arable experiments

<p>The 4 per 1000 initiative aims to maintain and increase soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks for soil fertility, food security, and climate change adaptation and mitigation. One way to enhance SOC stocks is to increase carbon (C) inputs to the soil.</p> <p>In this study, we asse...

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Main Authors: E. Bruni, B. Guenet, Y. Huang, H. Clivot, I. Virto, R. Farina, T. Kätterer, P. Ciais, M. Martin, C. Chenu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2021-07-01
Series:Biogeosciences
Online Access:https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/18/3981/2021/bg-18-3981-2021.pdf
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author E. Bruni
B. Guenet
B. Guenet
Y. Huang
H. Clivot
H. Clivot
I. Virto
R. Farina
T. Kätterer
P. Ciais
M. Martin
C. Chenu
author_facet E. Bruni
B. Guenet
B. Guenet
Y. Huang
H. Clivot
H. Clivot
I. Virto
R. Farina
T. Kätterer
P. Ciais
M. Martin
C. Chenu
author_sort E. Bruni
collection DOAJ
description <p>The 4 per 1000 initiative aims to maintain and increase soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks for soil fertility, food security, and climate change adaptation and mitigation. One way to enhance SOC stocks is to increase carbon (C) inputs to the soil.</p> <p>In this study, we assessed the amount of organic C inputs that are necessary to reach a target of SOC stocks increase by 4 <span class="inline-formula">‰ yr<sup>−1</sup></span> on average, for 30 years, at 14 long-term agricultural sites in Europe. We used the Century model to simulate SOC stocks and assessed the required level of additional C inputs to reach the 4 per 1000 target at these sites. Then, we analyzed how this would change under future scenarios of temperature increase. Initial stocks were simulated assuming steady state. We compared modeled C inputs to different treatments of additional C used on the experimental sites (exogenous organic matter addition and one treatment with different crop rotations). The model was calibrated to fit the control plots, i.e. conventional management without additional C inputs from exogenous organic matter or changes in crop rotations, and was able to reproduce the SOC stock dynamics.</p> <p>We found that, on average among the selected experimental sites, annual C inputs will have to increase by 43.15 <span class="inline-formula">±</span> 5.05 %, which is 0.66 <span class="inline-formula">±</span> 0.23 <span class="inline-formula"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M4" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mrow class="unit"><mi mathvariant="normal">Mg</mi><mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mi mathvariant="normal">C</mi><mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><msup><mi mathvariant="normal">ha</mi><mrow><mo>-</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">1</mn></mrow></msup><mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><msup><mi mathvariant="normal">yr</mi><mrow><mo>-</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">1</mn></mrow></msup></mrow></math><span><svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="71pt" height="15pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="bdd63efbfb3454e80aa8f8ea29d9d672"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="bg-18-3981-2021-ie00001.svg" width="71pt" height="15pt" src="bg-18-3981-2021-ie00001.png"/></svg:svg></span></span> (mean <span class="inline-formula">±</span> standard error), with respect to the initial C inputs in the control treatment. The simulated amount of C input required to reach the 4 ‰ SOC increase was lower than or similar to the amount of C input actually used in the majority of the additional C input treatments of the long-term experiments. However, Century might be overestimating the effect of additional C inputs on SOC stocks. At the experimental sites, we found that treatments with additional C inputs were increasing by 0.25 % on average. This means that the C inputs required to reach the 4 per 1000 target might actually be much higher. Furthermore, we estimated that annual C inputs will have to increase even more due to climate warming, that is 54 % more and 120 % more for a 1 and 5 <span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup>C</span><span id="page3982"/> warming, respectively. We showed that modeled C inputs required to reach the target depended linearly on the initial SOC stocks, raising concern on the feasibility of the 4 per 1000 objective in soils with a higher potential contribution to C sequestration, that is soils with high SOC stocks. Our work highlights the challenge of increasing SOC stocks at a large scale and in a future with a warmer climate.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-ba2a305d63dc4593a52e0dadd77dcce32022-12-21T22:23:17ZengCopernicus PublicationsBiogeosciences1726-41701726-41892021-07-01183981400410.5194/bg-18-3981-2021Additional carbon inputs to reach a 4 per 1000 objective in Europe: feasibility and projected impacts of climate change based on Century simulations of long-term arable experimentsE. Bruni0B. Guenet1B. Guenet2Y. Huang3H. Clivot4H. Clivot5I. Virto6R. Farina7T. Kätterer8P. Ciais9M. Martin10C. Chenu11Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, FranceLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, FranceLG-ENS (Laboratoire de géologie) – CNRS UMR 8538 – École normale supérieure, PSL University – IPSL, 75005 Paris, FranceCSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Aspendale 3195, AustraliaUniversité de Lorraine, INRAE, LAE, 68000 Colmar, FranceUniversité de Reims Champagne Ardenne, INRAE, FARE, UMR A 614, 51097 Reims, FranceDepartamento de Ciencias. IS-FOOD, Universidad Pública de Navarra, 31009 Pamplona, SpainCREA – Council for Agricultural Research and Economics, Research Centre for Agriculture and Environment, 00198 Rome, ItalySwedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Department of Ecology, Box 7044, 75007 Uppsala, SwedenLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, FranceINRA Orléans, InfoSolUnit, Orléans, FranceEcosys, INRA-AgroParisTech, Universiteì Paris-Saclay, Campus AgroParisTech, 78850 Thiverval-Grignon, France<p>The 4 per 1000 initiative aims to maintain and increase soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks for soil fertility, food security, and climate change adaptation and mitigation. One way to enhance SOC stocks is to increase carbon (C) inputs to the soil.</p> <p>In this study, we assessed the amount of organic C inputs that are necessary to reach a target of SOC stocks increase by 4 <span class="inline-formula">‰ yr<sup>−1</sup></span> on average, for 30 years, at 14 long-term agricultural sites in Europe. We used the Century model to simulate SOC stocks and assessed the required level of additional C inputs to reach the 4 per 1000 target at these sites. Then, we analyzed how this would change under future scenarios of temperature increase. Initial stocks were simulated assuming steady state. We compared modeled C inputs to different treatments of additional C used on the experimental sites (exogenous organic matter addition and one treatment with different crop rotations). The model was calibrated to fit the control plots, i.e. conventional management without additional C inputs from exogenous organic matter or changes in crop rotations, and was able to reproduce the SOC stock dynamics.</p> <p>We found that, on average among the selected experimental sites, annual C inputs will have to increase by 43.15 <span class="inline-formula">±</span> 5.05 %, which is 0.66 <span class="inline-formula">±</span> 0.23 <span class="inline-formula"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M4" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mrow class="unit"><mi mathvariant="normal">Mg</mi><mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mi mathvariant="normal">C</mi><mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><msup><mi mathvariant="normal">ha</mi><mrow><mo>-</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">1</mn></mrow></msup><mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><msup><mi mathvariant="normal">yr</mi><mrow><mo>-</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">1</mn></mrow></msup></mrow></math><span><svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="71pt" height="15pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="bdd63efbfb3454e80aa8f8ea29d9d672"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="bg-18-3981-2021-ie00001.svg" width="71pt" height="15pt" src="bg-18-3981-2021-ie00001.png"/></svg:svg></span></span> (mean <span class="inline-formula">±</span> standard error), with respect to the initial C inputs in the control treatment. The simulated amount of C input required to reach the 4 ‰ SOC increase was lower than or similar to the amount of C input actually used in the majority of the additional C input treatments of the long-term experiments. However, Century might be overestimating the effect of additional C inputs on SOC stocks. At the experimental sites, we found that treatments with additional C inputs were increasing by 0.25 % on average. This means that the C inputs required to reach the 4 per 1000 target might actually be much higher. Furthermore, we estimated that annual C inputs will have to increase even more due to climate warming, that is 54 % more and 120 % more for a 1 and 5 <span class="inline-formula"><sup>∘</sup>C</span><span id="page3982"/> warming, respectively. We showed that modeled C inputs required to reach the target depended linearly on the initial SOC stocks, raising concern on the feasibility of the 4 per 1000 objective in soils with a higher potential contribution to C sequestration, that is soils with high SOC stocks. Our work highlights the challenge of increasing SOC stocks at a large scale and in a future with a warmer climate.</p>https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/18/3981/2021/bg-18-3981-2021.pdf
spellingShingle E. Bruni
B. Guenet
B. Guenet
Y. Huang
H. Clivot
H. Clivot
I. Virto
R. Farina
T. Kätterer
P. Ciais
M. Martin
C. Chenu
Additional carbon inputs to reach a 4 per 1000 objective in Europe: feasibility and projected impacts of climate change based on Century simulations of long-term arable experiments
Biogeosciences
title Additional carbon inputs to reach a 4 per 1000 objective in Europe: feasibility and projected impacts of climate change based on Century simulations of long-term arable experiments
title_full Additional carbon inputs to reach a 4 per 1000 objective in Europe: feasibility and projected impacts of climate change based on Century simulations of long-term arable experiments
title_fullStr Additional carbon inputs to reach a 4 per 1000 objective in Europe: feasibility and projected impacts of climate change based on Century simulations of long-term arable experiments
title_full_unstemmed Additional carbon inputs to reach a 4 per 1000 objective in Europe: feasibility and projected impacts of climate change based on Century simulations of long-term arable experiments
title_short Additional carbon inputs to reach a 4 per 1000 objective in Europe: feasibility and projected impacts of climate change based on Century simulations of long-term arable experiments
title_sort additional carbon inputs to reach a 4 per 1000 objective in europe feasibility and projected impacts of climate change based on century simulations of long term arable experiments
url https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/18/3981/2021/bg-18-3981-2021.pdf
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